Andy Murray vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Murray vs Nadal analysis and find out who is favored!
Andy Murray vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Murray has won 50.83% of points on his second serve, while Nadal has won 52%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Murray, in recent form, has won 48.19% of his opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 53.54%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.65% and 29.84% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Murray has saved 59.8% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 55.56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Murray has won 58.33% of matches played (W/L 28/ 20), with Nadal winning 60% (W/L 3/ 2) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Murray has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 79% (W/L 136/ 36), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 143/ 63). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 502/ 54), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38).
- Player level: In the last year, Murray has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 93.75% of matches (W/L 15/ 1), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 24 times before with Murray winning 7 times. They have played 68 sets in total, with Murray winning 24 and Nadal winning 44. The last match between Murray and Nadal was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 07-05-2016, Semifinals, Clay with Andy Murray getting the victory 1100037118.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:20:18.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Murray and Nadal have played a deciding set 7 times, with Murray winning 2 times and Nadal 5 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 9 tiebreaks against each other with Murray winning 3, and Nadal 6.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Murray has played against opponents with an average rank of 149.06 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 106.2.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Murray has won 39% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 0% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Murray has converted 33.98% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 42.42% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Murray 7 - 17 Nadal
55
Total
14
Mast
5
Chall
3
Slam
26
Main
4
Minor
56
Rank
1
High
36
Age
R
Plays
7
Total17
4
Hard4
2
Clay7
1
Indoor3
0
Grass3
644
Rank
1
High
37
Age
L
Plays
94
Total
36
Mast
2
Chall
22
Slam
33
Main
0
Minor
Form
74% (838-292)
Career Total W/L
82% (1115-238)
38% (5-8)
YTD W/L
60% (3-2)
$44,738,625
Career Prize Money
$96,415,145
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
stats | Andy Murray | Rafael Nadal |
---|---|---|
All H2H Matches | 7 | 17 |
Sets Won | 24 | 44 |
Games Won | 294 | 345 |
Aces (Total) | 189 | 64 |
DFs (Total) | 60 | 30 |
Avg Match Time | 1:20:18 | 1:20:18 |
1st Serve % | 56% (1161/2083) | 68% (1373/2005) |
1st Serve Win% | 70% (813/1161) | 68% (928/1373) |
2nd Serve Win% | 46% (425/922) | 55% (346/632) |
BPs Won% (Total) | 34% (64/187) | 40% (88/218) |
Return Points W% | 36% (731/2007) | 40% (845/2093) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 33% (5/15) | 67% (10/15) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 22% (2/9) | 78% (7/9) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 33% (3/9) | 67% (6/9) |
Deciding Set Win% | 29% (2/7) | 71% (5/7) |
1st set W, W | 60% (10/6) | 93% (14/13) |
1st set W, L | 40% (10/4) | 7% (14/1) |
1st set L, W | 7% (14/1) | 40% (10/4) |
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-5 6-4 |
Andy Murray
Player
Rafael Nadal
54%
(
49 of
90)
1st Serve %
81%
(
50 of
62)
8
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
69%
(
34 of
49)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
31 of
50)
46%
(
19 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
4 of
12)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
15%
(
2 of
13)
41%
(
37 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
27 of
62)
80
Total Points Won
72
|
||||
2-6 6-4 6-2 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Andy Murray
74%
(
67 of
90)
1st Serve %
51%
(
44 of
87)
2
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
64%
(
43 of
67)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
30 of
44)
57%
(
13 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
19 of
43)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
27%
(
3 of
11)
38%
(
34 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
38 of
87)
94
Total Points Won
83
|
||||
6-4 6-1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Andy Murray
51%
(
27 of
53)
1st Serve %
43%
(
22 of
51)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
4
67%
(
18 of
27)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
14 of
22)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
10 of
29)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
36%
(
19 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
27 of
51)
61
Total Points Won
43
|
||||
6-3 6-2 |
Andy Murray
Player
Rafael Nadal
60%
(
31 of
52)
1st Serve %
72%
(
34 of
47)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
68%
(
21 of
31)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
23 of
34)
81%
(
17 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
6 of
13)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
27%
(
14 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
18 of
47)
56
Total Points Won
43
|
||||
6-3 6-2 6-1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Andy Murray
76%
(
45 of
59)
1st Serve %
52%
(
35 of
67)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
91%
(
41 of
45)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
22 of
35)
57%
(
8 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
11 of
32)
100%
(
6 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
17%
(
10 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
34 of
67)
83
Total Points Won
43
|
||||
1-6 6-3 7-5 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Andy Murray
71%
(
61 of
86)
1st Serve %
64%
(
63 of
98)
6
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
4
67%
(
41 of
61)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
44 of
63)
52%
(
13 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
11 of
35)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
37%
(
32 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
43 of
98)
97
Total Points Won
87
|
||||
w/o | |||||
3-6 6-2 6-0 |
Andy Murray
Player
Rafael Nadal
61%
(
39 of
64)
1st Serve %
69%
(
53 of
77)
6
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
79%
(
31 of
39)
1st Serve Won
43%
(
23 of
53)
64%
(
16 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
71%
(
17 of
24)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
27%
(
17 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
37 of
77)
84
Total Points Won
57
|
||||
6-4 6-2 3-6 6-2 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Andy Murray
67%
(
74 of
111)
1st Serve %
54%
(
65 of
121)
3
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
2
72%
(
53 of
74)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
43 of
65)
57%
(
21 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
26 of
56)
33%
(
6 of
18)
Break Points Won
20%
(
2 of
10)
33%
(
37 of
111)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
52 of
121)
126
Total Points Won
106
|
||||
5-7 6-2 6-2 6-4 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Andy Murray
68%
(
70 of
103)
1st Serve %
58%
(
66 of
113)
6
Aces
15
1
Double Faults
5
81%
(
57 of
70)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
48 of
66)
58%
(
19 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
23 of
47)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
26%
(
27 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
42 of
113)
0
Total Points Won
0
|
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
stats | Andy Murray | Rafael Nadal |
---|---|---|
YTD W/L | 38% (5/8) | 60% (3/2) |
Sets Win/Loss | 42% (14/19) | 64% (7/4) |
Games Win/Loss | 49% (166/176) | 57% (59/45) |
Hard Win/Loss | 45% (5/6) | 67% (2/1) |
Clay Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 50% (1/1) |
Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/0) |
Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Aces pg | 0.53 | 0.28 |
Aces Total | 89 | 14 |
DFs per game | 0.14 | 0.2 |
DFs Total | 24 | 10 |
Avg Match Time | 2:19:36 | 1:55:33 |
Avg Opp Rank | 72.46 | 106.2 |
1st Serve % | 60% (639/1063) | 69% (222/322) |
1st Serve W% | 74% (472/639) | 74% (164/222) |
2nd Serve W% | 52% (219/424) | 52% (52/100) |
BPs Won% Total | 31% (25/80) | 42% (14/33) |
Return Pts W% | 35% (388/1118) | 39% (125/318) |
Slam W/L | 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/0) |
Masters W/L | 60% (3/2) | 0% (0/0) |
Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Main Tour W/L | 29% (2/5) | 60% (3/2) |
Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 42% (5/12) | 60% (3/5) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/0) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 44% (4/9) | 0% (0/1) |
Deciding Set W% | 33% (2/6) | 0% (0/1) |
1st set W, W | 50% (6/3) | 75% (4/3) |
1st set W, L | 50% (6/3) | 25% (4/1) |
1st set L, W | 29% (7/2) | 0% (1/0) |
Andy Murray Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R3 |
Tomas Machac
Player
Andy Murray
59%
(
77 of
130)
1st Serve %
56%
(
62 of
110)
6
Aces
15
3
Double Faults
3
75%
(
58 of
77)
1st Serve Won
82%
(
51 of
62)
51%
(
27 of
53)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
21 of
48)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
13%
(
2 of
15)
35%
(
45 of
130)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
38 of
110)
123
Total Points Won
117
|
5-7 7-5 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Andy Murray
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
60%
(
41 of
68)
1st Serve %
68%
(
52 of
76)
10
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
83%
(
34 of
41)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
33 of
52)
67%
(
18 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
14 of
24)
25%
(
1 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
24%
(
16 of
68)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
29 of
76)
81
Total Points Won
63
|
7-6(0) 6-3 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Andy Murray
Player
Matteo Berrettini
67%
(
56 of
83)
1st Serve %
64%
(
68 of
107)
9
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
0
79%
(
44 of
56)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
51 of
68)
67%
(
18 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
18 of
39)
18%
(
2 of
11)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
25%
(
21 of
83)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
38 of
107)
100
Total Points Won
90
|
4-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Andrey Rublev
Player
Andy Murray
54%
(
42 of
78)
1st Serve %
63%
(
45 of
72)
9
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
4
74%
(
31 of
42)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
31 of
45)
64%
(
23 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
6)
31%
(
24 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
30 of
72)
84
Total Points Won
66
|
7-6(3) 6-1 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Andy Murray
Player
David Goffin
60%
(
27 of
45)
1st Serve %
64%
(
35 of
55)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
85%
(
23 of
27)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
19 of
35)
72%
(
13 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
11 of
20)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
20%
(
9 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
25 of
55)
61
Total Points Won
39
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Ugo Humbert
Player
Andy Murray
67%
(
29 of
43)
1st Serve %
49%
(
33 of
67)
4
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
3
83%
(
24 of
29)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
23 of
33)
86%
(
12 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
15 of
34)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
16%
(
7 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
29 of
67)
65
Total Points Won
45
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Andy Murray
Player
Denis Shapovalov
69%
(
67 of
97)
1st Serve %
56%
(
57 of
102)
3
Aces
15
1
Double Faults
10
75%
(
50 of
67)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
44 of
57)
53%
(
16 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
21 of
45)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
32%
(
31 of
97)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
37 of
102)
103
Total Points Won
96
|
4-6 7-6(5) 6-3 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Jakub Mensik
Player
Andy Murray
62%
(
77 of
125)
1st Serve %
64%
(
78 of
121)
12
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
3
68%
(
52 of
77)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
54 of
78)
58%
(
28 of
48)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
25 of
43)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
36%
(
45 of
125)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
42 of
121)
122
Total Points Won
124
|
7-6(6) 6-7(3) 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
R1 |
Andy Murray
Player
Alexandre Muller
61%
(
45 of
74)
1st Serve %
63%
(
45 of
71)
4
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
73%
(
33 of
45)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
30 of
45)
55%
(
16 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
11 of
26)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
34%
(
25 of
74)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
30 of
71)
79
Total Points Won
66
|
6-1 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
R1 |
Tomas Machac
Player
Andy Murray
65%
(
40 of
62)
1st Serve %
49%
(
29 of
59)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
83%
(
33 of
40)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
21 of
29)
55%
(
12 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
57%
(
17 of
30)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
27%
(
17 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
21 of
59)
66
Total Points Won
55
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H |
view more
Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R2 |
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52%
(
28 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
50 of
73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
29 of
50)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
16 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
36 of
73)
74
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve %
49%
(
27 of
55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
19 of
27)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
31%
(
15 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
26 of
55)
60
Total Points Won
44
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
QF |
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61%
(
67 of
109)
1st Serve %
73%
(
79 of
108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76%
(
51 of
67)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
58 of
79)
48%
(
20 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
35%
(
38 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
37 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
109
|
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65%
(
30 of
46)
1st Serve %
76%
(
35 of
46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
20 of
35)
63%
(
10 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
2 of
11)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
26%
(
12 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
24 of
46)
58
Total Points Won
34
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve %
63%
(
34 of
54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90%
(
28 of
31)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
23 of
34)
80%
(
12 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
13%
(
6 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
21 of
54)
61
Total Points Won
39
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66%
(
63 of
95)
1st Serve %
64%
(
65 of
102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68%
(
43 of
63)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
40 of
65)
63%
(
20 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
18 of
37)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
32 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
44 of
102)
107
Total Points Won
90
|
6-4 6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jack Draper
66%
(
78 of
119)
1st Serve %
58%
(
67 of
115)
6
Aces
13
3
Double Faults
3
73%
(
57 of
78)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
42 of
67)
51%
(
21 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
27 of
48)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
34%
(
41 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
46 of
115)
124
Total Points Won
110
|
7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
62%
(
62 of
100)
1st Serve %
61%
(
56 of
92)
3
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
63%
(
39 of
62)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
34 of
56)
50%
(
19 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
16 of
36)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
33%
(
4 of
12)
42%
(
42 of
100)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
42 of
92)
100
Total Points Won
92
|
3-6 6-1 7-5 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Cameron Norrie
Player
Rafael Nadal
65%
(
57 of
88)
1st Serve %
58%
(
55 of
95)
6
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
74%
(
42 of
57)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
40 of
55)
58%
(
18 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
21 of
40)
18%
(
2 of
11)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
32%
(
28 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
34 of
95)
94
Total Points Won
89
|
3-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67%
(
41 of
61)
1st Serve %
70%
(
46 of
66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93%
(
38 of
41)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
33 of
46)
60%
(
12 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
18%
(
11 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
23 of
66)
73
Total Points Won
54
|
7-5 7-5 | H2H |
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