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Aidan Mchugh vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Mchugh vs Arnaldi analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Aidan Mchugh vs Matteo Arnaldi Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Mchugh has won 53.36% of points on his second serve, while Arnaldi has won 50.76%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Mchugh, in recent form, has won 48.32% of his opponent's second serve points, while Arnaldi has won 48.38%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.37% and 29.52% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Mchugh has saved 60.4% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Arnaldi has saved 60.11% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Mchugh has won 59.74% of matches played (W/L 46/ 31), with Arnaldi winning 65.71% (W/L 46/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Mchugh has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 63% (W/L 158/ 94), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 31% (W/L 4/ 9). Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 118/ 57), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 12/ 19).
  • Player level: In the last year, Mchugh has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 71.7% of matches (W/L 38/ 15), where as Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.26% of matches (W/L 16/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Mchugh winning 1 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Mchugh winning 2 and Arnaldi winning 0. The last match between Mchugh and Arnaldi was at the Forli 2 Challenger, 10-01-2022, Q3, I.hard with Aidan Mchugh getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:9:42.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Mchugh and Arnaldi have played a deciding set 0 times, with Mchugh winning 0 times and Arnaldi 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Mchugh winning 1, and Arnaldi 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Mchugh has played against opponents with an average rank of 193.75 while Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 170.16.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Mchugh has won 68% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Arnaldi has won 58% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Mchugh has converted 40% of breakpoint opportunities, and Arnaldi has converted 35.05% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Mchugh 1 - 0 Arnaldi

Aidan Mchugh

7

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

7

Minor

363

Rank

298

High

23

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

0

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

40

Rank

35

High

23

Age

Plays

Matteo Arnaldi

6

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

2

Minor

1

Total

0

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W L W W L L L W L

Form

L W W W L L W W W L

60% (243-163)

Career Total W/L

63% (200-115)

42% (8-11)

YTD W/L

57% (13-10)

$32,000

Career Prize Money

$1,297,270

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Mchugh VS Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Aidan Mchugh Matteo Arnaldi
All H2H Matches 1 0
Sets Won 2 0
Games Won 13 10
Aces (Total) 2 7
DFs (Total) 1 4
Avg Match Time 2:9:42 2:9:42
1st Serve % 71% (66/93) 61% (45/74)
1st Serve Win% 65% (43/66) 69% (31/45)
2nd Serve Win% 44% (12/27) 41% (12/29)
BPs Won% (Total) 38% (3/8) 15% (2/13)
Return Points W% 42% (31/74) 41% (38/93)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)

Mchugh VS Arnaldi H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(1) 6-4
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
71% ( 66 of 93)
1st Serve %
61% ( 45 of 74)
2
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
4
65% ( 43 of 66)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 31 of 45)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
15% ( 2 of 13)
41% ( 38 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 31 of 74)
86
Total Points Won
81

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Aidan Mchugh Matteo Arnaldi
YTD W/L 42% (8/11) 57% (13/10)
Sets Win/Loss 44% (19/24) 54% (31/26)
Games Win/Loss 49% (200/211) 50% (290/289)
Hard Win/Loss 33% (2/4) 56% (10/8)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 60% (3/2)
Indoor Hard W/L 46% (6/7) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.34 0.59
Aces Total 68 168
DFs per game 0.16 0.22
DFs Total 32 62
Avg Match Time 1:49:56 2:7:54
Avg Opp Rank 259.05 181.83
1st Serve % 69% (884/1286) 56% (1061/1882)
1st Serve W% 67% (589/884) 72% (766/1061)
2nd Serve W% 54% (219/402) 50% (414/821)
BPs Won% Total 42% (42/101) 36% (62/174)
Return Pts W% 36% (469/1305) 37% (706/1891)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (1/1)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 57% (4/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/0) 57% (8/6)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 33% (4/8) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 57% (4/3) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 42% (8/19) 55% (11/20)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 50% (1/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 38% (3/8) 67% (8/12)
Deciding Set W% 40% (2/5) 45% (5/11)
1st set W, W 78% (9/7) 75% (12/9)
1st set W, L 22% (9/2) 25% (12/3)
1st set L, W 10% (10/1) 30% (10/3)

Aidan Mchugh Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Adam Walton
Player
Aidan Mchugh
66% ( 23 of 35)
1st Serve %
79% ( 30 of 38)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
87% ( 20 of 23)
1st Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 7 of 35)
Rtn Points Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
53
Total Points Won
20
L
6-1 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
Ryan Seggerman
80% ( 49 of 61)
1st Serve %
66% ( 31 of 47)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
92% ( 11 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
69% ( 11 of 16)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
30% ( 18 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 21 of 47)
64
Total Points Won
44
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Maxime Janvier
Player
Aidan Mchugh
65% ( 71 of 109)
1st Serve %
69% ( 81 of 117)
18
Aces
0
10
Double Faults
2
79% ( 56 of 71)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 55 of 81)
47% ( 18 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 20 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
57% ( 4 of 7)
32% ( 35 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 42 of 117)
116
Total Points Won
110
L
4-6 7-6(1) 7-6(6) H2H
R1
cross
Adria Soriano Barrera
Player
Aidan Mchugh
46% ( 27 of 59)
1st Serve %
75% ( 39 of 52)
5
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
81% ( 22 of 27)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 27 of 39)
63% ( 20 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 7 of 13)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
29% ( 17 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 18 of 52)
60
Total Points Won
51
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Daniil Glinka
Player
Aidan Mchugh
68% ( 36 of 53)
1st Serve %
59% ( 33 of 56)
7
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
2
89% ( 32 of 36)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 23 of 33)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 11 of 23)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 12 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 22 of 56)
63
Total Points Won
46
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
Filippo Romano
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve %
59% ( 40 of 68)
3
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
7
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 28 of 40)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 18 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 28 of 68)
73
Total Points Won
58
W
7-6(4) 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
Antoine Berger
74% ( 45 of 61)
1st Serve %
62% ( 56 of 91)
11
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
7
84% ( 38 of 45)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 39 of 56)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
17% ( 2 of 12)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
23% ( 14 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 36 of 91)
83
Total Points Won
69
W
7-6(5) 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Theo Papamalamis
Player
Aidan Mchugh
62% ( 57 of 92)
1st Serve %
61% ( 43 of 70)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
70% ( 40 of 57)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 22 of 43)
46% ( 16 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
7% ( 1 of 14)
39% ( 36 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 34 of 70)
90
Total Points Won
72
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
Charlie Camus
78% ( 50 of 64)
1st Serve %
72% ( 39 of 54)
5
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
1
70% ( 35 of 50)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 22 of 39)
50% ( 7 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 7 of 15)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
34% ( 22 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 25 of 54)
67
Total Points Won
51
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
Jake Van Emburgh
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve %
63% ( 25 of 40)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
69% ( 22 of 32)
1st Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
69% ( 9 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 7 of 15)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 14 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
60% ( 24 of 40)
55
Total Points Won
30
W
6-2 6-1 H2H

Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
75% ( 50 of 67)
1st Serve %
53% ( 27 of 51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 25 of 51)
67
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Marco Trungelliti
55% ( 26 of 47)
1st Serve %
61% ( 38 of 62)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 21 of 38)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 11 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 32 of 62)
68
Total Points Won
41
W
6-3 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Sebastian Baez
55% ( 52 of 95)
1st Serve %
66% ( 83 of 125)
11
Aces
0
9
Double Faults
5
71% ( 37 of 52)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 46 of 83)
44% ( 19 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 21 of 42)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
83% ( 5 of 6)
41% ( 39 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 58 of 125)
114
Total Points Won
106
W
5-7 7-6(8) 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Cazaux
60% ( 24 of 40)
1st Serve %
69% ( 24 of 35)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
0
71% ( 17 of 24)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
31% ( 5 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
45% ( 18 of 40)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
39
Total Points Won
36
W
5-5 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Sumit Nagal
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64% ( 64 of 100)
1st Serve %
55% ( 53 of 97)
1
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
6
55% ( 35 of 64)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 36 of 53)
72% ( 26 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 19 of 44)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
39% ( 39 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 42 of 97)
103
Total Points Won
94
L
5-7 6-2 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
63% ( 38 of 60)
1st Serve %
65% ( 31 of 48)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
71% ( 27 of 38)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 22 of 31)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
32% ( 19 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 19 of 48)
60
Total Points Won
48
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Denis Shapovalov
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
59% ( 35 of 59)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 28 of 35)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 23 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 19 of 59)
69
Total Points Won
63
W
6-3 7-6(7) H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Alexander Bublik
58% ( 36 of 62)
1st Serve %
59% ( 35 of 59)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 24 of 35)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 7 of 24)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
35% ( 22 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 28 of 59)
68
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Fils
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve %
59% ( 42 of 71)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
93% ( 27 of 29)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 30 of 42)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
20% ( 2 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
16% ( 8 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 29 of 71)
70
Total Points Won
50
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
57% ( 43 of 76)
1st Serve %
57% ( 52 of 92)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
86% ( 37 of 43)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 31 of 52)
55% ( 18 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 17 of 40)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
28% ( 21 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 44 of 92)
99
Total Points Won
69
L
6-7(5) 6-0 6-1 H2H

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