Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Rebecca Sramkova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Recently, Maia and Sramkova have nearly identical second-serve success, with Maia at 42.68% and Sramkova at 42.72%. Could this negligible difference impact the match?
• Return Game: Sramkova shows slightly stronger performance in return games, winning 48.93% of second-serve returns compared to Maia’s 46.76%. In first-serve returns, Sramkova also leads at 31.38%, whereas Maia has managed 29.57%.
• Under Pressure: Maia has a better record of saving breakpoints, with a 53.73% success rate, suggesting stronger performance under pressure compared to Sramkova's 49.67%.
• Match Success Rate: Over the past year, Sramkova has a higher win percentage at 56.72%, while Maia's stands at 51.67%. What does this suggest about the likely outcome?
• Preferred Surface: Both players excel on clay, with Maia holding a 66% win rate and Sramkova at 64%. However, Sramkova appears slightly more adaptable with a 55% win rate on hard courts compared to Maia’s 54%.
• Player Level: Sramkova has been more effective on the Main tour recently, winning 64.86% of matches. In contrast, Maia's success rate on the same level is 55.17%.
• Direct Head-to-Head: In their past six encounters, Maia leads 4-2 over Sramkova. Although Sramkova won their latest meeting on a hard surface, can her recent victory swing the odds in her favor?
• Deciding Sets: Maia has prevailed in a deciding set against Sramkova once, while Sramkova has not. However, Sramkova has shown superior general performance in deciding sets this year with a 73% win rate to Maia’s 56%.
• Break Point Conversion: Sramkova edges out Maia in converting breakpoints with a 39.71% success rate, while Maia is at 38.82%.
• Opponent Quality: Maia's opponents have had a stronger average rank of 74.2 compared to Sramkova's opponents, who averaged at 90.09.

Editorial Prediction (June 30, 2025, UTC):

Examining the second serve and return game statistics, Sramkova shows a slight edge in points won via returns, which could be influential in the match. Despite their comparable recent second serve performances, Sramkova's effectiveness when returning could place her at an advantage.

Under pressure, Maia has demonstrated a higher success rate in saving breakpoints, indicating a stronger resilience during crucial moments. Conversely, Sramkova has excelled more overall in the past year with better match success and performance during deciding sets.

Their historical head-to-head record leans in Maia's favor; however, Sramkova has proved capable by winning their last bout on a similar surface. This ability to win under similar circumstances bodes well for Sramkova.

Considering their strengths, current form, and past encounters, Sramkova seems to have the momentum and slight statistical edge. Therefore, Sramkova is predicted to be the favorite to win the upcoming match.