Clara Tauson vs Iga Swiatek Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Swiatek has a slightly lower success rate on second serves at 38.81% compared to Tauson's 44.31% over the past six months. Could this impact the match outcome? It might, as this stat is highly correlated with match predictions.
• Both players exhibit strong return game performance, with Tauson edging out Swiatek in winning points on the opponent's second serve (49.23% vs. Swiatek's 46.99%).
• Swiatek's first serve return points won are very close to Tauson’s (28.33% vs. 28.43%). Will this parity be a deciding factor? It could be, given the impact of return games in this matchup.
• Under pressure, Tauson has saved more break points (49.08%) than Swiatek (44.42%). This capability can be crucial during high-pressure moments in matches.
• Looking at past performance, Swiatek has a considerably higher match win rate over the past year (80%) compared to Tauson (61.76%).
• Swiatek’s best surface is Clay with an 87% win rate, while Tauson excels on Indoor Hard courts with 76% wins. Their weakest surfaces are Grass—Swiatek at 76% and Tauson at 44%.
• Swiatek has been competing primarily in higher-tier Masters events, maintaining a 75% win rate, whereas Tauson frequently plays in Main tours, winning 60.71% of those matches.
• Historically, Swiatek has dominated their head-to-head encounters, winning all 3 matches and leading in sets 6-1.
• In their lone deciding set face-off, Swiatek emerged victorious, showing her mental tenacity under pressure scenarios.
• Both have split their two tiebreak meetings, indicating a potential evenly matched contest if it goes to tiebreaks.
• Swiatek has typically faced stronger opponents, averaging an opponent rank of 48.6 versus Tauson's average of 85.88, suggesting Swiatek is well-versed against higher-caliber competition.
• Swiatek holds an advantage in break-point conversion, outperforming Tauson with a conversion rate of 34.09% to 29.65%.

Editorial Prediction (August 3, 2025, UTC):

This encounter casts Swiatek as the favorite, thanks to her robust track record against higher-ranked opponents and superior overall win percentages, especially in key head-to-head matches against Tauson.

While Tauson's strong second serve and ability to save break points could pose challenges, Swiatek's past successes, higher opposition level experience, and effective breakpoint conversion provide her a distinct advantage.

Considering their historical matches and Swiatek's higher performance metrics, she is likely to clinch victory in their upcoming match.