Corentin Moutet and Daniil Medvedev Prediction Head To Head Summary
Moutet vs Medvedev Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Medvedev has a 69.44% chance to win this match.
Moutet → 2.95. Medvedev → 1.44.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Moutet vs Medvedev Upcoming Match Details:
Moutet will play Medvedev on I.hard court in the Final at the ATP Almaty Open event in Almaty Men’s Singles 2025 on 19th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Moutet 1-1 Medvedev
The current Head to Head score is 1-1. Moutet comes into this match with a ranking of 41 , while Medvedev is ranked 14.
Moutet vs Medvedev Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Medvedev has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Moutet has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Medvedev has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Moutet has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Medvedev has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Moutet has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Medvedev performs best on Hard, winning 75% (W/L 267/91) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 94/52). Moutet performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 189/107), and performs worse on Hard, winning 54% (W/L 68/58).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Daniil Medvedev has converted 29% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Corentin Moutet has converted 29% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Corentin Moutet played Alex Michelsen in the Semifinals at the Almaty Open – Almaty and won 7-5 6-4 in 02:12:06 . Daniil Medvedev played James Duckworth in the Semifinals at the Almaty Open – Almaty and won 6-7(8) 6-3 6-2 in 02:12:09.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Moutet Vs Medvedev
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Moutet has won 13 titles in his career, while Daniil Medvedev has won 25 events. Moutet has won 51% (41382 of 81724) of points played in his entire career, and Medvedev has achieved 53% (58654 of 111654). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Moutet has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (99 of 193), whereas Daniil Medvedev has won 57% (167 of 295). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Daniil Medvedev has an 59.59% probability of winning this match.
Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Daniil Medvedev To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Corentin Moutet has a 40.41% chance of winning and Daniil Medvedev has a 59.59% chance of taking the victory. We tip Medvedev to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Almaty Open – Almaty.
