Marcos Giron and Denis Shapovalov Prediction Head To Head Summary
Giron vs Shapovalov Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Shapovalov has a 59.17% chance to win this match.
Giron → 2.22. Shapovalov → 1.69.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Giron vs Shapovalov Upcoming Match Details:
Giron will play Shapovalov on I.hard court in the First round at the ATP Swiss Indoors Basel event in Basel Men’s Singles 2025 on 21st October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Giron 3-1 Shapovalov
The current Head to Head score is 3-1. Giron comes into this match with a ranking of 57 , while Shapovalov is ranked 23.
Giron vs Shapovalov Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Shapovalov has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Giron has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Shapovalov has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Giron has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Shapovalov has been saving 51% of his breakpoints, and Giron has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Shapovalov performs best on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 84/51) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 25/27). Giron performs best on I.hard, winning 59% (W/L 73/50), and performs worse on Clay, winning 42% (W/L 35/49).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Denis Shapovalov has converted 36% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Marcos Giron has converted 34% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Marcos Giron played Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Second round at the European Open – Brussels and lost 6-7(5) 6-1 6-4 in 02:14:04 . Denis Shapovalov played Casper Ruud in the Semifinals at the BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm and lost 6-3 6-4 in 01:19:38.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Giron Vs Shapovalov
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Giron has won 9 titles in his career, while Denis Shapovalov has won 13 events. Giron has won 51% (47910 of 94582) of points played in his entire career, and Shapovalov has achieved 51% (42892 of 84178). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Giron has won 52% of tie breaks in his entire career (153 of 294), whereas Denis Shapovalov has won 50% (128 of 258). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Denis Shapovalov has an 59.67% probability of winning this match.
Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Denis Shapovalov To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Marcos Giron has a 40.33% chance of winning and Denis Shapovalov has a 59.67% chance of taking the victory. We tip Shapovalov to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
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