Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 28 Apr at 10:07 PM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

A. Sabalenka vs P. Stearns

Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

Flag BLR BLR

w
w
w
w
w
w
w
w
w
l
Peyton Stearns
Peyton Stearns

Flag USA USA

l
l
l
l
w
l
l
w
l
l

2

Win

2

Played

0

Win

27
Age
24
1.82m
Height
-
1
C. Rank
66
1
Best Rank
28
21
Total Titles
1
4
YTD Titles
0
$36.5M
Career Money
$1.7M
Right-Handed
Plays
-

Head-to-head: Sabalenka 2 - 0 Stearns

They have played 5 sets in total, with Aryna Sabalenka winning 4 and Peyton Stearns winning 1. The last match between Aryna Sabalenka and Peyton Stearns was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 29-04-2025, Round: R4, Surface: Clay, with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-2 6-4.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Sabalenka2
Stearns0
Last 2 H2H Matches:

(R4Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid(04-29-25)

Clay
BLR Flag
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
USA Flag
Peyton Stearns
2
4

(R2BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-09-24)

Hard
BLR Flag
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
7
USA Flag
Peyton Stearns
7
2
6

A. Sabalenka vs P. Stearns H2H Profile

Stats
$36,531,203Career Prize Money$1,700,484
70.72% (483-200)Career Total W/L58.22% (177-127)
1Clay0
1Hard0
27Titles6
2Total H2H Matches0
84.29% (59-11)YTD Win/Loss44.74% (17-21)
4YTD Titles0

A. Sabalenka vs P. Stearns Match Preview:

Recent form in second serve performance presents minimal differentiation between Sabalenka and Stearns, with Sabalenka winning 39.41% of points and Stearns slightly trailing at 39.34%. This similarity in second serve performance might suggest a closely contested match, though the slight edge in precision could influence the outcome.

Examining return game statistics reveals a more telling comparison. Sabalenka's ability to win 50.12% of her opponent's second serve points is overshadowed by Stearns who secures 52.28%. Furthermore, on first serve returns, Stearns maintains superiority with 32.53% compared to Sabalenka's 28.87%. Such return performance often correlates strongly with match prediction accuracy, indicating a potential advantage for Stearns.

Pressure situations could tip the scales slightly, as Stearns has saved 51.67% of breakpoints faced recently, against Sabalenka's 49.7%. These differences in handling pivotal moments are critical for those making in-game betting predictions.

When taking recent career performance into account, Sabalenka has displayed greater overall success, winning 82.5% of matches in the past year with a 66-14 record. Conversely, Stearns holds a less formidable 58.93% win rate, reflected in her 33-23 record.

The favorite playing surface offers vital insights, with Sabalenka excelling on Hard courts at a win rate of 74%. Stearns’s performance is strongest on Indoor Hard courts at 68%, highlighting potential outcomes if surface conditions favor their strengths.

Considering recent competitive levels, Sabalenka has faced tougher competition, taking on opponents with an average rank of 35.33 compared to Stearns’ 104.3. Sabalenka's frequent participation in the Masters series, winning 81.25% of her matches, points to her capability against high-caliber opponents, whereas Stearns features more regularly on the Main tour with a 56.52% win rate.

In-depth analysis of deciding set performance indicates a competitive edge for Stearns, who claims victory in 63% of deciding sets compared to Sabalenka’s 60% over the last year. This could play a crucial role in live match predictions should the contest extend to this point.

Analyzing breakpoint conversion, Stearns is slightly ahead with a 39.62% conversion rate, marginally eclipsing Sabalenka's 38.02%. Such stats are key determinants in in-game live betting scenarios, emphasizing Stearns's slight edge in capitalizing on opportunities.

Taking into account all statistical inputs, Sabalenka emerges as the likely contender to take the win, given her overall superior win percentage and experience against higher-ranked competitors. However, specific in-game opportunities may arise from Stearns’s current return and breakpoint proficiencies.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

A. Sabalenka vs P. Stearns H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
2H2H Matches Won0
4Sets Won1
31Games Won21
13Aces (Total)3
9Total Double Faults6
2:6:30Average Match Time2:6:30
60% (103/173)1st Serve %67% (114/170)
77% (79/103)1st Serve Win %61% (69/114)
43% (30/70)2nd Serve Win %43% (24/56)
53% (10/19)Break Pts Won %22% (5/23)
45% (77/170)Return Points Win %37% (64/173)
100% (2/2)Best‑of‑3 Win %0% (0/2)
100% (1/1)Deciding Set Win %0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)1st Set Won, Won Match0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)1st Set Won, Lost Match100% (1/1)
100% (1/1)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Sabalenka 51%, Stearns 44%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Sabalenka 59%, Stearns 55%.
Break Points Saved %: Sabalenka 65%, Stearns 58%.

A. Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardWuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025

SF

USAJ. Pegula
L
2-6 6-4 7-6(2)

QF

KAZE. Rybakina
W
6-3 6-3

R3

RUSL. Samsonova
W
6-3 6-2

R2

SVKR. Sramkova
W
4-6 6-3 6-1
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

F

USAA. Anisimova
W
6-3 7-6(3)

P. Stearns Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardChina Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025

R1

USAK. Volynets
L
6-4 2-6 6-3
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

R2

POLM. Frech
L
6-7(6) 6-3 6-2

R1

LATD. Semenistaja
W
7-5 6-0
HardTennis in the Land - Cleveland - 18-08-2025

R1

CHNY. Wang
L
6-4 3-6 6-3
HardCincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025

R2

RUSA. Kalinskaya
L
7-6(4) 4-6 6-1
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A. Sabalenka vs P. Stearns Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
70.72% (483/200)YTD Win/Loss58.22% (177/127)
66.60% (1067/535)Sets Win/Loss57.28% (405/302)
56.17% (8417/6568)Games Win/Loss53.87% (3548/3038)
74.00% (296/104)Hard Win/Loss56.04% (102/80)
66.67% (100/50)Clay Win/Loss62.64% (57/34)
64.79% (46/25)Indoor Hard W/L68.18% (15/7)
66.13% (41/21)Grass Win/Loss33.33% (3/6)
0.39Aces Per Game0.16
2821Aces Total516
0.39Double Faults Per Game0.33
2856Total Double Faults1058
1:30:54Average Match Time1:33:31
283.1Average Opponent Rank333.58
60% (27655/45745)1st Serve %66% (12926/19657)
69% (19050/27655)1st Serve Win %62% (8038/12926)
47% (8557/18079)2nd Serve Win %46% (3091/6730)
47% (2571/5490)Break Points Won % (Total)49% (1159/2365)
45% (20433/45472)Return Points Win %46% (8742/19033)
77.78% (105/30)Slam W/L43.48% (10/13)
70.95% (149/61)Masters W/L52.73% (29/26)
62.50% (10/6)Cups W/L0% (0/0)
67.93% (125/59)Main Tour W/L49.02% (25/26)
64.89% (61/33)Challenger W/L64.10% (100/56)
75.00% (33/11)Futures W/L68.42% (13/6)
71% (480/679)Best of 3 Sets Win %58% (175/301)
100% (1/1)Best of 5 Sets Win %50% (1/2)
61% (111/181)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)45% (37/82)
56% (135/239)Deciding Set Win %48% (47/98)
89% (460/410)1st Set Won, Won Match86% (180/154)
11% (460/49)1st Set Won, Lost Match14% (180/26)
32% (223/72)1st Set Lost, Won Match19% (124/23)

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