Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Marta Kostyuk Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the recent six months, Marta Kostyuk excelled with winning 38.85% of points on her second serve, compared to Aliaksandra Sasnovich's 35.95%. Does this advantage in second serve performance make Kostyuk more likely to win? It certainly gives her an edge.
• When it comes to returning second serves, Aliaksandra Sasnovich slightly outperformed Kostyuk, winning 51.41% of the points against 50.59% for Kostyuk.
• Sasnovich holds the upper hand on first serve returns with 35.29% against Kostyuk's 31.15%. Will this advantage on return be significant enough? It's a crucial factor to consider.
• Under pressure, Kostyuk successfully saved 53.45% of breakpoints, surpassing Sasnovich's 50%, indicating stronger resilience in tough moments.
• Marta Kostyuk has maintained a higher match-winning percentage over the past year at 59.57%, slightly edging out Sasnovich's 58.18%.
• Both players show distinct surface preferences; Kostyuk excels on Clay with a 66% win rate, while Sasnovich performs best on indoor hard courts with a 68% win rate.
• Kostyuk has participated more in the Masters series with a 71.43% winning percentage, while Sasnovich focused on the Main tour with a 60.87% success rate.
• Direct head-to-head encounters favor Kostyuk, who won their only match so far during their face-off at the Guadalajara Open Akron in 2022.
• When facing opponents, Kostyuk has contended with higher-ranked players (average rank of 63.21) compared to Sasnovich's opponents (average rank of 160.67), suggesting Kostyuk has faced stronger competition.
• Live predictions could lean towards Kostyuk in a deciding set, as she has a 63% success rate compared to Sasnovich's 61% over the past year.

Editorial Prediction (September 29, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Marta Kostyuk and Aliaksandra Sasnovich promises to be competitive, given their statistical performances and recent form. Kostyuk's proficiency in second serve points and her capability to save a higher percentage of breakpoints give her an advantage in pressure situations. Furthermore, her success rate against highly ranked opponents highlights her competitive edge.

Sasnovich, meanwhile, demonstrates superior return capabilities on both first and second serves, which could prove pivotal in countering Kostyuk's serve strengths. Despite this, her overall match win rate in the past year is slightly lower than Kostyuk's, and she was defeated in their only previous encounter.

Considering these factors, while both players have their strengths, Marta Kostyuk seems more likely to emerge victorious given her consistent high performance in key areas and past head-to-head success. The prediction leans towards Kostyuk clinching the match.