Daniil Medvedev and Corentin Moutet Prediction Head To Head Summary

Medvedev vs Moutet Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Medvedev has a 68.49% chance to win this match.
Medvedev → 1.46. Moutet → 2.87.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Medvedev vs Moutet Upcoming Match Details:
Medvedev will play Moutet on I.hard court in the Second round at the ATP Erste Bank Open event in Vienna Men’s Singles 2025 on 23rd October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Medvedev 2-1 Moutet
The current Head to Head score is 2-1. Medvedev comes into this match with a ranking of 14 , while Moutet is ranked 36.
Medvedev vs Moutet Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Moutet has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Medvedev has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Moutet has won 28% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Medvedev has won 25%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Moutet has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Medvedev has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Moutet performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 189/107) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 54% (W/L 68/58). Medvedev performs best on Hard, winning 75% (W/L 267/91), and performs worse on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 94/52).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Corentin Moutet has converted 30% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Daniil Medvedev has converted 29% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Daniil Medvedev played Nuno Borges in the First round at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and won 6-4 6-7(7) 6-2 in 02:18:36 . Corentin Moutet played Damir Dzumhur in the First round at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and won 6-3 6-0 in 01:07:16.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Medvedev Vs Moutet

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Medvedev has won 26 titles in his career, while Corentin Moutet has won 13 events. Medvedev has won 53% (58858 of 112044) of points played in his entire career, and Moutet has achieved 51% (41530 of 81999). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Medvedev has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (167 of 296), whereas Corentin Moutet has won 51% (99 of 193). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Daniil Medvedev has an 60.27% probability of winning this match.
Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Daniil Medvedev To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Daniil Medvedev has a 60.27% chance of winning and Corentin Moutet has a 39.73% chance of taking the victory. We tip Medvedev to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Erste Bank Open – Vienna.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Daniil Medvedev
- Medvedev vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Medvedev vs Arnaldi H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Medvedev vs Griekspoor H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Medvedev vs Musetti H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Medvedev vs Etcheverry H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Corentin Moutet
- Moutet vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Moutet vs Arnaldi H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Moutet vs Griekspoor H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Moutet vs Musetti H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Moutet vs Etcheverry H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
