Prediction of Belinda Bencic vs Donna Vekic at Wuhan Open - Wuhan 10-07-25

• Second Serve: In the past six months, Belinda Bencic has achieved a 41.80% point win rate on her second serve, surpassing Donna Vekic's 38.61%. This statistic is crucial for accurate match predictions.
• Return Game: Against opponents' second serves, Donna Vekic outperformed, winning 56.19% of points compared to Belinda Bencic's 47.00%. However, Belinda leads with a superior first serve return statistic of 29.35% to Donna's 26.52%.
• Under Pressure: Belinda Bencic has been slightly better at handling pressure, saving 51.98% of breakpoints versus Donna Vekic's 50.53%.
• Overall Performance: Over the last year, Belinda boasts a substantial win rate of 69.09% (38 wins, 17 losses), while Donna's win rate stands at 35.29% (12 wins, 22 losses). This indicates a strong performance advantage for Belinda.
• Surface Strength: Both players excel on grass, holding a win rate of 69%, but Donna Vekic has a weaker record on clay compared to Belinda Bencic.
• Event Level Experience: Belinda Bencic has a better Masters series performance, winning 60.00% of her matches, whereas Donna managed 30.77%, highlighting Belinda's experience at higher-level events.
• Head-to-Head Record: In five encounters, Belinda Bencic has dominated with four wins, including their last match at Tallinn Open 2022, where she triumphed 6-4, 6-1 against Donna Vekic.
• Match Duration: The average length of their past matches has been 1 hour, 24 minutes, and 52 seconds, highlighting relatively quick outcomes.
• Opponent Quality: Over the last year, Donna faced higher-ranked players with an average ranking of 61.21 compared to Belinda's opponents' ranking average of 108.18, suggesting Donna has encountered tougher competition.
• Deciding Set Performance: If the match proceeds to a deciding set, Belinda Bencic has an edge with a 67% win rate in decide-set matches over the past year, compared to Donna’s 45%.

Editorial Prediction (October 7, 2025, UTC):

With a stronger recent form on second serves and better breakpoint handling, Belinda Bencic seems to have the upper hand in sustaining favorable play under pressure. Her superior overall performance and head-to-head dominance over Donna Vekic further support her case.

Although Donna excelled in returning opponents' second serves, Belinda's consistent experience at high-level tournaments and a superior record in deciding sets indicate her ability to capitalize on critical situations.

The inclination in historical match outcomes strongly leans towards Belinda Bencic as the more likely winner in their upcoming encounter.