

What Time Will Matteo Arnaldi Play Against Alexander Zverev?
Arnaldi and Zverev are on the Day 4 Schedule at Erste Bank Open 2025 on Thursday 23 October 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.
Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?
Matteo Arnaldi from Italy and Alexander Zverev from Germany have faced each other twice before, with Zverev leading 2-0 in their head-to-head matchups. Their previous encounters took place in Acapulco, Mexico, and at the ATP Masters 1000 in Toronto, Canada. In Acapulco, Zverev emerged victorious in a closely contested match with a score of 6-7(2) 6-3 6-4, while in Toronto, he also won in three sets with a score of 6-7(5) 6-3 6-2.
Analyzing their 52-week averages, Zverev has slightly better numbers than Arnaldi in various categories such as attack conversion, serve quality, return quality, forehand quality, and backhand quality. The tour average falls between their respective averages in most fields.
Matteo Arnaldi, aged 24, currently ranked World No. 72, has made significant strides in his career, breaking into the Top 500 in September 2021, the Top 200 in August 2022, and the Top 100 in May 2023. He reached a career-high ranking of No. 30 after making it to the semifinals of the ATP Masters 1000 in Montreal. Arnaldi has had notable achievements at various tournaments, including reaching his first ATP Tour quarterfinal and semifinal at Umag in 2023 and making it to the fourth round of the US Open the same year.
On the other hand, Alexander Zverev, aged 28, holds the World No. 3 ranking with a career-high of No. 2. Throughout his career, he has amassed a strong record with multiple titles, including victories over top players like Djokovic and Nadal. Zverev has a formidable track record with Grand Slam finals appearances, ATP Masters 1000 titles, and wins over tennis legends on different surfaces.
Both players are looking to continue their successful seasons and advance to the quarterfinals of the tournament. Arnaldi seeks to secure a victory over a top-ranked player like Zverev to reach his ninth ATP Tour quarterfinal, while Zverev aims to achieve his 107th tour-level quarterfinal appearance and record his 50th win of the season, continuing his consistent performance on the tennis circuit.
My Conclusion / Prediction:
My pick is that Arnaldi will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.
To find out who our model thinks will win for Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverev, have a look at the prediction here:
Matchstat.com Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverev prediction.
