Denis Shapovalov and Joao Fonseca Prediction Head To Head Summary
Shapovalov vs Fonseca Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Shapovalov has a 57.80% chance to win this match.
Shapovalov → 2.14. Fonseca → 1.73.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Shapovalov vs Fonseca Upcoming Match Details:
Shapovalov will play Fonseca on I.hard court in the First round at the ATP Rolex Paris Masters event in Paris Men’s Singles 2025 on 28th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Shapovalov 0-1 Fonseca
The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Shapovalov comes into this match with a ranking of 24 , while Fonseca is ranked 28.
Shapovalov vs Fonseca Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Fonseca has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Shapovalov has won 43% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Fonseca has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Shapovalov has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Fonseca has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Shapovalov has saved 51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Fonseca performs best on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 31/11) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 42% (W/L 5/7). Shapovalov performs best on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 86/52), and performs worse on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 25/27).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Joao Fonseca has converted 31% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Denis Shapovalov has converted 37% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Denis Shapovalov played Joao Fonseca in the Quarterfinals at the Swiss Indoors Basel – Basel and lost 3-6 6-3 4-1 ret. in 01:36:07 . Joao Fonseca played Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Final at the Swiss Indoors Basel – Basel and won 6-3 6-4 in 01:25:30.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Shapovalov Vs Fonseca
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Shapovalov has won 13 titles in his career, while Joao Fonseca has won 7 events. Shapovalov has won 51% (43127 of 84631) of points played in his entire career, and Fonseca has achieved 51% (10862 of 21150). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Shapovalov has won 50% of tie breaks in his entire career (130 of 261), whereas Joao Fonseca has won 58% (38 of 66). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Denis Shapovalov has an 59.09% probability of winning this match.
Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Denis Shapovalov To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Denis Shapovalov has a 59.09% chance of winning and Joao Fonseca has a 40.91% chance of taking the victory. We tip Shapovalov to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Denis Shapovalov
- Shapovalov vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Shapovalov vs Diallo H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Shapovalov vs Griekspoor H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Khachanov vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Second round
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Joao Fonseca
- Fonseca vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Fonseca vs Diallo H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Fonseca vs Griekspoor H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Khachanov vs Fonseca H2H, could play in The Second round
