Luciano Darderi and Brandon Nakashima Prediction Head To Head Summary

Darderi vs Nakashima Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Nakashima has a 64.94% chance to win this match.
Darderi → 2.58. Nakashima → 1.54.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Darderi vs Nakashima Upcoming Match Details:
Darderi will play Nakashima on I.hard court in the First round at the ATP Erste Bank Open event in Vienna Men’s Singles 2025 on 20th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Darderi 1-0 Nakashima
The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Darderi comes into this match with a ranking of 26 , while Nakashima is ranked 32.
Darderi vs Nakashima Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Nakashima has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Darderi has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Nakashima has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Darderi has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Nakashima has been saving 61% of his breakpoints, and Darderi has saved 54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Nakashima performs best on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 66/29) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 50% (W/L 35/35). Darderi performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 182/98), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 14% (W/L 1/6).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Brandon Nakashima has converted 29% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Luciano Darderi has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Luciano Darderi played Shintaro Mochizuki in the Second round at the Almaty Open – Almaty and lost 6-3 6-3 in 01:04:50 . Brandon Nakashima played Fabian Marozsan in the Second round at the Almaty Open – Almaty and lost 7-6(5) 6-1 in 01:19:15.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Darderi Vs Nakashima

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Darderi has won 10 titles in his career, while Brandon Nakashima has won 8 events. Darderi has won 51% (26127 of 50897) of points played in his entire career, and Nakashima has achieved 52% (33214 of 64291). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Darderi has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (59 of 112), whereas Brandon Nakashima has won 55% (135 of 245). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Brandon Nakashima has an 75.21% probability of winning this match.
Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Brandon Nakashima To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Luciano Darderi has a 24.79% chance of winning and Brandon Nakashima has a 75.21% chance of taking the victory. We tip Nakashima to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Erste Bank Open – Vienna.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Luciano Darderi
- Darderi vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Darderi vs Fearnley H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Darderi vs Arnaldi H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Darderi vs Kovacevic H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Griekspoor vs Darderi H2H, could play in The Second round
- Khachanov vs Darderi H2H, could play in The Second round
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Brandon Nakashima
- Nakashima vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Nakashima vs Fearnley H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Nakashima vs Arnaldi H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Nakashima vs Kovacevic H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Griekspoor vs Nakashima H2H, could play in The Second round
- Khachanov vs Nakashima H2H, could play in The Second round