They have played 4 sets in total, with Alec Deckers winning 1 and Gastao Elias winning 3. The last match between Gastao Elias and Alec Deckers was at the M25 Sintra, 31-10-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Gastao Elias getting the victory 6-2 6-2.
When focusing on second serve performance in the last six months, Alec Deckers has outperformed Gastao Elias by winning 47.38% of points compared to Elias’s 42.10%. This could suggest an edge for Deckers in this key area.
On return games, Elias shows strength by winning 48.12% of points on opponents' second serves in recent times, slightly ahead of Deckers at 45.34%. What implications might this have for their matchup?
For first serve returns, Elias again has an advantage, with 25.63% success compared to Deckers’s 23.05%. Is this enough to sway the match outcome in his favor?
Under pressure, Deckers has shown resilience by saving 57.44% of breakpoints recently, surpassing Elias's 51.28%—a potential factor in predicting key moments in the match.
Over the past year, Deckers has a higher winning percentage at 75.00%, while Elias trails with 64.15%. Does this give Deckers the upper hand overall?
Each player has a preferred surface: Deckers excels on indoor hard courts with a 75% win rate, while Elias is strong on clay with the same success rate. It's crucial to consider the match surface when predicting the outcome.
Although both players have mostly competed in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events, Elias has a slightly better match win rate of 80% compared to Deckers's 75%. Does this suggest Elias is the stronger competitor at this level?
In their past direct encounters, Deckers leads with a 1-0 win record over Elias. Does this head-to-head advantage make Deckers the favorite in their upcoming match?
Both players have faced opponents of similar quality over the last year, with Deckers's opponents having an average rank of 327.91 and Elias's at 312.96.
Considering deciding set performances, Deckers seems to shine, winning 73% of such sets compared to Elias’s 67%. Could this knack for closing out matches weigh in favor of Deckers if the match decides to go the distance?
Editorial Prediction (October 31, 2025, UTC):
A close analysis indicates Alec Deckers might have a slight edge over Gastao Elias, especially when considering second serve points and breakpoint resilience. His overall match winning percentage and head-to-head advantage further bolster his position.
Despite Elias's stronger return game stats, Deckers's ability to perform under pressure could be decisive. The surface may not dramatically favor either player since the current surface-related data is evenly matched.
Although Elias has a marginally higher win rate in similar-level tournaments, Deckers's aptitude in closing out deciding sets gives him an extra advantage. Therefore, Alec Deckers is most likely to win this upcoming tennis match based on these facts.
Alec Deckers vs Gastao Elias Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
A. Deckers vs G. Elias H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions