Anastasia Tikhonova vs Elina Nepliy Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Elina Nepliy has secured 36.51% of second serve points in the last six months, in contrast, Anastasia Tikhonova has a slightly higher percentage at 39.28%. Does this indicate a marginal advantage for Tikhonova? It certainly does in terms of serving resilience.
• When it comes to return games, Nepliy has claimed 47.08% of her opposition's second serve points, while Tikhonova tops her with a solid 55.21%. Could this be the deciding factor in Tikhonova's favor? It appears likely.
• Looking at first serve returns, Nepliy holds an edge with 35.72%, compared to Tikhonova's 33.30%. This tends to balance their playing field slightly.
• Under pressure, Tikhonova saves 48.71% of breakpoints, surpassing Nepliy’s 42.81%, suggesting a steadier performance when she's on the defensive.
• Over the past year, Nepliy has a 55.56% match win rate, while Tikhonova trails at 46.67%. Does this mean Nepliy could prevail in a long-term view? Possibly, though the context matters.
• Both players show their strength on indoor hard courts, each boasting a 64% win rate; however, both falter on clay with identical 47% win rates, suggesting surface may not be a deciding factor.
• Nepliy frequently competes in lower-tier tournaments, winning 59.09%, whereas Tikhonova engages at a higher level, albeit with a 45.45% win rate. How important is this? Tikhonova's experience against tougher opponents might come in handy.
• In direct encounters, Tikhonova leads their head-to-head, winning the sole match convincingly in straight sets.
• Nepliy generally faces opponents with an average ranking of 394.93, whereas Tikhonova competes against those ranked at an average of 353.33, suggesting she faces stiffer competition regularly.
• Should this match progress to a deciding set, Tikhonova again has an edge, having won 45% compared to Nepliy's 38% in the past year.

Editorial Prediction (October 1, 2025, UTC):

Evaluating the recent performance trends, Anastasia Tikhonova stands out with a slightly superior second serve performance, which has been shown to forecast match outcomes accurately. Her advantage in return games, especially on her opponent's second serve, further solidifies her position as a strong contender.

Both players shine on indoor hard courts, minimizing surface differences. However, Tikhonova’s experience in higher-level tournaments, coupled with her ability to save breakpoints under pressure, suggests that she holds significant psychological and tactical advantages.

The fact that Tikhonova has already defeated Nepliy in their prior encounter and faces more formidable opponents consistently points in her favor. Taking all factors into consideration, Anastasia Tikhonova is favored to win this upcoming match.