Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
A. Sabalenka vs D. Kasatkina
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR
w
w
w
l
w
w
w
w
w
w
7
Win
9
Played
2
Win
27
Age
28
1.82m
Height
1.70m
1
C. Rank
20
1
Best Rank
8
0
Total Titles
0
0
Ytd Titles
0
$36.4M
Career Money
$10.2M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Daria Kasatkina
AUS
w
l
w
l
l
w
w
l
l
l
7
Win
9
Played
2
Win
27
Age
28
1.82m
Height
1.70m
1
C. Rank
20
1
Best Rank
8
0
Total Titles
0
0
Ytd Titles
0
$36.4M
Career Money
$10.2M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Head-To-Head: Sabalenka 7 - 2 Kasatkina
They have played 19 sets in total, with Aryna Sabalenka winning 15 and Daria Kasatkina winning 4. The last match between Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina was at the Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin, 20-06-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-1 6-4.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Sabalenka | 7 |
| Kasatkina | 2 |
Last H2H Matches:
(R2) Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin(06-20-24)
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
Daria Kasatkina
1
4
(QF) Brisbane International - Brisbane(01-05-24)
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
Daria Kasatkina
1
4
(R4) U.S. Open - New York(09-04-23)
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
Daria Kasatkina
1
3
A. Sabalenka vs D. Kasatkina H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $36,351,103 | Career Prize Money | $10,172,432 |
| 70.69% (480-199) | Career Total W/L | 62.83% (404-239) |
| 2 | Clay | 0 |
| 1 | Grass | 0 |
| 4 | Hard | 2 |
| 27 | Titles | 15 |
| 7 | Total H2H Matches | 2 |
| 84.85% (56-10) | YTD Win/Loss | 46.34% (19-22) |
| 4 | YTD Titles | 0 |
A. Sabalenka vs D. Kasatkina Match Preview
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Aryna Sabalenka has won 40.54% of points on their second serve, while Daria Kasatkina has won 36.80%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Aryna Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 48.62% of their opponent's second serve points, while Daria Kasatkina has won 53.08%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.52% and 35.53% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Aryna Sabalenka has saved 53.14% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Daria Kasatkina has saved 42.68% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Aryna Sabalenka has won 83.12% of matches played (W/L 64/ 13), with Daria Kasatkina winning 50.00% (W/L 64/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Aryna Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 293/ 103), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 41/ 24). Daria Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 136/ 60), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 184/ 135).
- Player level: In the last year, Aryna Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 80.00% of matches (W/L 32/ 8), where as Daria Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 47.37% of matches (W/L 9/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 9 times before with Aryna Sabalenka winning 7 times and Daria Kasatkina being victorious 2 times. They have played 19 sets in total, with Aryna Sabalenka winning 15 and Daria Kasatkina winning 4. The last match between Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina was at the Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin, 20-06-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-1 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:30:28.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Aryna Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 47.81 while Daria Kasatkina has played against players with an average rank of 68.38.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Aryna Sabalenka has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Daria Kasatkina has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Aryna Sabalenka has converted 31.03% of breakpoint opportunities, and Daria Kasatkina has converted 42.70% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
A. Sabalenka vs D. Kasatkina H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 7 | H2H Matches Won | 2 |
| 15 | Sets Won | 4 |
| 107 | Games Won | 71 |
| 30 | Aces (Total) | 10 |
| 50 | Total Double Faults | 41 |
| 1:30:28 | Avg. Match Time | 1:30:28 |
| 57% (324/572) | 1st Serve % | 68% (414/610) |
| 68% (220/324) | 1st Serve Win % | 55% (226/414) |
| 47% (117/248) | 2nd Serve Win % | 39% (76/196) |
| 52% (45/86) | Break Pts Won % | 42% (28/66) |
| 50% (308/610) | Return Pts Won % | 41% (235/572) |
| 78% (7/9) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 22% (2/9) |
| 0% (0/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 88% (7/8) | 1st Set Won → Match Won | 100% (1/1) |
| 13% (1/8) | 1st Set Won → Match Lost | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Lost → Match Won | 13% (1/8) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Sabalenka 51%, Kasatkina 42%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Sabalenka 59%, Kasatkina 59%.
Break Points Saved %: Sabalenka 65%, Kasatkina 52%.
A. Sabalenka Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
F  Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova | W | 6-3 7-6(3) | ||
SF Jessica PegulaJ. Pegula | W | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
QF  Marketa VondrousovaM. Vondrousova | W | w/o | ||
R4  Cristina BucsaC. Bucsa | W | 6-1 6-4 | ||
R3  Leylah Annie FernandezL. Annie | W | 6-3 7-6(2) | ||
D. Kasatkina Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Sonay KartalS. Kartal | L | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Korea Open - Seoul - 15-09-2025 | ||||
R2 Katerina SiniakovaK. Siniakova | L | 7-6(2) 6-2 | ||
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R3  Naomi OsakaN. Osaka | L | 6-0 4-6 6-3 | ||
R2  Kamilla RakhimovaK. Rakhimova | W | 6-2 4-6 7-5 | ||
R1  Elena Gabriela RuseE. Gabriela | W | 7-5 6-1 | ||
A. Sabalenka vs D. Kasatkina Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 70.69% (480/199) | YTD Win/Loss | 62.83% (404/239) |
| 66.58% (1060/532) | Sets Win/Loss | 59.13% (884/611) |
| 56.14% (8361/6532) | Games Win/Loss | 53.81% (7349/6309) |
| 73.99% (293/103) | Hard Win/Loss | 57.68% (184/135) |
| 66.67% (100/50) | Clay Win/Loss | 69.39% (136/60) |
| 64.79% (46/25) | Indoor Hard W/L | 68.12% (47/22) |
| 66.13% (41/21) | Grass Win/Loss | 62.71% (37/22) |
| 0.38 | Aces Per Game | 0.13 |
| 2796 | Aces Total | 855 |
| 0.39 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.34 |
| 2843 | Total Double Faults | 2255 |
| 1:30:49 | Average Match Time | 1:25:54 |
| 281.89 | Average Opponent Rank | 293.65 |
| 60% (27467/45446) | 1st Serve % | 68% (26500/39180) |
| 69% (18921/27467) | 1st Serve Win % | 61% (16085/26500) |
| 47% (8504/17968) | 2nd Serve Win % | 43% (5452/12676) |
| 47% (2551/5453) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 49% (2651/5407) |
| 45% (20300/45182) | Return Points Win % | 48% (18937/39864) |
| 77.78% (105/30) | Slam W/L | 61.54% (64/40) |
| 70.87% (146/60) | Masters W/L | 52.25% (93/85) |
| 62.50% (10/6) | Cups W/L | 83.33% (5/1) |
| 67.93% (125/59) | Main Tour W/L | 64.21% (174/97) |
| 64.89% (61/33) | Challenger W/L | 79.41% (54/14) |
| 75.00% (33/11) | Futures W/L | 87.50% (14/2) |
| 71% (477/675) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 63% (397/634) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 62% (111/180) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 49% (56/114) |
| 57% (134/237) | Deciding Set Win % | 61% (134/218) |
| 89% (457/408) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 91% (360/327) |
| 11% (457/48) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 9% (360/32) |
| 32% (222/71) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 27% (282/75) |
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