Jacob Fearnley and Matteo Arnaldi Prediction Head To Head Summary
Fearnley vs Arnaldi Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Fearnley has a 53.48% chance to win this match.
Fearnley → 1.87. Arnaldi → 1.87.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Fearnley vs Arnaldi Upcoming Match Details:
Fearnley will play Arnaldi on I.hard court in the Q1 round at the ATP Rolex Paris Masters event in Paris Men’s Singles 2025 on 25th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Fearnley 0-0 Arnaldi
The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Fearnley comes into this match with a ranking of 81 , while Arnaldi is ranked 72.
Fearnley vs Arnaldi Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Arnaldi has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Fearnley has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Arnaldi has won 26% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Fearnley has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 48% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Arnaldi has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Fearnley has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Arnaldi performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 132/70) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 40% (W/L 18/27). Fearnley performs best on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 50/13), and performs worse on Grass, winning 59% (W/L 13/9).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Matteo Arnaldi has converted 24% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jacob Fearnley has converted 33% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Jacob Fearnley played Alexander Zverev in the First round at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and lost 6-4 1-6 7-6(5) in 02:19:58 . Matteo Arnaldi played Alexander Zverev in the Second round at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and lost 6-4 6-4 in 01:27:08.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Fearnley Vs Arnaldi
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Fearnley has won 6 titles in his career, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 6 events. Fearnley has won 52% (10028 of 19229) of points played in his entire career, and Arnaldi has achieved 50% (27878 of 55228). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Fearnley has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (23 of 40), whereas Matteo Arnaldi has won 58% (76 of 131). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jacob Fearnley has an 63.04% probability of winning this match.
Jacob Fearnley vs Matteo Arnaldi Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jacob Fearnley To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jacob Fearnley has a 63.04% chance of winning and Matteo Arnaldi has a 36.96% chance of taking the victory. We tip Fearnley to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris.
