Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur Prediction Head To Head Summary
Sinner vs Minaur Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Sinner has a 86.21% chance to win this match.
Sinner → 1.16. Minaur → 6.51.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Sinner vs Minaur Upcoming Match Details:
Sinner will play Minaur on I.hard court in the Semifinals at the ATP Erste Bank Open event in Vienna Men’s Singles 2025 on 25th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Sinner 11-0 Minaur
The current Head to Head score is 11-0. Sinner comes into this match with a ranking of 2 , while Minaur is ranked 7.
Sinner vs Minaur Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Minaur has won 46% of points on his second serve, while Sinner has won 41% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Minaur has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Sinner has won 22%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 40% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Minaur has been saving 56% of his breakpoints, and Sinner has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Minaur performs best on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/25) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 75/56). Sinner performs best on I.hard, winning 80% (W/L 103/25), and performs worse on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 98/45).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Alex De Minaur has converted 26% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jannik Sinner has converted 23% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Jannik Sinner played Alexander Bublik in the Quarterfinals at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and won 6-4 6-4 in 01:16:20 . Alex De Minaur played Matteo Berrettini in the Quarterfinals at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and won 6-1 7-6(4) in 01:43:49.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Sinner Vs Minaur
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Sinner has won 28 titles in his career, while Alex De Minaur has won 14 events. Sinner has won 53% (41794 of 78428) of points played in his entire career, and Minaur has achieved 52% (48613 of 93934). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Sinner has won 63% of tie breaks in his entire career (124 of 196), whereas Alex De Minaur has won 56% (129 of 230). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jannik Sinner has an 67.57% probability of winning this match.
Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jannik Sinner To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jannik Sinner has a 67.57% chance of winning and Alex De Minaur has a 32.43% chance of taking the victory. We tip Sinner to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Erste Bank Open – Vienna.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jannik Sinner
- Bergs vs Sinner H2H, could play in The Second round
- Michelsen vs Sinner H2H, could play in The Second round
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Alex De Minaur
- Fonseca vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Third round
- Shapovalov vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Third round
- Bonzi vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Third round
- Khachanov vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Third round
- Diallo vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Second round
- Griekspoor vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Second round
