Mariano Navone vs Marcos Giron Prediction – ATP U.S. Open – 24th August 2025 Best Bets

Mariano Navone and Marcos Giron Prediction Head To Head Summary

Navone vs Giron Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Navone has a 57.14% chance to win this match.

Navone → 1.75. Giron → 2.11.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Navone vs Giron Upcoming Match Details:

Navone will play Giron on Hard court in the First round at the ATP U.S. Open event in New York Men’s Singles 2025 on 24th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Navone 1-0 Giron

The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Navone comes into this match with a ranking of 74 , while Giron is ranked 55.

Navone vs Giron Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Giron has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Navone has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Giron has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Navone has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Giron has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Navone has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Giron performs best on I.hard, winning 60% (W/L 72/49) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 42% (W/L 35/49). Navone performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 237/128), and performs worse on Grass, winning 25% (W/L 2/6).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Marcos Giron has converted 31% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Mariano Navone has converted 36% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Mariano Navone played Bu Yunchaokete in the Third round at the Winston-Salem Open – Winston-Salem and lost 6-4 6-4 in 01:40:34 . Marcos Giron played Mariano Navone in the Second round at the Winston-Salem Open – Winston-Salem and lost 6-2 6-2 in 01:24:07.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Mariano Navone and Marcos Giron

Of their last 10 matches played, Navone has won 5, while Giron has won 3. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Navone has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 64.22 , while Giron has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 105.47.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Navone Vs Giron

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Navone has won 7 titles in his career, while Marcos Giron has won 9 events. Navone has won 51% (26475 of 51543) of points played in his entire career, and Giron has achieved 51% (47043 of 92883). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Navone has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (55 of 103), whereas Marcos Giron has won 52% (152 of 291). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Mariano Navone has an 58.98% probability of winning this match.

Mariano Navone vs Marcos Giron Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Mariano Navone To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Mariano Navone has a 58.98% chance of winning and Marcos Giron has a 41.02% chance of taking the victory. We tip Navone to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.