Denis Shapovalov and Casper Ruud Prediction Head To Head Summary
Shapovalov vs Ruud Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Ruud has a 58.14% chance to win this match.
Shapovalov → 2.16. Ruud → 1.72.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Shapovalov vs Ruud Upcoming Match Details:
Shapovalov will play Ruud on I.hard court in the Semifinals at the ATP BNP Paribas Nordic Open event in Stockholm Men’s Singles 2025 on 18th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Shapovalov 1-2 Ruud
The current Head to Head score is 1-2. Shapovalov comes into this match with a ranking of 23 , while Ruud is ranked 12.
Shapovalov vs Ruud Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Ruud has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Shapovalov has won 43% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Ruud has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Shapovalov has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Ruud has been saving 50% of his breakpoints, and Shapovalov has saved 51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Ruud performs best on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 251/109) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 38% (W/L 5/8). Shapovalov performs best on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 84/50), and performs worse on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 25/27).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Casper Ruud has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Denis Shapovalov has converted 37% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Denis Shapovalov played Elias Ymer in the Quarterfinals at the BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm and won 6-4 6-7(3) 6-1 in 02:36:52 . Casper Ruud played Sebastian Korda in the Quarterfinals at the BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm and won 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 in 02:30:23.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Shapovalov Vs Ruud
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Shapovalov has won 13 titles in his career, while Casper Ruud has won 22 events. Shapovalov has won 51% (42840 of 84061) of points played in his entire career, and Ruud has achieved 52% (49236 of 95404). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Shapovalov has won 50% of tie breaks in his entire career (128 of 258), whereas Casper Ruud has won 51% (127 of 247). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Casper Ruud has an 52.55% probability of winning this match.
Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Casper Ruud To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Denis Shapovalov has a 47.45% chance of winning and Casper Ruud has a 52.55% chance of taking the victory. We tip Ruud to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Denis Shapovalov
- Humbert vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Korda vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Vacherot vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Fritz vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
