Sebastian Baez vs David Goffin Prediction – ATP Cincinnati Open – 8th August 2025 Best Bets

Sebastian Baez and David Goffin Prediction Head To Head Summary

Baez vs Goffin Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Goffin has a 59.17% chance to win this match.

Baez → 2.23. Goffin → 1.69.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Baez vs Goffin Upcoming Match Details:

Baez will play Goffin on Hard court in the First round at the ATP Cincinnati Open event in Cincinnati Men’s Singles 2025 on 8th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Baez 0-1 Goffin

The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Baez comes into this match with a ranking of 45 , while Goffin is ranked 65.

Baez vs Goffin Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Goffin has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Baez has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Goffin has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baez has won 33%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Goffin has been saving 58% of his breakpoints, and Baez has saved 51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Goffin performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 218/118) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 59% (W/L 44/31). Baez performs best on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 229/102), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 14% (W/L 3/19).
• In play break point conversion prediction: David Goffin has converted 35% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Sebastian Baez has converted 36% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Sebastian Baez played Yannick Hanfmann in the Second round at the Generali Open – Kitzbuhel and lost 5-7 6-3 7-5 in 02:42:11 . David Goffin played Mackenzie Mcdonald in the First round at the National Bank Open – Toronto and lost 6-4 6-4 in 01:25:22.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Sebastian Baez and David Goffin

Of their last 10 matches played, Baez has won 1, while Goffin has won 3. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Baez has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 119.36 , while Goffin has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 136.66.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baez Vs Goffin

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Baez has won 18 titles in his career, while David Goffin has won 32 events. Baez has won 51% (31953 of 62167) of points played in his entire career, and Goffin has achieved 51% (68911 of 133995). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baez has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (67 of 131), whereas David Goffin has won 52% (179 of 346). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting David Goffin has an 64.97% probability of winning this match.

Sebastian Baez vs David Goffin Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: David Goffin To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Sebastian Baez has a 35.03% chance of winning and David Goffin has a 64.97% chance of taking the victory. We tip Goffin to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Cincinnati Open – Cincinnati, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sebastian Baez

• Baez vs Diallo H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For David Goffin

• Goffin vs Diallo H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round