Cameron Norrie and Sebastian Baez Prediction Head To Head Summary
Norrie vs Baez Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Norrie has a 71.94% chance to win this match.
Norrie → 1.39. Baez → 3.25.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Norrie vs Baez Upcoming Match Details:
Norrie will play Baez on I.hard court in the First round at the ATP Rolex Paris Masters event in Paris Men’s Singles 2025 on 27th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Norrie 2-0 Baez
The current Head to Head score is 2-0. Norrie comes into this match with a ranking of 31 , while Baez is ranked 43.
Norrie vs Baez Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Baez has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Norrie has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Baez has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Norrie has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Baez has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Norrie has saved 60% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Baez performs best on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 229/102) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 13% (W/L 3/21). Norrie performs best on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 234/118), and performs worse on Grass, winning 49% (W/L 30/31).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Sebastian Baez has converted 36% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Cameron Norrie has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Cameron Norrie played Matteo Berrettini in the Second round at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and lost 7-6(6) 6-7(9) 6-4 in 03:16:05 . Sebastian Baez played Reilly Opelka in the First round at the Swiss Indoors Basel – Basel and lost 6-3 6-4 in 01:12:13.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Norrie Vs Baez
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Norrie has won 14 titles in his career, while Sebastian Baez has won 18 events. Norrie has won 51% (47374 of 92811) of points played in his entire career, and Baez has achieved 51% (32590 of 63504). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Norrie has won 52% of tie breaks in his entire career (117 of 227), whereas Sebastian Baez has won 51% (67 of 131). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Cameron Norrie has an 80.47% probability of winning this match.
Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian Baez Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Cameron Norrie To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Cameron Norrie has a 80.47% chance of winning and Sebastian Baez has a 19.53% chance of taking the victory. We tip Norrie to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Cameron Norrie
- Norrie vs Lehecka H2H, could play in The Third round
- Norrie vs Vacherot H2H, could play in The Third round
- Norrie vs Rinderknech H2H, could play in The Third round
- Norrie vs Marozsan H2H, could play in The Third round
- Alcaraz vs Norrie H2H, could play in The Second round
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sebastian Baez
- Baez vs Lehecka H2H, could play in The Third round
- Baez vs Vacherot H2H, could play in The Third round
- Baez vs Rinderknech H2H, could play in The Third round
- Baez vs Marozsan H2H, could play in The Third round
- Alcaraz vs Baez H2H, could play in The Second round
