Alex De Minaur and Matteo Berrettini Prediction Head To Head Summary
Minaur vs Berrettini Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Minaur has a 70.92% chance to win this match.
Minaur → 1.41. Berrettini → 3.11.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Minaur vs Berrettini Upcoming Match Details:
Minaur will play Berrettini on I.hard court in the Quarterfinals at the ATP Erste Bank Open event in Vienna Men’s Singles 2025 on 24th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Minaur 2-3 Berrettini
The current Head to Head score is 2-3. Minaur comes into this match with a ranking of 7 , while Berrettini is ranked 59.
Minaur vs Berrettini Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Berrettini has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Minaur has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Berrettini has won 21% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Minaur has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 38% and 41% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Berrettini has been saving 60% of his breakpoints, and Minaur has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Berrettini performs best on Grass, winning 78% (W/L 45/13) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 56% (W/L 39/31). Minaur performs best on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/25), and performs worse on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 75/56).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Matteo Berrettini has converted 25% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Alex De Minaur has converted 26% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Alex De Minaur played Filip Misolic in the Second round at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and won 6-4 6-4 in 01:28:53 . Matteo Berrettini played Cameron Norrie in the Second round at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and won 7-6(6) 6-7(9) 6-4 in 03:16:05.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Minaur Vs Berrettini
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Minaur has won 14 titles in his career, while Matteo Berrettini has won 15 events. Minaur has won 52% (48538 of 93797) of points played in his entire career, and Berrettini has achieved 52% (38743 of 74744). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Minaur has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (128 of 229), whereas Matteo Berrettini has won 56% (156 of 281). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Alex De Minaur has an 59.14% probability of winning this match.
Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Alex De Minaur To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Alex De Minaur has a 59.14% chance of winning and Matteo Berrettini has a 40.86% chance of taking the victory. We tip Minaur to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Erste Bank Open – Vienna.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Alex De Minaur
- Minaur vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Final
- Minaur vs Griekspoor H2H, could play in The Final
- Minaur vs Musetti H2H, could play in The Final
- Minaur vs Moutet H2H, could play in The Final
- Bublik vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Sinner vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Semifinals
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Matteo Berrettini
- Berrettini vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Final
- Berrettini vs Griekspoor H2H, could play in The Final
- Berrettini vs Musetti H2H, could play in The Final
- Berrettini vs Moutet H2H, could play in The Final
- Bublik vs Berrettini H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Sinner vs Berrettini H2H, could play in The Semifinals
