Get all the data for the staking market for the Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev game for the Almaty Open – Almaty 2025 on the October 19, 2025, in the following analysis. Learn the Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev picks, best bets and odds markets for this fixture in the breakdown below.
Who The Odds Predict: Daniil Medvedev to win
- Derived via the bookies odds, Daniil Medvedev is favored to come out on top in this game with a 67.20% chance to win. Is this accurate? We think so, due to Sportsbooks are experts: 
 Corentin Moutet → 2.95
 Daniil Medvedev → 1.44Prediction Chance Of Win Corentin Moutet 32.80 % Daniil Medvedev 67.20 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks. 
-  Based on the odds for total games, the bookmakers suggest over 19 with odds of 1.3 and an implied probability of 76.92%. It indicates that the match is expected to be tight, possibly featuring long rallies. 
 over 19 → 1.3
 Prediction Over/Under over_19 76.92 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions. 
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Prediction Based On Head-2-Head: Nip and tuck
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins | 
|---|---|
| Corentin Moutet | 1 | 
| Daniil Medvedev | 1 | 
 Head To Head: Corentin Moutet (1 – 1) Daniil Medvedev.
 It’s Nip and tuck! Can either team break the deadlock? In the last 2 H2H encounters between these players, both players has the same number of victories. Our H2H data starts from the match between them in 2021. This suggests that the scheduled face-off is a balanced contest. The latest match between them was on the Fri, 25 Jul 25, when Daniil Medvedev achieved a 6-4-4 – 1-6-6 win. 
Will this be the match that sets them apart? Both Corentin Moutet and Daniil Medvedev has an equal H2H record. This upcoming clash will be a battle for dominance.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Daniil Medvedev to prevail
Analyzing current performance before this match, Corentin Moutet claimed a win vs Alex Michelsen with a score of 7-6/5-4. Daniil Medvedev claimed a win facing James Duckworth with a score of 6-6-6/7(8)-3-2. Corentin Moutet have prevailed in 6 of their last 10 matches vs all teams, while Daniil Medvedev won 8 of their recent 10 games versus all opponents, suggesting maybe Daniil Medvedev is in the better form approaching this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Daniil Medvedev
- Corentin Moutet has won 7 of the last 10 matches played, while Daniil Medvedev has secured 8 victories over the same range.
- Corentin Moutet has been winning 48% of their own second serve points, and 46% of their opponents, while Daniil Medvedev has won 45% of their second serve points and 46% of their opponents.
- Corentin Moutet comes into this match having won a 2 hours 12 min battle vs Alex Michelsen in which he managed to win 44% of return points (126/286), hitting 14 aces himself during the match.
- Daniil Medvedev comes into this match having won a 2 hours 12 min battle vs James Duckworth in which he managed to win 38% of return points (84/222), hitting 37 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Corentin Moutet has been holding serve 83% of the time (35/42), while Daniil Medvedev has held their serve 97% of the time (36/37.
Career Performance Prediction: Daniil Medvedev
- Corentin Moutet has a career high ranking of 41, while Daniil Medvedev has a career high rank of 14.
- Corentin Moutet has claimed 12 Career titles and career earnings of $38,40,220, versus 25 trophies for Daniil Medvedev and $3,28,77,110 prize money.
- Corentin Moutet has a 63% deciding set win % (26/41), compared to 56% for Daniil Medvedev (38/68)
- The 1st serve of Corentin Moutet has resulted in him winning 65% of points, and Daniil Medvedev has won 62% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 50% for Corentin Moutet and 52% for Daniil Medvedev.
- After losing the first set, Corentin Moutet manages to turn the match around and win it 25% of the time, and Daniil Medvedev has a 35% record in eventually winning the match.














