Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys Prediction Head To Head Summary
Swiatek vs Keys Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Swiatek has a 74.63% chance to win this match.
Swiatek → 1.34. Keys → 3.62.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Swiatek vs Keys Upcoming Match Details:
Swiatek will play Keys on I.hard court in the Robin round at the WTA WTA Finals event in Riyadh Women’s Singles 2025 on 1st November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Swiatek 5-2 Keys
The current Head to Head score is 5-2. Swiatek comes into this match with a ranking of 2 , while Keys is ranked 7.
Swiatek vs Keys Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Keys has won 41% of points on his second serve, while Swiatek has won 38% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Keys has won 30% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Swiatek has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 50% and 48% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Keys has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Swiatek has saved 46% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Keys performs best on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/22) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/15). Swiatek performs best on Clay, winning 87% (W/L 148/22), and performs worse on Grass, winning 76% (W/L 28/9).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Madison Keys has converted 36% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Iga Swiatek has converted 33% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Iga Swiatek played Jasmine Paolini in the Quarterfinals at the Wuhan Open – Wuhan and lost 6-1 6-2 in 01:05:19 . Madison Keys played Renata Zarazua in the First round at the U.S. Open – New York and lost 6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5 in 03:10:00.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Swiatek Vs Keys
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Swiatek has won 33 titles in her career, while Madison Keys has won 15 events. Swiatek has won 55% (33610 of 61042) of points played in her entire career, and Keys has achieved 52% (42529 of 81534). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Swiatek has won 54% of tie breaks in his entire career (43 of 80), whereas Madison Keys has won 58% (102 of 177). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Iga Swiatek has an 53.4% probability of winning this match.
Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Iga Swiatek To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Iga Swiatek has a 53.4% chance of winning and Madison Keys has a 46.6% chance of taking the victory. We tip Swiatek to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the WTA Finals – Riyadh.
