Ayano Shimizu vs Lucia Peyre Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Peyre leads with a 41.75% success rate compared to Shimizu's 35.34%, indicating a stronger second serve game.
• Return Game: Shimizu has a slight edge on return games, winning 53.12% of second serve points, while Peyre wins 52.5%.
• First Serve Returns: Shimizu is considerably better, securing 33.88% of points, in contrast to Peyre's 25.56%, giving them an upper hand in first serve return scenarios.
• Under Pressure: How crucial are breakpoints saved? Shimizu saves 41.77% of breakpoints, while Peyre is more resilient with a 50% save rate, making Peyre potentially more reliable under pressure.
• Overall Match Performance: Shimizu has a higher match win rate over the past year at 62.9%, compared to Peyre's 50%.
• Surface Advantage: Which player performs better on various surfaces? Shimizu excels on grass with a 62% win rate, while Peyre is unbeaten on indoor hard courts, winning 100% of matches.
• Event Level: Shimizu has a stronger performance at higher-level tournaments (Challengers/ITF > $10K), winning 60% of matches, unlike Peyre, who wins only 25% at lower-level events (Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K).
• Opponent Quality: Shimizu competes against higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 228.39, compared to Peyre's average opponent rank of 279.88.
• Deciding Sets: Shimizu tends to perform better in crucial moments, winning 67% of deciding sets versus Peyre's 50%.
• Break Point Conversion: Shimizu converts breakpoints at a higher rate, 44.39%, compared to Peyre's 34.38%, which could be decisive during key moments in the match.

Editorial Prediction (August 5, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing various performance metrics, it is clear that Shimizu has shown consistent strength in key aspects of the game. Despite Peyre's solid second serve performance, Shimizu gains an advantage in return games, particularly against first serves.

Moreover, Shimizu's ability to excel against higher quality opponents and win in deciding sets underscores their resilience in high-stakes situations. This is further supported by their superior match win rate at higher-tier tournaments.

Although Peyre's performance on indoor hard courts is impressive, Shimizu's overall versatility and mental fortitude give them a slight edge. Based on these facts, Shimizu is the likely favorite to win the upcoming match.