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Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Medvedev vs Minaur analysis and find out who is favored!
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Medvedev has won 49.22% of points on his second serve, while Minaur has won 55.17%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Medvedev, in recent form, has won 54.48% of his opponent's second serve points, while Minaur has won 54.4%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.12% and 33.83% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Medvedev has saved 63.32% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Minaur has saved 62.44% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Medvedev has won 73.97% of matches played (W/L 54/ 19), with Minaur winning 67.9% (W/L 55/ 26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 237/ 74), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 78/ 44). Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 44/ 22), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 55% (W/L 59/ 48).
- Player level: In the last year, Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 73.33% of matches (W/L 22/ 8), where as Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 71.05% of matches (W/L 27/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 8 times before with Medvedev winning 6 times. They have played 21 sets in total, with Medvedev winning 14 and Minaur winning 7. The last match between Medvedev and Minaur was at the China Open - Beijing, 30-09-2023, Second, Hard with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:2:56.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Medvedev and Minaur have played a deciding set 3 times, with Medvedev winning 2 times and Minaur 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Medvedev winning 1, and Minaur 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Medvedev has played against opponents with an average rank of 92.59 while Minaur has played against players with an average rank of 87.85.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Medvedev has won 65% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Minaur has won 65% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Medvedev has converted 41.38% of breakpoint opportunities, and Minaur has converted 42.58% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Medvedev 6 - 2 Minaur
4
Rank
1
High
28
Age
R
Plays
6
Total2
5
Hard1
0
Clay0
1
Indoor1
0
Grass0
11
Rank
9
High
25
Age
R
Plays
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
Form
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
72% (508-202)
Career Total W/L
63% (333-193)
79% (19-5)
YTD W/L
74% (23-8)
$28,877,260
Career Prize Money
$8,497,415
0
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Daniil Medvedev | Alex De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Sets Won | 14 | 7 |
| Games Won | 114 | 89 |
| Aces (Total) | 64 | 15 |
| DFs (Total) | 40 | 10 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:2:56 | 2:2:56 |
| 1st Serve % | 61% (391/636) | 58% (389/667) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 71% (277/391) | 66% (257/389) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 50% (123/245) | 45% (126/278) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 40% (32/81) | 46% (21/46) |
| Return Points W% | 43% (284/667) | 37% (236/636) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 71% (5/7) | 29% (2/7) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 67% (2/3) | 33% (1/3) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (3/3) | 40% (5/2) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (3/0) | 60% (5/3) |
| 1st set L, W | 60% (5/3) | 0% (3/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-6(3) 6-3 |
Stats 
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alex De Minaur
64%
(
47 of
74)
1st Serve %
52%
(
43 of
83)
3
Aces
5
8
Double Faults
2
74%
(
35 of
47)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
27 of
43)
41%
(
11 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
19 of
40)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
38%
(
28 of
74)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
37 of
83)
83
Total Points Won
74
|
||||
| 2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alex De Minaur
64%
(
67 of
104)
1st Serve %
55%
(
52 of
95)
11
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
2
81%
(
54 of
67)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
36 of
52)
41%
(
15 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
20 of
43)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
34%
(
35 of
104)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
39 of
95)
108
Total Points Won
91
|
||||
| 7-6(7) 7-5 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Daniil Medvedev
57%
(
44 of
77)
1st Serve %
53%
(
46 of
87)
1
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
7
80%
(
35 of
44)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
25 of
46)
45%
(
15 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
23 of
41)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
35%
(
27 of
77)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
39 of
87)
89
Total Points Won
75
|
||||
| 6-4 2-6 7-5 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Daniil Medvedev
59%
(
62 of
105)
1st Serve %
64%
(
65 of
102)
1
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
2
68%
(
42 of
62)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
42 of
65)
51%
(
22 of
43)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
20 of
37)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
20%
(
3 of
15)
39%
(
41 of
105)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
40 of
102)
104
Total Points Won
103
|
||||
| 6-4 6-2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alex De Minaur
72%
(
33 of
46)
1st Serve %
54%
(
34 of
63)
8
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
0
76%
(
25 of
33)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
18 of
34)
54%
(
7 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
10 of
29)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
30%
(
14 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
35 of
63)
67
Total Points Won
42
|
||||
| 5-7 6-2 6-2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alex De Minaur
64%
(
50 of
78)
1st Serve %
64%
(
51 of
80)
13
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
74%
(
37 of
50)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
36 of
51)
54%
(
15 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
11 of
29)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
33%
(
26 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
33 of
80)
85
Total Points Won
73
|
||||
| 6-3 6-3 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alex De Minaur
53%
(
31 of
59)
1st Serve %
53%
(
39 of
73)
7
Aces
2
7
Double Faults
4
77%
(
24 of
31)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
24 of
39)
46%
(
13 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
15 of
34)
27%
(
4 of
15)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
37%
(
22 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
34 of
73)
71
Total Points Won
61
|
||||
| 1-6 6-4 7-5 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alex De Minaur
60%
(
52 of
86)
1st Serve %
70%
(
64 of
91)
4
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
0
67%
(
35 of
52)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
39 of
64)
56%
(
19 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
14 of
27)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
56%
(
5 of
9)
37%
(
32 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
38 of
91)
92
Total Points Won
85
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Daniil Medvedev | Alex De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 79% (19/5) | 74% (23/8) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 68% (46/22) | 70% (53/23) |
| Games Win/Loss | 55% (362/299) | 57% (396/295) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 82% (18/4) | 75% (15/5) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 50% (1/1) | 67% (4/2) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 80% (4/1) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.46 | 0.41 |
| Aces Total | 149 | 139 |
| DFs per game | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| DFs Total | 107 | 62 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:11:38 | 1:50:31 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 93.71 | 93.19 |
| 1st Serve % | 61% (1286/2094) | 55% (1145/2099) |
| 1st Serve W% | 72% (929/1286) | 73% (831/1145) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 50% (402/808) | 56% (539/954) |
| BPs Won% Total | 44% (98/225) | 44% (110/252) |
| Return Pts W% | 40% (866/2141) | 43% (1009/2371) |
| Slam W/L | 86% (6/1) | 75% (3/1) |
| Masters W/L | 77% (10/3) | 70% (7/3) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 75% (3/1) | 76% (13/4) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 76% (13/17) | 73% (19/26) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 86% (6/7) | 80% (4/5) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 80% (8/10) | 67% (4/6) |
| Deciding Set W% | 86% (6/7) | 50% (4/8) |
| 1st set W, W | 93% (15/14) | 95% (20/19) |
| 1st set W, L | 7% (15/1) | 5% (20/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 56% (9/5) | 36% (11/4) |
Daniil Medvedev Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 |
Stats
Karen Khachanov
Player
Daniil Medvedev
70%
(
45 of
64)
1st Serve %
60%
(
52 of
86)
1
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
8
80%
(
36 of
45)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
32 of
52)
32%
(
6 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
13 of
34)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
22 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
41 of
86)
83
Total Points Won
67
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Gael Monfils
48%
(
24 of
50)
1st Serve %
75%
(
48 of
64)
0
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
0
83%
(
20 of
24)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
25 of
48)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
7 of
16)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
28%
(
14 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
32 of
64)
68
Total Points Won
46
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
64%
(
30 of
47)
1st Serve %
64%
(
32 of
50)
7
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
17 of
32)
59%
(
10 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
7 of
18)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
28%
(
13 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
26 of
50)
60
Total Points Won
37
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Nicolas Jarry
70%
(
45 of
64)
1st Serve %
60%
(
38 of
63)
6
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
1
80%
(
36 of
45)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
30 of
38)
58%
(
11 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
10 of
25)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
27%
(
17 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
23 of
63)
70
Total Points Won
57
|
6-2 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Dominik Koepfer
71%
(
40 of
56)
1st Serve %
78%
(
54 of
69)
7
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
70%
(
28 of
40)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
32 of
54)
56%
(
9 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
27%
(
4 of
15)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
34%
(
19 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
33 of
69)
70
Total Points Won
55
|
7-6(5) 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Cameron Norrie
58%
(
32 of
55)
1st Serve %
63%
(
40 of
64)
6
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
2
72%
(
23 of
32)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
22 of
40)
52%
(
12 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
10 of
24)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
36%
(
20 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
32 of
64)
67
Total Points Won
52
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Marton Fucsovics
67%
(
37 of
55)
1st Serve %
70%
(
33 of
47)
5
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
0
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
24 of
33)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
4 of
14)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
27%
(
15 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
19 of
47)
59
Total Points Won
43
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65%
(
40 of
62)
1st Serve %
61%
(
48 of
79)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
75%
(
30 of
40)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
30 of
48)
68%
(
15 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
27%
(
17 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
35 of
79)
80
Total Points Won
61
|
7-6(5) 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
62%
(
64 of
103)
1st Serve %
53%
(
53 of
100)
2
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
59%
(
38 of
64)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
34 of
53)
41%
(
16 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
21 of
47)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
48%
(
49 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
45 of
100)
99
Total Points Won
104
|
1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Holger Rune
60%
(
44 of
73)
1st Serve %
56%
(
47 of
84)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
6
68%
(
30 of
44)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
32 of
47)
62%
(
18 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
14 of
37)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
34%
(
25 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
38 of
84)
86
Total Points Won
71
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
view more
Alex De Minaur Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 |
Stats
Arthur Fils
Player
Alex De Minaur
61%
(
34 of
56)
1st Serve %
59%
(
41 of
69)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
71%
(
24 of
34)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
25 of
41)
55%
(
12 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
11 of
28)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
36%
(
20 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
33 of
69)
69
Total Points Won
56
|
7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52%
(
28 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
50 of
73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
29 of
50)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
16 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
36 of
73)
74
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Alex De Minaur
66%
(
42 of
64)
1st Serve %
42%
(
30 of
71)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
64%
(
27 of
42)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
18 of
30)
59%
(
13 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
20 of
41)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
38%
(
24 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
33 of
71)
73
Total Points Won
62
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Alexei Popyrin
63%
(
27 of
43)
1st Serve %
67%
(
38 of
57)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
70%
(
19 of
27)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
25 of
38)
94%
(
15 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
21%
(
9 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
25 of
57)
59
Total Points Won
41
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
51%
(
36 of
70)
1st Serve %
66%
(
68 of
103)
2
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
4
78%
(
28 of
36)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
44 of
68)
47%
(
16 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
15 of
35)
31%
(
4 of
13)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
37%
(
26 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
44 of
103)
88
Total Points Won
85
|
2-6 6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Stan Wawrinka
43%
(
19 of
44)
1st Serve %
63%
(
34 of
54)
3
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
63%
(
12 of
19)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
16 of
34)
64%
(
16 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
7 of
20)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
36%
(
16 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
31 of
54)
59
Total Points Won
39
|
6-3 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Fabian Marozsan
Player
Alex De Minaur
74%
(
59 of
80)
1st Serve %
60%
(
37 of
62)
3
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
63%
(
37 of
59)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
24 of
37)
57%
(
12 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
64%
(
16 of
25)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
39%
(
31 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
22 of
62)
71
Total Points Won
71
|
6-4 0-6 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
48%
(
37 of
77)
1st Serve %
61%
(
49 of
80)
7
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
3
76%
(
28 of
37)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
33 of
49)
65%
(
26 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
17 of
31)
17%
(
1 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
30%
(
23 of
77)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
30 of
80)
84
Total Points Won
73
|
7-6(3) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Soon-Woo Kwon
53%
(
25 of
47)
1st Serve %
65%
(
40 of
62)
7
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
84%
(
21 of
25)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
21 of
40)
55%
(
12 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
9 of
22)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
30%
(
14 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
32 of
62)
65
Total Points Won
44
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Alexander Zverev
Player
Alex De Minaur
67%
(
77 of
115)
1st Serve %
49%
(
38 of
78)
7
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
2
69%
(
53 of
77)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
27 of
38)
45%
(
17 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
18 of
40)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
27%
(
3 of
11)
39%
(
45 of
115)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
33 of
78)
103
Total Points Won
90
|
5-7 6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
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