Joao Fonseca and Denis Shapovalov Prediction Head To Head Summary
Fonseca vs Shapovalov Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Fonseca has a 52.63% chance to win this match.
Fonseca → 1.9. Shapovalov → 2.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Fonseca vs Shapovalov Upcoming Match Details:
Fonseca will play Shapovalov on I.hard court in the Quarterfinals at the ATP Swiss Indoors Basel event in Basel Men’s Singles 2025 on 24th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Fonseca 0-0 Shapovalov
The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Fonseca comes into this match with a ranking of 46 , while Shapovalov is ranked 23.
Fonseca vs Shapovalov Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Shapovalov has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Fonseca has won 50% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Shapovalov has won 26% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Fonseca has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Shapovalov has been saving 51% of his breakpoints, and Fonseca has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Shapovalov performs best on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 86/51) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 25/27). Fonseca performs best on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 31/11), and performs worse on Grass, winning 42% (W/L 5/7).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Denis Shapovalov has converted 36% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Joao Fonseca has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Joao Fonseca played Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the First round at the Swiss Indoors Basel – Basel and won 7-6(6) 6-3 in 01:26:51 . Denis Shapovalov played Valentin Royer in the Second round at the Swiss Indoors Basel – Basel and won 7-6(3) 6-2 in 01:23:09.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Fonseca Vs Shapovalov
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Fonseca has won 6 titles in his career, while Denis Shapovalov has won 13 events. Fonseca has won 51% (10635 of 20731) of points played in his entire career, and Shapovalov has achieved 51% (43063 of 84497). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Fonseca has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (37 of 65), whereas Denis Shapovalov has won 50% (130 of 261). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Joao Fonseca has an 53.56% probability of winning this match.
Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalov Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Joao Fonseca To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Joao Fonseca has a 53.56% chance of winning and Denis Shapovalov has a 46.44% chance of taking the victory. We tip Fonseca to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Swiss Indoors Basel – Basel.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Joao Fonseca
- Fokina vs Fonseca H2H, could play in The Final
- Ruud vs Fonseca H2H, could play in The Final
- Opelka vs Fonseca H2H, could play in The Final
- Humbert vs Fonseca H2H, could play in The Final
- Fonseca vs Clar H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Fonseca vs Aliassime H2H, could play in The Semifinals
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Denis Shapovalov
- Fokina vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Final
- Ruud vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Final
- Opelka vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Final
- Humbert vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Final
- Shapovalov vs Clar H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Shapovalov vs Aliassime H2H, could play in The Semifinals
