Jan Choinski and Lorenzo Sonego Prediction Head To Head Summary

Choinski vs Sonego Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Sonego has a 74.63% chance to win this match.
Choinski → 3.62. Sonego → 1.34.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Choinski vs Sonego Upcoming Match Details:
Choinski will play Sonego on I.hard court in the First round at the ATP Moselle Open event in Metz Men’s Singles 2025 on 3rd November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Choinski 0-0 Sonego
The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Choinski comes into this match with a ranking of 126 , while Sonego is ranked 42.
Choinski vs Sonego Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Sonego has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Choinski has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Sonego has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Choinski has won 27%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Sonego has been saving 56% of his breakpoints, and Choinski has saved 55% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Sonego performs best on Clay, winning 59% (W/L 203/141) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 48% (W/L 85/92). Choinski performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 245/143), and performs worse on Grass, winning 26% (W/L 6/17).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Lorenzo Sonego has converted 29% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jan Choinski has converted 26% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Jan Choinski played Kyrian Jacquet in the Q3 round at the Moselle Open – Metz and won 6-4 5-7 6-2 in 01:42:13 . Lorenzo Sonego played Daniil Medvedev in the Third round at the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris and lost 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 in 02:39:20.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Choinski Vs Sonego

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Choinski has won 18 titles in his career, while Lorenzo Sonego has won 10 events. Choinski has won 51% (41664 of 81281) of points played in his entire career, and Sonego has achieved 51% (47468 of 93542). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Choinski has won 52% of tie breaks in his entire career (103 of 200), whereas Lorenzo Sonego has won 51% (154 of 301). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Lorenzo Sonego has an 53.28% probability of winning this match.
Jan Choinski vs Lorenzo Sonego Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Lorenzo Sonego To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jan Choinski has a 46.72% chance of winning and Lorenzo Sonego has a 53.28% chance of taking the victory. We tip Sonego to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Moselle Open – Metz.







