Uncover all the insights for the gambling market for the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz fixture for the Cincinnati Open – Cincinnati 2025 on the August 18, 2025, below. Get all the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions, betting tips and odds for this match in the our preview beneath.
Odds-Based Prediction: Jannik Sinner to triumph
- Derived from the sportsbook odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win in this fixture with a 57.07% probability to win. An accurate forecast? Most likely, due to Sportsbooks are skilled at predicting:
Jannik Sinner → 1.70
Carlos Alcaraz → 2.26Prediction Chance Of Win Carlos Alcaraz 42.93 % Jannik Sinner 57.07 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.
- According to the odds for total games, the bookmakers suggest over 18 with odds of 1.47 and an implied probability of 68.03%. This suggests the game is expected to be tight, possibly going the distance.
over 18 → 1.47
Prediction Over/Under over_18 68.03 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.
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H2H-Based Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz to win the match
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 5 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 9 |
Head-to-Head: Jannik Sinner (5 – 9) Carlos Alcaraz.
Carlos Alcaraz to win. What’s the reasoning? Over the last 14 direct games between these two sides, Carlos Alcaraz is winning 5 – 9. Our head-to-head analysis starts from the encounter they had in 2022. This implies that Carlos Alcaraz is likely to get the victory in this upcoming clash. The latest game was on the Sun, 13 Jul 25, when Jannik Sinner secured a 4-6-6-6 – 6-4-4-4 victory.
Jannik Sinner has never won Vs Carlos Alcaraz showing they have little chance.
Current Form Prediction: Too even to call it
Considering current performance before this fixture, Jannik Sinner triumphed facing Terence Atmane with a result of 7-6/6(4)-2. Carlos Alcaraz triumphed facing Alexander Zverev with a result of 6-6/4-3. Jannik Sinner have got the victory in 9 of their recent 10 matches versus all opponents, whereas Carlos Alcaraz won 9 of their last 10 fixtures versus all opponents, suggesting maybe this match is too close to call.
Recent Form Prediction: Close to call
- Jannik Sinner has won 10 of the last 10 matches played, while Carlos Alcaraz has secured 9 victories over the same range.
- Jannik Sinner has been winning 41% of their own second serve points, and 38% of their opponents, while Carlos Alcaraz has won 46% of their second serve points and 43% of their opponents.
- Jannik Sinner comes into this match having won a 1 hour 26 min battle vs Terence Atmane in which he managed to win 46% of return points (145/318), hitting 32 aces himself during the match.
- Carlos Alcaraz comes into this match having won a 1 hour 45 min battle vs Alexander Zverev in which he managed to win 43% of return points (166/384), hitting 43 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Jannik Sinner has been holding serve 93% of the time (43/46), while Carlos Alcaraz has held their serve 85% of the time (47/55.
Career Performance Prediction: Close to call
- Jannik Sinner has a career high ranking of 1, while Carlos Alcaraz has a career high rank of 2.
- Jannik Sinner has claimed 26 Career titles and career earnings of $3,15,47,675, versus 29 trophies for Carlos Alcaraz and $3,39,70,175 prize money.
- Jannik Sinner has a 63% deciding set win % (38/60), compared to 63% for Carlos Alcaraz (24/38)
- The 1st serve of Jannik Sinner has resulted in him winning 59% of points, and Carlos Alcaraz has won 64% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 55% for Jannik Sinner and 57% for Carlos Alcaraz.
- After losing the first set, Jannik Sinner manages to turn the match around and win it 45% of the time, and Carlos Alcaraz has a 41% record in eventually winning the match.
