Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Mitchell Krueger Prediction – ATP Miami – 17th March 2025 Best Bets

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Mitchell Krueger Prediction Head To Head Summary

Carabelli vs Krueger Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Carabelli has a 61.01% win this match.

Carabelli → 1.94. Krueger → 1.89.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Carabelli vs Krueger Upcoming Match Details:

Carabelli will play Krueger on Hard court in the Q1 round at the ATP Miami Open event in Miami Men’s Singles 2025 on 17th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Carabelli 0-0 Krueger

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Carabelli comes into this match with a ranking of 65 , while Krueger is ranked 141.

Carabelli vs Krueger Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Krueger has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Carabelli has won 42% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Krueger has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Carabelli has won 30%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Krueger has been saving 55% of his breakpoints, and Carabelli has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Krueger performs best on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 115/90) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 38% (W/L 9/15). Carabelli performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 328/175), and performs worse on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/2).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Mitchell Krueger has converted 38% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Camilo Ugo Carabelli has converted 35% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Camilo Ugo Carabelli played Sebastian Baez in the Semifinals at the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago and lost 6-1 3-6 6-2 in 01:47:13 . Mitchell Krueger played Mikhail Kukushkin in the Q1 round at the Phoenix Challenger and lost 5-7 7-6(2) 6-0 in 02:17:07.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Mitchell Krueger

Of their last 10 matches played, Carabelli has won 7, while Krueger has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Carabelli has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points , while Krueger has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Carabelli Vs Krueger

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Carabelli has won 12 titles in his career, while Mitchell Krueger has won 9 events. Carabelli has won 51% (37997 of 73795) of points played in his entire career, and Krueger has achieved 50% (47108 of 93866). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Carabelli has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (79 of 141), whereas Mitchell Krueger has won 46% (125 of 271). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Camilo Ugo Carabelli has an 61.01% probability of winning this match.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Mitchell Krueger Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Camilo Ugo Carabelli To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 61.01% chance of winning and Mitchell Krueger has a 38.99% chance of taking the victory. We tip Carabelli to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Mitchell Krueger

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

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