Prediction Of Berrettini Vs Fearnley H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Internazionali Bnl D’italia 2025?

What Time Will Matteo Berrettini Play Against Jacob Fearnley?

Berrettini and Fearnley are on the Day 4 Schedule at Internazionali Bnl D’italia 2025 on Saturday 10 May 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Matteo Berrettini from Italy will face Jacob Fearnley from Great Britain for the first time. Tennis Data Innovations Insights uses algorithmic software to analyze real-time ball and player tracking data to calculate shot types, shot quality, situation, phase of play, and tactics for every shot. More information can be found at https://www.atptour.com/en/news/news-filter-results/insights.

Insights from the 52-week averages show that Berrettini has a 26% conversion rate, 69% score steal, 31% serve quality, 8.8 forehand quality, 6.5 return quality, 7.9 forehand quality, and 6.9 backhand quality. On the other hand, Fearnley has a 24% conversion rate, 70% score steal, 32% serve quality, 7.7 forehand quality, 6.2 return quality, 7.4 forehand quality, and 7.0 backhand quality. The tour average stands at 24% conversion, 69% score steal, 31% serve quality, 7.9 forehand quality, 6.5 return quality, 7.5 forehand quality, and 7.1 backhand quality.

Matteo Berrettini, aged 29, is currently ranked World No. 30 with a career-high of World No. 6. In 2025, he has a record of 12-9 with three quarterfinal appearances. In Rome, he holds a record of 7-5, reaching the quarterfinals in 2020. Berrettini has numerous accomplishments to his name, including reaching the semifinals of the 2022 Australian Open, becoming the third-highest-ranked Italian since the start of the ATP Rankings in 1973. He has also made history by becoming the first Italian men’s singles finalist at Wimbledon in 2021 and the first Italian Grand Slam men’s singles finalist since 1976. Berrettini is known for his achievements on grass courts, owning a record of 42-11 with 4 ATP Tour titles.

Jacob Fearnley, aged 23, has achieved a career-high of World No. 57 in May 2025. He has a record of 8-6 in 2025, including reaching the third round of the Australian Open and Madrid. Fearnley’s rise in the rankings has been notable, starting from being unranked in July 2023 to breaking into the Top 500 in June 2024. He has had success on the Challenger circuit in 2024, posting a record of 27-3 with multiple titles. Fearnley has also had success in college tennis, becoming a four-time ITA All-American and helping his team win the national championship in his final year.

In their past encounters, Berrettini holds a 24-1 record against players outside the Top 50 since last July, with his lone loss to No. 317 Stricker in Stockholm. Fearnley, on the other hand, has a 1-5 record against Top 30 players but is on the rise after defeating No. 20 Machac en route to the third round in Madrid. Fearnley needs to reach at least the fourth round to have a chance at entering the Top 50 rankings. He has shown resilience, being 8-0 after winning the first set in tour-level matches.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Berrettini will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Matteo Berrettini vs Jacob Fearnley, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Matteo Berrettini vs Jacob Fearnley prediction.