Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro: Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Stats (Thu, 16 Oct '25)
Wojtek Kolan
Published on 08 Oct, 10:30 PM UTC
Next Match 16/10/25 at 12:30 AM
Scheduled H2H Match For Atlético Mineiro Vs Cruzeiro
Brasileirão Betano
Thu, 16 Oct 2025 at 12:30 AM UTC
BRA
Recent Form
3
Win
Last 10 Played
3
Win
BRA
Recent Form
3
Win
Last 10 Played
3
Win
Game Schedule - Time Of Fixture
Atlético Mineiro will square off vs Cruzeiro in Brasileirão Betano on Thu, 16 Oct 2025 at 12:30 AM UTC. Let’s investigate historical performances, recent stats and head-2-head information to find out the most accurate picks and best bets.
Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro Pick
Calculated from the implicit probability from the match winner, Cruzeiro EC MG have a 39.06% to get the victory. Indicated possibility derived from the odds, also suggests there is a 46.51% expectation of both teams to score (BTTS). Subscribe to the football predictions premium plan to get data on implicit vs our expert predictions to discover edge in order to unlock winning bets Matchstat.com football predictions club to get data on implied and our expert predictions to value bets so you can see the best bets
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Atlético Mineiro | 33.33 % |
| Cruzeiro | 39.06 % |
| Draw | 31.95 % |
Above win % is implied from odds. Login / Signup to discover our expert predictions. | |
Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro H2H Results Summary
Analyzing the last 10 head-2-head games for these competitors, Atlético Mineiro have won 3 times and Cruzeiro have got the victory on 3 occasion.
| Head-to-Head (Last 10 Matches) | |
|---|---|
| Atlético Mineiro | 3 |
| Draw | 4 |
| Cruzeiro | 3 |
Atlético Mineiro Vs Cruzeiro Performance stats
Editorial Prediction:
The upcoming match in the Brasileirão Betano is set to kick off at the Arena MRV, Brazil, on Thursday, October 16, 2025. This match will see Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro face off against each other once again. Recent head-to-head encounters give Cruzeiro the upper hand with two victories and one draw out of their last three matches, compared to no wins for Atlético Mineiro.
The last encounter, held on September 11, 2025, ended in a 2-0 triumph for Cruzeiro as the home team. In preparation for this match, Atlético Mineiro is coming off a 0-3 loss to Fluminense, whereas Cruzeiro managed a 1-1 draw against Sport Recife, showcasing a slightly better momentum going forward.
Analyzing current league standings, Atlético Mineiro finds themselves in 15th position, while Cruzeiro holds the 3rd spot, reinforcing Cruzeiro's recent dominance in the domestic league. From a player performance perspective, Cruzeiro will aim to neutralize Hulk, Atlético Mineiro's leading scorer with four goals this season. Conversely, Atlético Mineiro must keep a close watch on M. Pereira, Cruzeiro's top assist provider with seven assists.
Noteworthy player ratings include Rubens (7.33), Ruan (7.25), and Gustavo Scarpa (7.22) for Atlético Mineiro. Meanwhile, Cruzeiro boasts Matheus Pereira (7.58), Kaio Jorge (7.36), and Fabrício Bruno (7.26) as their top-rated players. When it comes to ball control, Atlético Mineiro has averaged a possession percentage of 55.28% this season, compared to Cruzeiro's 47.15%.
Corner statistics reveal little distinction between the teams, with Atlético Mineiro registering an average of 6.24 corners per match and Cruzeiro close behind with 6.04. Disciplinary records show Atlético Mineiro accumulated 63 yellow cards, 5 red cards, and 1 penalty conceded. Cruzeiro's meanwhile has acquired 70 yellow cards, 5 red cards, and also conceded 1 penalty this season.
Taking into account recent form, head-to-head record, and current standings, Cruzeiro appears poised to continue their winning trend against Atlético Mineiro. This analysis ultimately predicts a likely victory for Cruzeiro in the forthcoming clash.
Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro Best Odds For The Match
Full Time Result
Both Teams To Score
Over Under Full Time
Draw No Bet
Asian Handicap
Over Under First Half
Over Under Second Half
Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro Past H2H Matches
11/09/25
27/08/25
17/07/19
11/07/19
27/11/14
13/11/14
18/05/25
11/08/24
21/04/24
22/10/23
03/06/23
10/11/19
04/08/19
16/09/18
19/05/18
22/10/17
02/07/17
18/09/16
12/06/16
13/09/15
06/06/15
21/09/14
11/05/14
13/10/13
28/07/13
02/12/12
26/08/12
04/12/11
28/08/11
24/10/10
01/08/10
12/10/09
12/07/09
19/10/08
13/07/08
09/02/25
07/04/24
30/03/24
03/02/24
13/02/23
02/04/22
06/03/22
11/04/21
07/03/20
20/04/19
14/04/19
27/01/19
08/04/18
01/04/18
04/03/18
07/05/17
30/04/17
01/04/17
27/03/16
19/04/15
12/04/15
08/03/15
13/04/14
06/04/14
16/02/14
19/05/13
12/05/13
03/02/13
08/04/12
15/05/11
08/05/11
12/02/11
20/02/10
03/05/09
26/04/09
15/02/09
18/01/25
01/02/17
Head To Head Streaks
Team Streaks
Atlético Mineiro Recent Matches
08/10/25
04/10/25
01/10/25
28/09/25
20/09/25
14/09/25
31/08/25
24/08/25
17/08/25
10/08/25
03/08/25
27/07/25
23/07/25
20/07/25
16/07/25
13/07/25
13/06/25
01/06/25
25/05/25
24/09/25
17/09/25
21/08/25
14/08/25
25/07/25
18/07/25
30/05/25
11/09/25
27/08/25
06/08/25
01/08/25
Cruzeiro Recent Matches
05/10/25
02/10/25
27/09/25
21/09/25
15/09/25
31/08/25
23/08/25
18/08/25
10/08/25
03/08/25
27/07/25
23/07/25
20/07/25
17/07/25
13/07/25
12/06/25
01/06/25
25/05/25
18/05/25
11/05/25
11/09/25
27/08/25
08/08/25
30/07/25
22/05/25
06/07/25
03/07/25
29/05/25
15/05/25
08/05/25
Atlético Mineiro Next Fixtures
16/10/25
18/10/25
25/10/25
02/11/25
05/11/25
08/11/25
19/11/25
23/11/25
30/11/25
03/12/25
07/12/25
Cruzeiro Next Fixtures
16/10/25
19/10/25
26/10/25
01/11/25
05/11/25
09/11/25
19/11/25
23/11/25
30/11/25
03/12/25
07/12/25
Atlético Mineiro Last Match Played stats
Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife
Final Score :3 - 1
| (H) | Match overview | (A) |
|---|---|---|
| 46% | Ball possession | 54% |
| 1.68 | Expected goals | 2.28 |
| 4 | Big chances | 4 |
| 15 | Total shots | 19 |
| 1 | Goalkeeper saves | 2 |
| 5 | Corner kicks | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 419 | Passes | 483 |
| 19 | Tackles | 16 |
| 8 | Free kicks | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| (H) | Shots | (A) |
| 15 | Total shots | 19 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 0 | Hit woodwork | 0 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 8 |
| 7 | Blocked shots | 9 |
| 9 | Shots inside box | 13 |
| 6 | Shots outside box | 6 |
| (H) | Attack | (A) |
| 3 | Big chances scored | 1 |
| 1 | Big chances missed | 3 |
| 1 | Through balls | 0 |
| 29 | Touches in penalty area | 31 |
| 2 | Fouled in final third | 4 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| (H) | Passes | (A) |
| 362 | Accurate passes | 440 |
| 7 | Throw-ins | 10 |
| 43 | Final third entries | 74 |
| 73/97 (75%) | Final third phase | 159/195 (82%) |
| 30/47 (64%) | Long balls | 14/24 (58%) |
| 5/13 (38%) | Crosses | 9/25 (36%) |
| (H) | Duels | (A) |
| 46% | Duels | 54% |
| 7 | Dispossessed | 11 |
| 34/66 (52%) | Ground duels | 32/66 (48%) |
| 4/17 (24%) | Aerial duels | 13/17 (76%) |
| 7/16 (44%) | Dribbles | 5/13 (38%) |
| (H) | Defending | (A) |
| 74% | Tackles won | 50% |
| 19 | Total tackles | 16 |
| 10 | Interceptions | 11 |
| 44 | Recoveries | 48 |
| 26 | Clearances | 19 |
| 1 | Errors lead to a shot | 0 |
| 0 | Errors lead to a goal | 1 |
| (H) | Goalkeeping | (A) |
| 1 | Total saves | 2 |
| -0.08 | Goals prevented | -0.35 |
| 1 | Big saves | 0 |
| 2 | High claims | 0 |
| 14 | Goal kicks | 3 |
Cruzeiro Last Match Played stats
Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife
Final Score :1 - 1
| (H) | Match overview | (A) |
|---|---|---|
| 61% | Ball possession | 39% |
| 1.75 | Expected goals | 2.27 |
| 2 | Big chances | 3 |
| 27 | Total shots | 17 |
| 4 | Goalkeeper saves | 6 |
| 10 | Corner kicks | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 502 | Passes | 322 |
| 13 | Tackles | 20 |
| 15 | Free kicks | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| (H) | Shots | (A) |
| 27 | Total shots | 17 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 1 | Hit woodwork | 1 |
| 12 | Shots off target | 7 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 13 | Shots inside box | 12 |
| 14 | Shots outside box | 5 |
| (H) | Attack | (A) |
| 0 | Big chances scored | 1 |
| 2 | Big chances missed | 2 |
| 0 | Through balls | 2 |
| 35 | Touches in penalty area | 22 |
| 3 | Fouled in final third | 1 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| (H) | Passes | (A) |
| 448 | Accurate passes | 262 |
| 16 | Throw-ins | 12 |
| 63 | Final third entries | 53 |
| 155/190 (82%) | Final third phase | 76/104 (73%) |
| 18/30 (60%) | Long balls | 20/41 (49%) |
| 8/29 (28%) | Crosses | 4/12 (33%) |
| (H) | Duels | (A) |
| 52% | Duels | 48% |
| 9 | Dispossessed | 6 |
| 41/76 (54%) | Ground duels | 35/76 (46%) |
| 9/21 (43%) | Aerial duels | 12/21 (57%) |
| 14/25 (56%) | Dribbles | 6/13 (46%) |
| (H) | Defending | (A) |
| 69% | Tackles won | 60% |
| 13 | Total tackles | 20 |
| 11 | Interceptions | 6 |
| 47 | Recoveries | 44 |
| 14 | Clearances | 43 |
| 0 | Errors lead to a shot | 1 |
| 1 | Errors lead to a goal | 0 |
| (H) | Goalkeeping | (A) |
| 4 | Total saves | 6 |
| 0.45 | Goals prevented | 1.08 |
| 1 | Big saves | 2 |
| 0 | High claims | 1 |
| 0 | Punches | 2 |
| 6 | Goal kicks | 8 |
Atlético Mineiro Vs Cruzeiro Season Stats
| Atlético Mineiro | Performance Summary | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Matches | 27 |
| 25 | Goals Scored | 40 |
| 30 | Goals Conceded | 20 |
| 0.96 | Goals per Game | 1.48 |
| 1.15 | Goals Conceded per Game | 0.74 |
| 4.38 | Shots on Target per Game | 4.78 |
| 1.62 | Big Chances per Game | 2.26 |
| 54.92% | Ball Possession | 47.15% |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 16.42 | Tackles per Game | 17.22 |
| 3 | Penalty Goals Conceded | 0 |
| 13.62 | Fouls per Game | 13.7 |
| 1.85 | Offsides per Game | 1.48 |
| 7.27 | Goal Kicks per Game | 7.48 |
| 17.92 | Throw-ins per Game | 20.85 |
| 2.58 | Yellow Cards per Game | 2.59 |
| 5 | Red Cards | 3 |
Brasileiro Serie A 2025 Standings
| POS | TEAM | MP | W | L | D | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 58 | |
| 2 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 55 | |
| 3 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 52 | |
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 46 | |
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43 | |
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43 | |
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 38 | |
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 38 | |
| 9 | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 36 | |
| 10 | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34 | |
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 33 | |
| 12 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33 | |
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33 | |
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 32 | |
| 15 | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 32 | |
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 28 | |
| 17 | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 25 | |
| 18 | 26 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 24 | |
| 19 | 27 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 23 | |
| 20 | 26 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 16 |
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