Find out all the information for the staking market for the Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud game for the Internazionali BNL d’Italia – Rome 2025 on the May 12, 2025, in our analysis here. We uncover the Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud picks, best bets & odds for this fixture in the our report beneath.
Who The Odds Favor: Casper Ruud to win
- Implied via the bookies odds, Casper Ruud is favored to come out on top in this match with a 59.30% probability to win. Is this accurate? Most likely, due to Oddsmakers know their data:
Matteo Berrettini → 2.36
Casper Ruud → 1.62Prediction Chance Of Win Matteo Berrettini 40.70 % Casper Ruud 59.30 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.
- Based on the odds for the first set, the prediction leans towards Casper Ruud with odds of 1.72 and an implied probability of 56.46%. This implies Matteo Berrettini is expected to come out on top early in the match.:
Matteo Berrettini → undefined
Casper Ruud → 2.23Prediction Chance Of First Sets Casper Ruud 56.46 % first_set_1 43.54 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.
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Prediction Based On H2H: Casper Ruud to triumph
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | 3 |
| Casper Ruud | 4 |
H2H: Matteo Berrettini (3 – 4) Casper Ruud.
Casper Ruud to win. The reason? Across the past 7 H2H matches between them, Casper Ruud is ahead 3 – 4. Our H2H data starts from the fixture they had in 2019. This implies that Casper Ruud should get the victory in this upcoming clash. The last match was on the Tue, 03 Jan 23, where Matteo Berrettini achieved a 6-6 – 4-4 win.
Matteo Berrettini has never won Vs Casper Ruud suggesting they have a low probability.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Casper Ruud to win
Looking at current performance heading into this fixture, Matteo Berrettini got the win up against Jacob Fearnley with a result of 6-7/4-6(0). Casper Ruud secured victory against Alexander Bublik with a score of 6-4-6/4-6-3. Matteo Berrettini have got the victory in 7 of their last 10 games in all competitions, while Casper Ruud won 9 of their recent 10 matches versus all opponents, suggesting perhaps Casper Ruud is in the better form heading into this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Casper Ruud
- Matteo Berrettini has won 7 of the last 10 matches played, while Casper Ruud has secured 9 victories over the same range.
- Matteo Berrettini has been winning 48% of their own second serve points, and 43% of their opponents, while Casper Ruud has won 47% of their second serve points and 45% of their opponents.
- Matteo Berrettini comes into this match having won a 1 hour 56 min battle vs Jacob Fearnley in which he managed to win 41% of return points (33/81), hitting 6 aces himself during the match.
- Casper Ruud comes into this match having won a 1 hour 56 min battle vs Alexander Bublik in which he managed to win 39% of return points (37/95), hitting 7 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Matteo Berrettini has been holding serve 91% of the time (10/11), while Casper Ruud has held their serve 86% of the time (12/14.
Career Performance Prediction: Casper Ruud
- Matteo Berrettini has a career high ranking of 30, while Casper Ruud has a career high rank of 7.
- Matteo Berrettini has claimed 15 Career titles and career earnings of $94,55,255, versus 16 trophies for Casper Ruud and $1,30,39,370 prize money.
- Matteo Berrettini has a 55% deciding set win % (23/42), compared to 63% for Casper Ruud (65/104)
- The 1st serve of Matteo Berrettini has resulted in him winning 64% of points, and Casper Ruud has won 65% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 54% for Matteo Berrettini and 54% for Casper Ruud.
- After losing the first set, Matteo Berrettini manages to turn the match around and win it 35% of the time, and Casper Ruud has a 28% record in eventually winning the match.
