Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction – ATP Mifel Tennis Open – 20th July 2025 Best Bets

Aleksandar Kovacevic and Denis Shapovalov Prediction Head To Head Summary

Kovacevic vs Shapovalov Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Shapovalov has a 68.97% chance to win this match.

Kovacevic → 2.92. Shapovalov → 1.45.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Kovacevic vs Shapovalov Upcoming Match Details:

Kovacevic will play Shapovalov on Hard court in the Final at the ATP Mifel Tennis Open event in Los Cabos Men’s Singles 2025 on 20th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Kovacevic 0-0 Shapovalov

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Kovacevic comes into this match with a ranking of 76 , while Shapovalov is ranked 33.

Kovacevic vs Shapovalov Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Shapovalov has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Kovacevic has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Shapovalov has won 28% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Kovacevic has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Shapovalov has been saving 45% of his breakpoints, and Kovacevic has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Shapovalov performs best on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 82/50) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 25/27). Kovacevic performs best on I.hard, winning 60% (W/L 53/35), and performs worse on Grass, winning 28% (W/L 5/13).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Denis Shapovalov has converted 32% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Aleksandar Kovacevic has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Aleksandar Kovacevic played Andrey Rublev in the Semifinals at the Mifel Tennis Open – Los Cabos and won 3-6 6-4 6-4 in 02:28:32 . Denis Shapovalov played Adam Walton in the Semifinals at the Mifel Tennis Open – Los Cabos and won 6-2 6-2 in 01:06:31.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Aleksandar Kovacevic and Denis Shapovalov

Of their last 10 matches played, Kovacevic has won 5, while Shapovalov has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Kovacevic has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 34% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 164.76 , while Shapovalov has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 75.79.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Kovacevic Vs Shapovalov

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Kovacevic has won 6 titles in his career, while Denis Shapovalov has won 12 events. Kovacevic has won 50% (27337 of 54306) of points played in his entire career, and Shapovalov has achieved 51% (41864 of 82163). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Kovacevic has won 49% of tie breaks in his entire career (93 of 191), whereas Denis Shapovalov has won 49% (125 of 253). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Denis Shapovalov has an 60.64% probability of winning this match.

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Denis Shapovalov Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Denis Shapovalov To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 39.36% chance of winning and Denis Shapovalov has a 60.64% chance of taking the victory. We tip Shapovalov to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Mifel Tennis Open – Los Cabos, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Aleksandar Kovacevic

• Brooksby vs Kovacevic H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Nishioka vs Kovacevic H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Cobolli vs Kovacevic H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Kovacevic vs Tiafoe H2H () , could play in The Second round