Ajla Tomljanovic vs Anastasija Sevastova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Tomljanovic has demonstrated stronger second serve performance recently, winning 40.68% of points, compared to Sevastova's 36.79%. Is this a decisive factor? It often correlates with match outcomes.
• When it comes to returning second serves, Sevastova has a slight edge, capturing 54.66% of these points, whereas Tomljanovic wins 51.1%.
• Under breakpoint pressure, Tomljanovic saves 53.82% of the time, narrowly outperforming Sevastova's 53.03%.
• Over the past year, Tomljanovic has a higher win rate of 53.85%, in contrast to Sevastova's 41.67%.
• Tomljanovic excels on grass, with a 59% win rate, while Sevastova shines on clay, boasting a 68% win rate.
• On the main tour, Tomljanovic has been more successful, winning 60.71% of matches, compared to Sevastova's 40%.
• Their direct encounters show Sevastova leading 2-1, but Tomljanovic achieved a dominant win in their last match.
• Tomljanovic performs better in deciding sets, winning 65% over the past year, whereas Sevastova has won 33%.
• When considering break point conversion in recent matches, Sevastova holds a slight advantage, converting 42.67% compared to Tomljanovic's 41.71%.
• The average rank of opponents faced by Tomljanovic is slightly higher at 121.23 vs. Sevastova's 118.83.

Editorial Prediction (July 28, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match showcases a fascinating contrast between Tomljanovic's consistent main tour performance and Sevastova's tactical advantage in returning second serves.

While historical head-to-head encounters slightly favor Sevastova, recent patterns suggest Tomljanovic may have an edge on the biggest stages.

With Tomljanovic's superior second serve and breakpoint resilience, combined with her strong overall performance on the main tour and on grass courts, she appears to be in a favorable position against Sevastova.

Although Sevastova’s better record in their head-to-head matches cannot be overlooked, Tomljanovic's ability to rise to the occasion and critical success in deciding sets suggest she is better prepared for this encounter.

Considering all factors, Tomljanovic is the likely winner in this upcoming tennis match.