Lorenzo Sonego and Daniil Medvedev Prediction Head To Head Summary
Sonego vs Medvedev Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Medvedev has a 74.07% chance to win this match.
Sonego → 3.53. Medvedev → 1.35.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Sonego vs Medvedev Upcoming Match Details:
Sonego will play Medvedev on I.hard court in the Third round at the ATP Rolex Paris Masters event in Paris Men’s Singles 2025 on 30th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Sonego 0-3 Medvedev
The current Head to Head score is 0-3. Sonego comes into this match with a ranking of 45 , while Medvedev is ranked 13.
Sonego vs Medvedev Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Medvedev has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Sonego has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Medvedev has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Sonego has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 42% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Medvedev has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Sonego has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Medvedev performs best on Hard, winning 75% (W/L 267/91) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 94/52). Sonego performs best on Clay, winning 59% (W/L 203/141), and performs worse on Hard, winning 48% (W/L 85/92).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Daniil Medvedev has converted 29% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Lorenzo Sonego has converted 30% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Lorenzo Sonego played Lorenzo Musetti in the Second round at the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris and won 3-6 6-3 6-1 in 01:56:05 . Daniil Medvedev played Jaume Antoni Munar Clar in the First round at the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris and won 6-1 6-3 in 01:10:26.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Sonego Vs Medvedev
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Sonego has won 10 titles in his career, while Daniil Medvedev has won 26 events. Sonego has won 51% (47363 of 93335) of points played in his entire career, and Medvedev has achieved 53% (58993 of 112302). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Sonego has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (154 of 300), whereas Daniil Medvedev has won 56% (167 of 297). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Daniil Medvedev has an 68.05% probability of winning this match.
Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedev Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Daniil Medvedev To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Lorenzo Sonego has a 31.95% chance of winning and Daniil Medvedev has a 68.05% chance of taking the victory. We tip Medvedev to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Lorenzo Sonego
- Sonego vs Sinner H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Sonego vs Cerundolo H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Sonego vs Rublev H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Sonego vs Shelton H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Sonego vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Sonego vs Fokina H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Daniil Medvedev
- Medvedev vs Sinner H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Medvedev vs Cerundolo H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Medvedev vs Rublev H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Medvedev vs Shelton H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Medvedev vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Medvedev vs Fokina H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
