Lorenzo Sonego and Sebastian Korda Prediction Head To Head Summary
Sonego vs Korda Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Korda has a 59.88% chance to win this match.
Sonego → 2.24. Korda → 1.67.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Sonego vs Korda Upcoming Match Details:
Sonego will play Korda on I.hard court in the First round at the ATP Rolex Paris Masters event in Paris Men’s Singles 2025 on 27th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Sonego 3-2 Korda
The current Head to Head score is 3-2. Sonego comes into this match with a ranking of 45 , while Korda is ranked 54.
Sonego vs Korda Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Korda has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Sonego has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Korda has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Sonego has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Korda has been saving 56% of his breakpoints, and Sonego has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Korda performs best on Grass, winning 64% (W/L 16/9) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 85/62). Sonego performs best on Clay, winning 59% (W/L 203/141), and performs worse on Hard, winning 48% (W/L 85/92).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Sebastian Korda has converted 22% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Lorenzo Sonego has converted 30% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Lorenzo Sonego played Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the First round at the Swiss Indoors Basel – Basel and lost 7-6(2) 6-4 in 02:02:27 . Sebastian Korda played Valentin Royer in the Q3 round at the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris and won 6-2 5-7 6-4 in 02:18:08.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Sonego Vs Korda
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Sonego has won 10 titles in his career, while Sebastian Korda has won 4 events. Sonego has won 51% (47221 of 93079) of points played in his entire career, and Korda has achieved 51% (31618 of 61925). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Sonego has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (154 of 300), whereas Sebastian Korda has won 55% (99 of 181). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Sebastian Korda has an 69.77% probability of winning this match.
Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Sebastian Korda To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Lorenzo Sonego has a 30.23% chance of winning and Sebastian Korda has a 69.77% chance of taking the victory. We tip Korda to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Lorenzo Sonego
- Sonego vs Medvedev H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Sonego vs Clar H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Sonego vs Dimitrov H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Sonego vs Perricard H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Musetti vs Sonego H2H, could play in The Second round
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sebastian Korda
- Korda vs Medvedev H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Korda vs Clar H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Korda vs Dimitrov H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Korda vs Perricard H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Musetti vs Korda H2H, could play in The Second round
