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Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Alcaraz vs Aliassime analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger Aliassime Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alcaraz has won 56.97% of points on his second serve, while Aliassime has won 51.1%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 56.41% of his opponent's second serve points, while Aliassime has won 47.91%. The same stats for first serve returns are 35.3% and 30.61% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Alcaraz has saved 59.3% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Aliassime has saved 57.46% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Alcaraz has won 81.82% of matches played (W/L 63/ 14), with Aliassime winning 51.16% (W/L 22/ 21) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10). Aliassime has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 81/ 38), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 57% (W/L 105/ 78).
  • Player level: In the last year, Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 80% of matches (W/L 24/ 6), where as Aliassime has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 63.64% of matches (W/L 14/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 5 times before with Alcaraz winning 2 times. They have played 11 sets in total, with Alcaraz winning 5 and Aliassime winning 6. The last match between Alcaraz and Aliassime was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 10-03-2024, Third, Hard with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:43:33.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Alcaraz and Aliassime have played a deciding set 1 times, with Alcaraz winning 0 times and Aliassime 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Alcaraz winning 1, and Aliassime 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 87.29 while Aliassime has played against players with an average rank of 141.16.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alcaraz has won 76% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Aliassime has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Alcaraz has converted 41.84% of breakpoint opportunities, and Aliassime has converted 39.29% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Alcaraz 2 - 3 Aliassime

Carlos Alcaraz

20

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

2

Slam

6

Main

3

Minor

3

Rank

1

High

20

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

3

2

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

2

0

Grass

0

34

Rank

6

High

23

Age

R

Plays

Felix Auger Aliassime

11

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

5

Main

2

Minor

2

Total

3

2

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

2

0

Grass

0

W W W W W W W W W L

Form

L L W L W L W L W W

79% (245-67)

Career Total W/L

63% (318-187)

79% (15-4)

YTD W/L

55% (11-9)

$18,748,645

Career Prize Money

$7,325,585

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Alcaraz VS Aliassime H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Carlos Alcaraz Felix Auger Aliassime
All H2H Matches 2 3
Sets Won 5 6
Games Won 46 52
Aces (Total) 9 40
DFs (Total) 8 16
Avg Match Time 1:43:33 1:43:33
1st Serve % 66% (200/305) 63% (206/329)
1st Serve Win% 70% (139/200) 74% (152/206)
2nd Serve Win% 53% (56/105) 51% (63/123)
BPs Won% (Total) 23% (7/30) 35% (9/26)
Return Points W% 35% (114/329) 36% (110/305)
Best of 3 Sets W% 40% (2/5) 60% (3/5)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 67% (3/2) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, L 33% (3/1) 0% (2/0)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 33% (3/1)

Alcaraz VS Aliassime H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-2 6-3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve %
67% ( 35 of 52)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 19 of 35)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 11 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
58
Total Points Won
38
6-4 6-4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
62% ( 36 of 58)
1st Serve %
56% ( 46 of 82)
2
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
6
81% ( 29 of 36)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 32 of 46)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
28% ( 16 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 35 of 82)
77
Total Points Won
63
6-3 6-2
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
65% ( 33 of 51)
1st Serve %
69% ( 34 of 49)
9
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
3
82% ( 27 of 33)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
61% ( 11 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 5 of 15)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 13 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 23 of 49)
61
Total Points Won
39
6-7(3) 6-4 6-2
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63% ( 64 of 101)
1st Serve %
64% ( 69 of 107)
16
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
81% ( 52 of 64)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 45 of 69)
54% ( 20 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 22 of 38)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
29% ( 29 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 40 of 107)
112
Total Points Won
96
6-3 3-1 ret.
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
65% ( 28 of 43)
1st Serve %
62% ( 29 of 47)
8
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
1
79% ( 22 of 28)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 19 of 29)
60% ( 9 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 12 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 20 of 47)
51
Total Points Won
39

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Carlos Alcaraz Felix Auger Aliassime
YTD W/L 79% (15/4) 55% (11/9)
Sets Win/Loss 78% (35/10) 53% (27/24)
Games Win/Loss 61% (248/159) 52% (267/248)
Hard Win/Loss 87% (13/2) 44% (4/5)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (2/2) 75% (3/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 57% (4/3)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.3 0.67
Aces Total 61 169
DFs per game 0.15 0.35
DFs Total 31 89
Avg Match Time 1:44:44 2:9:49
Avg Opp Rank 132.47 138.8
1st Serve % 67% (802/1191) 63% (980/1561)
1st Serve W% 75% (598/802) 74% (725/980)
2nd Serve W% 57% (222/389) 52% (300/581)
BPs Won% Total 43% (68/159) 40% (49/124)
Return Pts W% 44% (595/1361) 37% (594/1606)
Slam W/L 80% (4/1) 67% (2/1)
Masters W/L 90% (9/1) 50% (3/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 50% (2/2) 55% (6/5)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 85% (11/13) 53% (9/17)
Best of 5 Sets W% 80% (4/5) 67% (2/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 63% (5/8) 56% (5/9)
Deciding Set W% 100% (2/2) 50% (3/6)
1st set W, W 100% (13/13) 77% (13/10)
1st set W, L 0% (13/0) 23% (13/3)
1st set L, W 40% (5/2) 14% (7/1)

Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63% ( 35 of 56)
1st Serve %
58% ( 34 of 59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
51
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64% ( 35 of 55)
1st Serve %
68% ( 40 of 59)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 18 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
50
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Gael Monfils
81% ( 38 of 47)
1st Serve %
64% ( 30 of 47)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
6
76% ( 29 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 20 of 30)
44% ( 4 of 9)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 3 of 17)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 14 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 24 of 47)
57
Total Points Won
37
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve %
62% ( 33 of 53)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
79% ( 27 of 34)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
36% ( 5 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 6 of 20)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
33% ( 16 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 28 of 53)
60
Total Points Won
41
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
F
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve %
61% ( 48 of 79)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
75% ( 30 of 40)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 30 of 48)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 17 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 35 of 79)
80
Total Points Won
61
W
7-6(5) 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
65% ( 47 of 72)
1st Serve %
62% ( 46 of 74)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 30 of 46)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
36% ( 26 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 29 of 74)
75
Total Points Won
71
W
1-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Zverev
79% ( 31 of 39)
1st Serve %
78% ( 49 of 63)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
87% ( 27 of 31)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 25 of 49)
75% ( 6 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 7 of 14)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
15% ( 6 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 31 of 63)
64
Total Points Won
38
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Fabian Marozsan
63% ( 31 of 49)
1st Serve %
55% ( 32 of 58)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
84% ( 26 of 31)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 23 of 32)
67% ( 12 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
22% ( 11 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 25 of 58)
63
Total Points Won
44
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve %
67% ( 35 of 52)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 19 of 35)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 11 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
58
Total Points Won
38
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
57% ( 43 of 76)
1st Serve %
57% ( 52 of 92)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
86% ( 37 of 43)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 31 of 52)
55% ( 18 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 17 of 40)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
28% ( 21 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 44 of 92)
99
Total Points Won
69
W
6-7(5) 6-0 6-1 H2H

Felix Auger Aliassime Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Taro Daniel
63% ( 40 of 63)
1st Serve %
80% ( 35 of 44)
9
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
80% ( 32 of 40)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
39% ( 9 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
35% ( 22 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 22 of 44)
63
Total Points Won
44
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Maximilian Marterer
60% ( 72 of 120)
1st Serve %
68% ( 79 of 116)
11
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
2
78% ( 56 of 72)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 55 of 79)
54% ( 26 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 23 of 37)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
32% ( 38 of 120)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 38 of 116)
120
Total Points Won
116
W
6-7(5) 7-6(6) 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Lorenzo Sonego
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
64% ( 49 of 76)
1st Serve %
67% ( 40 of 60)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
69% ( 34 of 49)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 28 of 40)
56% ( 15 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 12 of 20)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
36% ( 27 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 20 of 60)
69
Total Points Won
67
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Luca Nardi
55% ( 26 of 47)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
6
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
88% ( 23 of 26)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 20 of 34)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 11 of 20)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 11 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 23 of 54)
59
Total Points Won
42
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
74% ( 28 of 38)
1st Serve %
71% ( 35 of 49)
2
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
0
93% ( 26 of 28)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 25 of 35)
100% ( 10 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
5% ( 2 of 38)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 19 of 49)
55
Total Points Won
32
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Adam Walton
67% ( 43 of 64)
1st Serve %
75% ( 52 of 69)
11
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
1
81% ( 35 of 43)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 33 of 52)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 10 of 17)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
25% ( 16 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 26 of 69)
74
Total Points Won
59
W
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve %
67% ( 35 of 52)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 19 of 35)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 11 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
58
Total Points Won
38
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Constant Lestienne
57% ( 27 of 47)
1st Serve %
51% ( 35 of 69)
4
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
4
85% ( 23 of 27)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 21 of 35)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 15 of 34)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 13 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
67
Total Points Won
49
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Flavio Cobolli
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
52% ( 34 of 65)
1st Serve %
51% ( 37 of 72)
4
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
9
74% ( 25 of 34)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 28 of 37)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 22 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 29 of 72)
72
Total Points Won
65
L
2-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
59% ( 59 of 100)
1st Serve %
64% ( 70 of 109)
5
Aces
20
2
Double Faults
5
68% ( 40 of 59)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 56 of 70)
71% ( 29 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 19 of 39)
20% ( 1 of 5)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 31 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 34 of 109)
103
Total Points Won
106
L
3-6 7-6(6) 7-5 H2H

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