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Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Alcaraz vs Sonego analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Sonego Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alcaraz has won 56.97% of points on his second serve, while Sonego has won 51.66%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 56.41% of his opponent's second serve points, while Sonego has won 42.3%. The same stats for first serve returns are 35.3% and 26% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Alcaraz has saved 59.3% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Sonego has saved 60.11% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Alcaraz has won 82.05% of matches played (W/L 64/ 14), with Sonego winning 44.26% (W/L 27/ 34) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10). Sonego has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 195/ 129), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 49% (W/L 68/ 72).
  • Player level: In the last year, Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 80% of matches (W/L 24/ 6), where as Sonego has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 40.63% of matches (W/L 13/ 19). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Alcaraz winning 1 times. They have played 6 sets in total, with Alcaraz winning 3 and Sonego winning 3. The last match between Alcaraz and Sonego was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 18-01-2024, Second, Hard with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:48:3.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Alcaraz and Sonego have played a deciding set 0 times, with Alcaraz winning 0 times and Sonego 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Alcaraz winning 1, and Sonego 2.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 88.86 while Sonego has played against players with an average rank of 94.07.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alcaraz has won 76% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Sonego has won 58% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Alcaraz has converted 41.84% of breakpoint opportunities, and Sonego has converted 32.7% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Alcaraz 1 - 1 Sonego

Carlos Alcaraz

20

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

2

Slam

6

Main

3

Minor

3

Rank

1

High

20

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

1

1

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

51

Rank

21

High

28

Age

R

Plays

Lorenzo Sonego

9

Total

0

Mast

3

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

3

Minor

1

Total

1

1

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W W W W W W W L

Form

W L L W L W L W L L

79% (245-67)

Career Total W/L

56% (347-268)

79% (15-4)

YTD W/L

35% (7-13)

$18,748,645

Career Prize Money

$3,562,765

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Alcaraz VS Sonego H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Carlos Alcaraz Lorenzo Sonego
All H2H Matches 1 1
Sets Won 3 3
Games Won 34 33
Aces (Total) 13 13
DFs (Total) 7 2
Avg Match Time 2:48:3 2:48:3
1st Serve % 62% (125/201) 69% (152/221)
1st Serve Win% 76% (95/125) 65% (99/152)
2nd Serve Win% 55% (42/76) 62% (43/69)
BPs Won% (Total) 38% (5/13) 50% (4/8)
Return Points W% 36% (79/221) 32% (64/201)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)

Alcaraz VS Sonego H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-7(3) 6-3 7-6(3)
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
68% ( 89 of 130)
1st Serve %
73% ( 103 of 142)
12
Aces
10
4
Double Faults
2
78% ( 69 of 89)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 67 of 103)
71% ( 29 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 26 of 39)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
25% ( 32 of 130)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 49 of 142)
147
Total Points Won
125
6-3 7-6(6)
cross
Lorenzo Sonego
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
62% ( 49 of 79)
1st Serve %
51% ( 36 of 71)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 26 of 36)
57% ( 17 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 13 of 35)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
38% ( 30 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 32 of 71)
81
Total Points Won
69

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Carlos Alcaraz Lorenzo Sonego
YTD W/L 79% (15/4) 35% (7/13)
Sets Win/Loss 78% (35/10) 40% (21/32)
Games Win/Loss 61% (248/159) 47% (253/287)
Hard Win/Loss 87% (13/2) 33% (4/8)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (2/2) 43% (3/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.3 0.51
Aces Total 61 135
DFs per game 0.15 0.12
DFs Total 31 33
Avg Match Time 1:44:44 2:14:45
Avg Opp Rank 132.47 60.4
1st Serve % 67% (802/1191) 67% (1108/1659)
1st Serve W% 75% (598/802) 72% (799/1108)
2nd Serve W% 57% (222/389) 51% (281/551)
BPs Won% Total 43% (68/159) 33% (34/104)
Return Pts W% 44% (595/1361) 31% (502/1627)
Slam W/L 80% (4/1) 50% (1/1)
Masters W/L 90% (9/1) 43% (3/4)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 50% (2/2) 27% (3/8)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 85% (11/13) 33% (6/18)
Best of 5 Sets W% 80% (4/5) 50% (1/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 63% (5/8) 55% (6/11)
Deciding Set W% 100% (2/2) 44% (4/9)
1st set W, W 100% (13/13) 50% (8/4)
1st set W, L 0% (13/0) 50% (8/4)
1st set L, W 40% (5/2) 25% (12/3)

Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63% ( 35 of 56)
1st Serve %
58% ( 34 of 59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
51
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64% ( 35 of 55)
1st Serve %
68% ( 40 of 59)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 18 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
50
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Gael Monfils
81% ( 38 of 47)
1st Serve %
64% ( 30 of 47)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
6
76% ( 29 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 20 of 30)
44% ( 4 of 9)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 3 of 17)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 14 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 24 of 47)
57
Total Points Won
37
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve %
62% ( 33 of 53)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
79% ( 27 of 34)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
36% ( 5 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 6 of 20)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
33% ( 16 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 28 of 53)
60
Total Points Won
41
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
F
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve %
61% ( 48 of 79)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
75% ( 30 of 40)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 30 of 48)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 17 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 35 of 79)
80
Total Points Won
61
W
7-6(5) 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
65% ( 47 of 72)
1st Serve %
62% ( 46 of 74)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 30 of 46)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
36% ( 26 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 29 of 74)
75
Total Points Won
71
W
1-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Zverev
79% ( 31 of 39)
1st Serve %
78% ( 49 of 63)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
87% ( 27 of 31)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 25 of 49)
75% ( 6 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 7 of 14)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
15% ( 6 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 31 of 63)
64
Total Points Won
38
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Fabian Marozsan
63% ( 31 of 49)
1st Serve %
55% ( 32 of 58)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
84% ( 26 of 31)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 23 of 32)
67% ( 12 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
22% ( 11 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 25 of 58)
63
Total Points Won
44
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve %
67% ( 35 of 52)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 19 of 35)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 11 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
58
Total Points Won
38
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
57% ( 43 of 76)
1st Serve %
57% ( 52 of 92)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
86% ( 37 of 43)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 31 of 52)
55% ( 18 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 17 of 40)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
28% ( 21 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 44 of 92)
99
Total Points Won
69
W
6-7(5) 6-0 6-1 H2H

Lorenzo Sonego Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Joao Fonseca
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
70% ( 54 of 77)
1st Serve %
71% ( 51 of 72)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
70% ( 38 of 54)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 12 of 21)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
34% ( 26 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 26 of 72)
77
Total Points Won
72
L
7-6(5) 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Ugo Humbert
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
64% ( 63 of 98)
1st Serve %
62% ( 62 of 100)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
71% ( 45 of 63)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 40 of 62)
54% ( 19 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
10% ( 1 of 10)
35% ( 34 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 42 of 100)
106
Total Points Won
92
L
5-7 6-3 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Lorenzo Sonego
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
64% ( 49 of 76)
1st Serve %
67% ( 40 of 60)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
69% ( 34 of 49)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 28 of 40)
56% ( 15 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 12 of 20)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
36% ( 27 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 20 of 60)
69
Total Points Won
67
W
6-4 7-5 H2H
QF
cross
Roberto Bautista Agut
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
60% ( 36 of 60)
1st Serve %
57% ( 35 of 61)
1
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 21 of 35)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 16 of 26)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
28% ( 17 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 24 of 61)
67
Total Points Won
54
L
6-1 2-6 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Lorenzo Sonego
Player
David Goffin
61% ( 62 of 102)
1st Serve %
55% ( 44 of 80)
4
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
68% ( 42 of 62)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 36 of 44)
55% ( 22 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
37% ( 38 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 26 of 80)
90
Total Points Won
92
W
4-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
81% ( 55 of 68)
1st Serve %
70% ( 45 of 64)
5
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
2
84% ( 46 of 55)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 34 of 45)
46% ( 6 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 10 of 19)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 16 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 20 of 64)
72
Total Points Won
60
L
6-3 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Lorenzo Sonego
Player
Sumit Nagal
58% ( 43 of 74)
1st Serve %
73% ( 62 of 85)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
0
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 40 of 62)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
74% ( 17 of 23)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
30% ( 22 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 28 of 85)
80
Total Points Won
79
W
1-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Daniel Evans
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
57% ( 43 of 76)
1st Serve %
68% ( 60 of 88)
1
Aces
12
4
Double Faults
1
70% ( 30 of 43)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 46 of 60)
55% ( 18 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 28 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 32 of 88)
80
Total Points Won
84
L
1-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Cameron Norrie
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
56% ( 35 of 62)
1st Serve %
67% ( 37 of 55)
2
Aces
8
4
Double Faults
1
66% ( 23 of 35)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 25 of 37)
59% ( 16 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 6 of 18)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
37% ( 23 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 24 of 55)
63
Total Points Won
54
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Lorenzo Sonego
Player
Miomir Kecmanovic
64% ( 39 of 61)
1st Serve %
56% ( 35 of 62)
12
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
95% ( 37 of 39)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
50% ( 11 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
78% ( 21 of 27)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
21% ( 13 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 21 of 62)
69
Total Points Won
54
W
7-6(1) 6-4 H2H

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