Alejandro Tabilo vs Lorenzo Carboni Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Alejandro Tabilo has a slight edge in recent second serve performance, winning 48.78% of points compared to Lorenzo Carboni's 43.41%. Could this indicate Tabilo's potential advantage in the match?
• Regarding return games, Carboni outperforms Tabilo by claiming 46.74% of points on opponents' second serves, versus Tabilo’s 44.55%.
• On first serve returns, Carboni again has the upper hand, securing 30.57% of points compared to Tabilo's 24.69%.
• Tabilo shows a minor edge under pressure, saving 55.21% of breakpoints, while Carboni saves 53.43%.
• In the past year, Carboni boasts a better win rate, 64.20% compared to Tabilo’s 55.10%. Does this show Carboni as the more consistent player?
• Tabilo performs best on clay with a 61% win rate; this matches Carboni's top performance on hard surfaces, also at 61%.
• Alejandro Tabilo has competed at a higher level, mainly on the Main tour, winning 50% of his matches, whereas Carboni excels in Futures/ITF tournaments with a 70.69% win rate.
• Tabilo has faced opponents with an average rank of 147.29 in the last year, significantly higher than Carboni's average opponent rank of 353.27.
• In deciding sets, Carboni is more successful, winning 64% compared to Tabilo’s 50%, which could be critical if the match goes the distance.

Editorial Prediction (October 14, 2025, UTC):

Evaluating recent performance metrics, Alejandro Tabilo exhibits a slight edge in second serve success and has narrowly better pressure-handling abilities than Lorenzo Carboni. These factors may offer him an advantage in serving under stress.

Lorenzo Carboni, however, surpasses Tabilo in return game efficiency, both on first and second serves, which could enable him to break Tabilo's serve more efficiently.

While Tabilo has been tested against top-tier competition, displayed by higher-ranked opponents, Carboni's recent success in deciding sets and his overall stronger win rate could counterbalance Tabilo's Main tour experience.

Given these analyses, the likely winner of this matchup, based on current factors, seems to be Lorenzo Carboni, owing to his superior return ability and greater consistency in closing matches.