Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini Prediction Head To Head Summary
Sabalenka vs Paolini Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Sabalenka has a 77.52% chance to win this match.
Sabalenka → 1.29. Paolini → 4.01.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Sabalenka vs Paolini Upcoming Match Details:
Sabalenka will play Paolini on I.hard court in the Robin round at the WTA WTA Finals event in Riyadh Women’s Singles 2025 on 2nd November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Sabalenka 5-2 Paolini
The current Head to Head score is 5-2. Sabalenka comes into this match with a ranking of 1 , while Paolini is ranked 8.
Sabalenka vs Paolini Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Paolini has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Sabalenka has won 40% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Paolini has won 35% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Sabalenka has won 30%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Paolini has been saving 49% of his breakpoints, and Sabalenka has saved 54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Paolini performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 226/127) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 49% (W/L 17/18). Sabalenka performs best on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 296/104), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 41/24).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Jasmine Paolini has converted 39% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Aryna Sabalenka has converted 33% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Aryna Sabalenka played Jessica Pegula in the Semifinals at the Wuhan Open – Wuhan and lost 2-6 6-4 7-6(2) in 02:19:22 . Jasmine Paolini played Elena Rybakina in the Semifinals at the Ningbo Open – Ningbo and lost 6-3 6-2 in 01:29:04.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Sabalenka Vs Paolini
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Sabalenka has won 30 titles in her career, while Jasmine Paolini has won 14 events. Sabalenka has won 53% (48050 of 91217) of points played in her entire career, and Paolini has achieved 51% (41653 of 82274). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Sabalenka has won 61% of tie breaks in his entire career (111 of 181), whereas Jasmine Paolini has won 55% (82 of 150). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Aryna Sabalenka has an 69.22% probability of winning this match.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Aryna Sabalenka has a 69.22% chance of winning and Jasmine Paolini has a 30.78% chance of taking the victory. We tip Sabalenka to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the WTA Finals – Riyadh.
