Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
A. Sabalenka vs E. Alexandrova

Aryna Sabalenka

BLR

4

Win

Played

4

Win

Age

1.82m

Height

1.75m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$36.4M

Career Money

$6.5M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Ekaterina Alexandrova

RUS

4

Win

Played

4

Win

Age

1.82m

Height

1.75m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$36.4M

Career Money

$6.5M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-To-Head: Sabalenka 4 - 4 Alexandrova

They have played 18 sets in total, with Aryna Sabalenka winning 9 and Ekaterina Alexandrova winning 9. The last match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Aryna Sabalenka was at the Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha, 11-02-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Draw getting the victory 3-6 6-3 7-6(5).

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Sabalenka	4
Alexandrova	4

Last H2H Matches:

(R2) Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha(02-11-25)

Stats

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Aryna Sabalenka

(R3) U.S. Open - New York(08-30-24)

Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

Ekaterina Alexandrova

(R4) Wimbledon - London(07-10-23)

Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

Ekaterina Alexandrova

A. Sabalenka vs E. Alexandrova H2H Profile

A. Sabalenka	Stats	E. Alexandrova
$36,351,103	Career Prize Money	$6,519,535
70.69% (480-199)	Career Total W/L	62.76% (492-292)
1	Grass	1
2	Hard	2
1	Indoor	1
27	Titles	15
4	Total H2H Matches	4
84.85% (56-10)	YTD Win/Loss	66.13% (41-21)
4	YTD Titles	1

A. Sabalenka vs E. Alexandrova Match Preview

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Aryna Sabalenka has won 40.28% of points on their second serve, while Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 39.44%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Aryna Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 48.56% of their opponent's second serve points, while Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 49.75%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.82% and 30.14% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Aryna Sabalenka has saved 53.28% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Ekaterina Alexandrova has saved 47.58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Aryna Sabalenka has won 83.33% of matches played (W/L 65/ 13), with Ekaterina Alexandrova winning 65.67% (W/L 65/ 23) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Aryna Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 293/ 103), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 41/ 24). Ekaterina Alexandrova has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 118/ 52), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 56% (W/L 127/ 100).
Player level: In the last year, Aryna Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 80.49% of matches (W/L 33/ 8), where as Ekaterina Alexandrova has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 72.73% of matches (W/L 24/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 8 times before with Aryna Sabalenka winning 4 times and Ekaterina Alexandrova being victorious 4 times. They have played 18 sets in total, with Aryna Sabalenka winning 9 and Ekaterina Alexandrova winning 9. The last match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Aryna Sabalenka was at the Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha, 11-02-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Draw getting the victory 3-6 6-3 7-6(5).
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:26:55.
Deciding set H2H prediction: Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova have played a deciding set 2 times, with Aryna Sabalenka winning 1 times and Ekaterina Alexandrova 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Aryna Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 47.77 while Ekaterina Alexandrova has played against players with an average rank of 59.28.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Aryna Sabalenka has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 55% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Aryna Sabalenka has converted 31.25% of breakpoint opportunities, and Ekaterina Alexandrova has converted 33.66% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

A. Sabalenka vs E. Alexandrova H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

A. Sabalenka	Stats	E. Alexandrova
4	H2H Matches Won	4
9	Sets Won	9
84	Games Won	80
34	Aces (Total)	35
19	Total Double Faults	32
1:26:55	Avg. Match Time	1:26:55
61% (321/527)	1st Serve %	62% (323/520)
65% (209/321)	1st Serve Win %	68% (219/323)
49% (101/206)	2nd Serve Win %	44% (86/197)
39% (24/61)	Break Pts Won %	46% (23/50)
41% (215/520)	Return Pts Won %	41% (217/527)
50% (4/8)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	50% (4/8)
50% (1/2)	Deciding Set Win %	50% (1/2)
75% (3/4)	1st Set Won → Match Won	75% (3/4)
25% (1/4)	1st Set Won → Match Lost	25% (1/4)
25% (1/4)	1st Set Lost → Match Won	25% (1/4)

Recent Performance Stats

A. Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
F Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova	W	6-3 7-6(3)	Stats
SF Jessica PegulaJ. Pegula	W	4-6 6-3 6-4	Stats
QF Marketa VondrousovaM. Vondrousova	W	w/o	Stats
R4 Cristina BucsaC. Bucsa	W	6-1 6-4	Stats
R3 Leylah Annie FernandezL. Annie	W	6-3 7-6(2)	Stats

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E. Alexandrova Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
China Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025
R2 Barbora KrejcikovaB. Krejcikova	L	7-5 6-2	Stats
Korea Open - Seoul - 15-09-2025
F Iga SwiatekI. Swiatek	L	1-6 7-6(3) 7-5	Stats
SF Katerina SiniakovaK. Siniakova	W	6-4 6-2	Stats
QF Ella SeidelE. Seidel	W	6-2 6-3	Stats
R2 Lois BoissonL. Boisson	W	4-6 6-2 6-2	Stats

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A. Sabalenka vs E. Alexandrova Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

A. Sabalenka	Stats	E. Alexandrova
70.69% (480/199)	YTD Win/Loss	62.76% (492/292)
66.58% (1060/532)	Sets Win/Loss	60.27% (1100/725)
56.14% (8361/6532)	Games Win/Loss	54.11% (9271/7862)
73.99% (293/103)	Hard Win/Loss	55.95% (127/100)
66.67% (100/50)	Clay Win/Loss	62.15% (179/109)
64.79% (46/25)	Indoor Hard W/L	69.65% (140/61)
66.13% (41/21)	Grass Win/Loss	67.65% (46/22)
0.38	Aces Per Game	0.34
2796	Aces Total	2849
0.39	Double Faults Per Game	0.36
2843	Total Double Faults	3035
1:30:49	Average Match Time	1:5:38
281.89	Average Opponent Rank	369.48
60% (27467/45446)	1st Serve %	57% (22223/39006)
69% (18921/27467)	1st Serve Win %	70% (15507/22223)
47% (8504/17968)	2nd Serve Win %	44% (7402/16767)
47% (2551/5453)	Break Points Won % (Total)	47% (2191/4655)
45% (20300/45182)	Return Points Win %	44% (17618/39814)
77.78% (105/30)	Slam W/L	55.13% (43/35)
70.87% (146/60)	Masters W/L	50.00% (51/51)
62.50% (10/6)	Cups W/L	66.67% (2/1)
67.93% (125/59)	Main Tour W/L	60.38% (160/105)
64.89% (61/33)	Challenger W/L	68.06% (147/69)
75.00% (33/11)	Futures W/L	74.17% (89/31)
71% (477/675)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	62% (483/775)
100% (1/1)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	100% (3/3)
62% (111/180)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	52% (114/220)
57% (134/237)	Deciding Set Win %	53% (138/260)
89% (457/408)	1st Set Won, Won Match	86% (489/421)
11% (457/48)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	14% (489/67)
32% (222/71)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	24% (295/70)