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Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Medvedev vs Carreno-Busta analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Medvedev has won 49.22% of points on his second serve, while Carreno-Busta has won 0%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Medvedev, in recent form, has won 54.48% of his opponent's second serve points, while Carreno-Busta has won 0%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.12% and 0% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Medvedev has saved 63.32% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Carreno-Busta has saved 0% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Medvedev has won 73.97% of matches played (W/L 54/ 19), with Carreno-Busta winning 33.33% (W/L 1/ 2) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 237/ 74), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 78/ 44). Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 339/ 168), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13).
  • Player level: In the last year, Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 73.33% of matches (W/L 22/ 8), where as Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 33.33% of matches (W/L 1/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Medvedev winning 5 times. They have played 15 sets in total, with Medvedev winning 10 and Carreno-Busta winning 5. The last match between Medvedev and Carreno-Busta was at the Davis Cup, Finals, Group A, 28-11-2021, Rubber 2, I.hard with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:21:22.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Medvedev and Carreno-Busta have played a deciding set 1 times, with Medvedev winning 1 times and Carreno-Busta 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Medvedev winning 1, and Carreno-Busta 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Medvedev has played against opponents with an average rank of 92.59 while Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 332.67.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Medvedev has won 65% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Carreno-Busta has won 100% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Medvedev has converted 41.38% of breakpoint opportunities, and Carreno-Busta has converted 0% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Medvedev 5 - 2 Carreno-Busta

Daniil Medvedev

25

Total

6

Mast

1

Chall

1

Slam

12

Main

4

Minor

4

Rank

1

High

28

Age

R

Plays

5

Total

2

1

Hard

2

0

Clay

0

3

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

605

Rank

10

High

32

Age

R

Plays

Pablo Carreno-Busta

30

Total

1

Mast

11

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

12

Minor

5

Total

2

1

Hard

2

0

Clay

0

3

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

W W L W W W W L W L

Form

W L L L W L L L W L

72% (508-202)

Career Total W/L

64% (560-315)

79% (19-5)

YTD W/L

0% (0-0)

$28,877,260

Career Prize Money

$9,946,935

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Medvedev VS Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Daniil Medvedev Pablo Carreno-Busta
All H2H Matches 5 2
Sets Won 10 5
Games Won 78 57
Aces (Total) 58 16
DFs (Total) 23 12
Avg Match Time 1:21:22 1:21:22
1st Serve % 63% (241/383) 72% (330/461)
1st Serve Win% 81% (196/241) 60% (199/330)
2nd Serve Win% 45% (63/141) 47% (62/131)
BPs Won% (Total) 38% (23/61) 43% (12/28)
Return Points W% 43% (200/461) 32% (124/383)
Best of 3 Sets W% 71% (5/7) 29% (2/7)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (4/4) 67% (3/2)
1st set W, L 0% (4/0) 33% (3/1)
1st set L, W 33% (3/1) 0% (4/0)

Medvedev VS Carreno-Busta H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-2 7-6(3)
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
66% ( 44 of 67)
1st Serve %
76% ( 48 of 63)
11
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
0
77% ( 34 of 44)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 23 of 48)
30% ( 7 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
39% ( 26 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 32 of 63)
73
Total Points Won
57
6-1 6-1
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
76% ( 26 of 34)
1st Serve %
79% ( 41 of 52)
9
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
92% ( 24 of 26)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 23 of 41)
50% ( 4 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
9% ( 1 of 11)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
18% ( 6 of 34)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 28 of 52)
56
Total Points Won
30
6-2 7-6(5)
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve %
55% ( 34 of 62)
3
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
1
67% ( 26 of 39)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 27 of 34)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 12 of 27)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
33% ( 19 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 22 of 61)
62
Total Points Won
58
3-6 6-3 6-2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
54% ( 37 of 69)
1st Serve %
79% ( 76 of 96)
10
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
1
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 47 of 76)
59% ( 19 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 11 of 20)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
29% ( 20 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 38 of 96)
87
Total Points Won
78
6-2 6-2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
68% ( 28 of 41)
1st Serve %
67% ( 26 of 39)
8
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
4
96% ( 27 of 28)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 16 of 26)
46% ( 6 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 4 of 13)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 8 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 19 of 39)
52
Total Points Won
28
6-1 7-5
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65% ( 51 of 79)
1st Serve %
67% ( 41 of 61)
6
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
6
71% ( 36 of 51)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 29 of 41)
50% ( 14 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 5 of 20)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
8% ( 1 of 12)
37% ( 29 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 27 of 61)
77
Total Points Won
63
6-3 6-3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
63% ( 31 of 49)
1st Serve %
66% ( 49 of 74)
8
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
2
81% ( 25 of 31)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 28 of 49)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
29% ( 14 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 35 of 74)
70
Total Points Won
53

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Daniil Medvedev Pablo Carreno-Busta
YTD W/L 79% (19/5) 0% (0/0)
Sets Win/Loss 68% (46/22) 0% (0/0)
Games Win/Loss 55% (362/299) 0% (0/0)
Hard Win/Loss 82% (18/4) 0% (0/0)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.46 0
Aces Total 149 0
DFs per game 0.33 0
DFs Total 107 0
Avg Match Time 2:11:38 1st Match
Avg Opp Rank 93.71 0
1st Serve % 61% (1286/2094) 0% (0/0)
1st Serve W% 72% (929/1286) 0% (0/0)
2nd Serve W% 50% (402/808) 0% (0/0)
BPs Won% Total 44% (98/225) 0% (0/0)
Return Pts W% 40% (866/2141) 0% (0/0)
Slam W/L 86% (6/1) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 77% (10/3) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 75% (3/1) 0% (0/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 76% (13/17) 0% (0/0)
Best of 5 Sets W% 86% (6/7) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 80% (8/10) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set W% 86% (6/7) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 93% (15/14) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 7% (15/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 56% (9/5) 0% (0/0)

Daniil Medvedev Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Karen Khachanov
Player
Daniil Medvedev
70% ( 45 of 64)
1st Serve %
60% ( 52 of 86)
1
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
8
80% ( 36 of 45)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 32 of 52)
32% ( 6 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 13 of 34)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 22 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 41 of 86)
83
Total Points Won
67
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Gael Monfils
48% ( 24 of 50)
1st Serve %
75% ( 48 of 64)
0
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
0
83% ( 20 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 25 of 48)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
28% ( 14 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 32 of 64)
68
Total Points Won
46
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
64% ( 30 of 47)
1st Serve %
64% ( 32 of 50)
7
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
59% ( 10 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 13 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 26 of 50)
60
Total Points Won
37
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Nicolas Jarry
70% ( 45 of 64)
1st Serve %
60% ( 38 of 63)
6
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
1
80% ( 36 of 45)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 30 of 38)
58% ( 11 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 10 of 25)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 17 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 23 of 63)
70
Total Points Won
57
W
6-2 7-6(7) H2H
R4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Dominik Koepfer
71% ( 40 of 56)
1st Serve %
78% ( 54 of 69)
7
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
70% ( 28 of 40)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 32 of 54)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 4 of 15)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
70
Total Points Won
55
W
7-6(5) 6-0 H2H
R3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Cameron Norrie
58% ( 32 of 55)
1st Serve %
63% ( 40 of 64)
6
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
2
72% ( 23 of 32)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 22 of 40)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
36% ( 20 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 32 of 64)
67
Total Points Won
52
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Marton Fucsovics
67% ( 37 of 55)
1st Serve %
70% ( 33 of 47)
5
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
0
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 24 of 33)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
27% ( 15 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 19 of 47)
59
Total Points Won
43
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve %
61% ( 48 of 79)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
75% ( 30 of 40)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 30 of 48)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 17 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 35 of 79)
80
Total Points Won
61
L
7-6(5) 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
62% ( 64 of 103)
1st Serve %
53% ( 53 of 100)
2
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
59% ( 38 of 64)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 34 of 53)
41% ( 16 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 21 of 47)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
48% ( 49 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 45 of 100)
99
Total Points Won
104
W
1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Holger Rune
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
56% ( 47 of 84)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
6
68% ( 30 of 44)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 32 of 47)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 14 of 37)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
34% ( 25 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 38 of 84)
86
Total Points Won
71
W
7-5 6-4 H2H

Pablo Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Mattia Bellucci
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
64% ( 45 of 70)
1st Serve %
75% ( 47 of 63)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 34 of 45)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 30 of 47)
72% ( 18 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 10 of 16)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 18 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 23 of 63)
75
Total Points Won
58
L
6-3 7-6(0) H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Arthur Cazaux
70% ( 74 of 105)
1st Serve %
60% ( 44 of 73)
2
Aces
12
5
Double Faults
1
68% ( 50 of 74)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 34 of 44)
32% ( 10 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
43% ( 45 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 27 of 73)
87
Total Points Won
91
W
2-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Pedro Martinez Portero
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
69% ( 64 of 93)
1st Serve %
70% ( 43 of 61)
3
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
1
75% ( 48 of 64)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 31 of 43)
48% ( 14 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 13)
33% ( 31 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 21 of 61)
83
Total Points Won
71
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Richard Gasquet
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
58% ( 49 of 84)
1st Serve %
62% ( 62 of 100)
13
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
5
73% ( 36 of 49)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 43 of 62)
49% ( 17 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
37% ( 31 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 39 of 100)
92
Total Points Won
92
L
2-6 7-6(2) 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Benjamin Bonzi
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
66% ( 117 of 176)
1st Serve %
65% ( 122 of 187)
15
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
2
76% ( 89 of 117)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 87 of 122)
56% ( 33 of 59)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 34 of 65)
19% ( 4 of 21)
Break Points Won
17% ( 3 of 18)
31% ( 54 of 176)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 66 of 187)
188
Total Points Won
175
L
4-6 4-6 7-6(5) 6-1 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Pedro Cachin
63% ( 59 of 93)
1st Serve %
61% ( 59 of 97)
15
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
1
90% ( 53 of 59)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 48 of 59)
65% ( 22 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
19% ( 18 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 31 of 97)
106
Total Points Won
84
W
7-6(4) 6-1 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Soon-Woo Kwon
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
65% ( 57 of 88)
1st Serve %
61% ( 65 of 107)
11
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
6
77% ( 44 of 57)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 44 of 65)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 22 of 42)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
32% ( 28 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 41 of 107)
101
Total Points Won
94
L
3-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
Rubber 2
L
5-7 6-3 7-6(5) H2H
R3
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
67% ( 38 of 57)
1st Serve %
81% ( 52 of 64)
4
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
0
76% ( 29 of 38)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 34 of 52)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
26% ( 15 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 27 of 64)
69
Total Points Won
52
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Denis Shapovalov
59% ( 48 of 81)
1st Serve %
50% ( 51 of 103)
3
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
9
75% ( 36 of 48)
1st Serve Won
86% ( 44 of 51)
70% ( 23 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
27% ( 22 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 34 of 103)
93
Total Points Won
91
W
7-6(2) 2-6 6-4 H2H

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