Andrey Rublev vs Jacob Fearnley Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Jacob Fearnley has won 44.27% of his second serve points, while Andrey Rublev has a slightly better rate at 46.11%.
• Fearnley has been more successful in returning second serves, capturing 47.51% of these points compared to Rublev's 44.30%.
• Both players have a solid first serve return, but Fearnley leads Rublev at 23.03% versus 20.93%.
• Under pressure, Rublev excels by saving 58.77% of breakpoints, whereas Fearnley saves 53.73%.
• Over the past year, Fearnley has a higher win rate of 57.81% compared to Rublev's 54.10%.
• Can surface preference affect the outcome? Fearnley's best is on indoor hard courts (80%), while Rublev's top performance is on hard courts (80%).
• Fearnley has mostly competed in Challenger/ITF tournaments with a 63.16% success rate, while Rublev has played at a higher level in the main tour with a 60% win rate.
• Rublev has faced tougher opponents, holding an average rank of 71.52 compared to Fearnley’s opponents ranked at 150.59 on average.
• In deciding sets, Fearnley has an edge, having won 62% of them in the past year, against Rublev's 42% win rate.

Editorial Prediction (October 27, 2025, UTC):

The comparison of recent performances suggests an intriguing matchup between Jacob Fearnley and Andrey Rublev. While Rublev has a slight edge in second serve points, Fearnley exhibits superior return game statistics.

Rublev's ability to save breakpoints might prove crucial, especially under pressure. However, Fearnley has demonstrated a higher success rate in deciding sets, indicating a potential psychological advantage in tight scenarios.

Both players excel on hard courts, but Rublev's experience against stronger opponents could play a pivotal role. Despite this, Fearnley’s overall win rate and stronger return game cannot be overlooked.

Considering these factors, Jacob Fearnley appears more likely to win this upcoming match, leveraging his return skills and ability to manage crucial sets effectively.