Aryna Sabalenka vs Rebeka Masarova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Who has an edge in second serve performance? Masarova slightly leads with 41.98% of points won on her second serve compared to Sabalenka's 39.67% in recent matches.
• Both players are nearly identical in winning points on their opponent’s second serve: Sabalenka at 48.25% and Masarova at 48.3%.
• On first serve returns, Sabalenka is stronger, winning 30.08% of points compared to Masarova's 28.34%.
• Under pressure, Sabalenka has a slightly better record, saving 52.49% of breakpoints, compared to Masarova’s 50.27%.
• Performance over the past year shows Sabalenka with a significantly higher match win rate at 83.75%, while Masarova’s is 58.62%.
• Surface preferences indicate Sabalenka excels on hard courts, boasting a 74% win rate. In contrast, Masarova's best success is on clay with a 67% win rate.
• Analyzing event levels, Sabalenka competes more frequently in Masters series events, winning 80.95% of matches there, while Masarova plays mostly in Challengers/ITF with a 60% win rate.
• In direct head-to-head engagements, Sabalenka leads, having won their only encounter without dropping a set.
• When facing opponents, Sabalenka encounters more competitive players with an average rank of 44.9, compared to Masarova’s opponents, averaging rank 138.31.
• If the match progresses to a deciding set, Sabalenka has a higher success rate, winning 63% of the time, compared to Masarova’s 55%.
• In recent form, Sabalenka has shown better breakpoint conversion at 32.97%, slightly ahead of Masarova's 31.89%.

Editorial Prediction (August 24, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming match presents an intriguing matchup between two players with distinct strengths. Sabalenka, known for her dominant performances in major events, holds an edge on hard courts and boasts higher success against top-ranked opponents. Her ability to perform under pressure is reflected in her superior breakpoint statistics and overall resilience during deciding sets.

Masarova, while competitive, slightly edges Sabalenka in second serve success and shares similar returns on an opponent’s second serve. However, Sabalenka's experience and strong hard-court record give her a noteworthy advantage.

Based on their head-to-head record, event level experience, and overall performance metrics, Sabalenka appears more likely to emerge victorious in their forthcoming encounter.