Daniil Medvedev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do their second serve stats compare? Daniil Medvedev has a second serve win rate of 44.04% over the last six months, slightly trailing Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's 44.27%.
• When it comes to returning serves, Medvedev has the edge, winning 46.67% of opponents' second serve points, whereas Fokina has a lower success rate of 44.07%.
• First serve return performance shows Fokina ahead with 28.60% compared to Medvedev's 25.98%, indicating a potential advantage in return games.
• Under pressure, Medvedev is a bit more reliable, saving 56.79% of breakpoints versus Fokina's 53.26%.
• Looking at recent success, Medvedev's match win rate over the past year is 57.89%, while Fokina has a higher win rate of 62.50%.
• On their preferred surfaces, both excel on hard courts with a 75% career win rate, but Medvedev's lowest performance is on clay, whereas Fokina's less favored surface is indoor hard courts.
• In terms of competition level, Medvedev has played against higher-ranked opponents, averaging a ranking of 54.88, compared to Fokina's 61.52.
• Direct match history heavily favors Medvedev, who has won 5 out of 6 encounters with Fokina.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Medvedev has a 47% win rate, slightly lower than Fokina's 53% in recent matches.

Editorial Prediction (October 6, 2025, UTC):

With slightly superior second serve stats and a better ability to return second serves, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has shown the potential to challenge his opponent under the right conditions.

However, in head-to-head encounters, Daniil Medvedev has dominated, winning five out of six matches, including the most recent one on a hard surface.

Medvedev’s ability to save breakpoints and his experience against higher-ranked opponents could play a significant role in tipping the balance in his favor.

Despite the narrow margins in recent performance stats and deciding set outcomes, Medvedev's historical success against Fokina suggests that he is more likely to secure the upcoming match victory, especially on a hard court.