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David Goffin vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Goffin vs Nadal analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

David Goffin vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Goffin has won 53.25% of points on his second serve, while Nadal has won 52%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Goffin, in recent form, has won 51.54% of his opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 53.54%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.64% and 29.84% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Goffin has saved 58.37% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 55.56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Goffin has won 57.14% of matches played (W/L 44/ 33), with Nadal winning 60% (W/L 3/ 2) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Goffin has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 210/ 110), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 37/ 27). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 502/ 54), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38).
  • Player level: In the last year, Goffin has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 60.53% of matches (W/L 23/ 15), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Goffin winning 2 times. They have played 18 sets in total, with Goffin winning 6 and Nadal winning 12. The last match between Goffin and Nadal was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 05-05-2022, Third, Clay with Rafael Nadal getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:15:51.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Goffin and Nadal have played a deciding set 2 times, with Goffin winning 1 times and Nadal 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 5 tiebreaks against each other with Goffin winning 2, and Nadal 3.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Goffin has played against opponents with an average rank of 271.12 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 106.2.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Goffin has won 56% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 0% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Goffin has converted 37.9% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 42.42% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Goffin 2 - 5 Nadal

David Goffin

20

Total

0

Mast

8

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

5

Minor

100

Rank

7

High

33

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

5

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

5

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

644

Rank

1

High

37

Age

L

Plays

Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

2

Total

5

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

5

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W L W L W W W L L L

Form

W L L W L W W L W L

63% (621-363)

Career Total W/L

82% (1115-238)

60% (18-12)

YTD W/L

60% (3-2)

$10,394,265

Career Prize Money

$96,415,145

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Goffin VS Nadal H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats David Goffin Rafael Nadal
All H2H Matches 2 5
Sets Won 6 12
Games Won 77 104
Aces (Total) 33 24
DFs (Total) 17 15
Avg Match Time 2:15:51 2:15:51
1st Serve % 63% (383/607) 64% (355/554)
1st Serve Win% 66% (253/383) 72% (257/355)
2nd Serve Win% 45% (101/224) 59% (118/199)
BPs Won% (Total) 32% (14/44) 37% (26/71)
Return Points W% 32% (179/554) 42% (253/607)
Best of 3 Sets W% 33% (2/6) 67% (4/6)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 40% (2/5) 60% (3/5)
Deciding Set Win% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 100% (5/5)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (5/0)
1st set L, W 0% (5/0) 0% (2/0)

Goffin VS Nadal H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 5-7 7-6(9)
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
David Goffin
66% ( 72 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 85 of 116)
7
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
76% ( 55 of 72)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 57 of 85)
54% ( 20 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
31% ( 34 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 45 of 116)
120
Total Points Won
105
6-4 7-6(3)
cross
David Goffin
Player
Rafael Nadal
60% ( 49 of 82)
1st Serve %
62% ( 51 of 82)
6
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
4
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
42% ( 14 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
21% ( 3 of 14)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
38% ( 31 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 33 of 82)
84
Total Points Won
80
6-1 6-3 4-6 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
David Goffin
58% ( 56 of 96)
1st Serve %
60% ( 63 of 105)
5
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
1
79% ( 44 of 56)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 40 of 63)
70% ( 28 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 22 of 42)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
25% ( 24 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 43 of 105)
115
Total Points Won
86
6-4 6-0
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
David Goffin
62% ( 26 of 42)
1st Serve %
65% ( 39 of 60)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
77% ( 20 of 26)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 21 of 39)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 6 of 21)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
26% ( 11 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 33 of 60)
64
Total Points Won
38
7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-4
cross
David Goffin
Player
Rafael Nadal
64% ( 61 of 96)
1st Serve %
65% ( 76 of 117)
14
Aces
2
7
Double Faults
2
75% ( 46 of 61)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 50 of 76)
54% ( 19 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 19 of 41)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
100% ( 4 of 4)
32% ( 31 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 48 of 117)
113
Total Points Won
100
7-6(3) 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
David Goffin
70% ( 46 of 66)
1st Serve %
61% ( 50 of 82)
0
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
76% ( 35 of 46)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 32 of 50)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 14 of 32)
14% ( 2 of 14)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
27% ( 18 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 36 of 82)
84
Total Points Won
64
6-3 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
David Goffin
67% ( 28 of 42)
1st Serve %
55% ( 36 of 66)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
0
68% ( 19 of 28)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 20 of 36)
86% ( 12 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
26% ( 11 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 34 of 66)
65
Total Points Won
43

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats David Goffin Rafael Nadal
YTD W/L 60% (18/12) 60% (3/2)
Sets Win/Loss 56% (42/33) 64% (7/4)
Games Win/Loss 51% (388/367) 57% (59/45)
Hard Win/Loss 64% (9/5) 67% (2/1)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (3/3) 50% (1/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 60% (6/4) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.34 0.28
Aces Total 125 14
DFs per game 0.18 0.2
DFs Total 67 10
Avg Match Time 1:57:44 1:55:33
Avg Opp Rank 218.33 106.2
1st Serve % 60% (1403/2338) 69% (222/322)
1st Serve W% 71% (994/1403) 74% (164/222)
2nd Serve W% 53% (499/935) 52% (52/100)
BPs Won% Total 41% (97/235) 42% (14/33)
Return Pts W% 39% (943/2422) 39% (125/318)
Slam W/L 75% (3/1) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 50% (3/3) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 67% (8/4) 60% (3/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 50% (4/4) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 62% (18/29) 60% (3/5)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 54% (7/13) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set W% 62% (8/13) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 87% (15/13) 75% (4/3)
1st set W, L 13% (15/2) 25% (4/1)
1st set L, W 33% (15/5) 0% (1/0)

David Goffin Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Miomir Kecmanovic
Player
David Goffin
65% ( 57 of 88)
1st Serve %
59% ( 50 of 85)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
70% ( 40 of 57)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 38 of 50)
48% ( 15 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
38% ( 33 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 30 of 85)
85
Total Points Won
88
L
6-4 3-6 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Lorenzo Sonego
Player
David Goffin
61% ( 62 of 102)
1st Serve %
55% ( 44 of 80)
4
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
68% ( 42 of 62)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 36 of 44)
55% ( 22 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
37% ( 38 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 26 of 80)
90
Total Points Won
92
L
4-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Player
David Goffin
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve %
57% ( 34 of 60)
5
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
1
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 24 of 34)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 12 of 26)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 17 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 24 of 60)
68
Total Points Won
53
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
David Goffin
Player
Arthur Rinderknech
52% ( 33 of 63)
1st Serve %
46% ( 28 of 61)
5
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
67% ( 22 of 33)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 17 of 28)
60% ( 18 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 15 of 33)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
37% ( 23 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 29 of 61)
69
Total Points Won
55
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
David Goffin
Player
Benjamin Hassan
54% ( 56 of 103)
1st Serve %
60% ( 60 of 100)
10
Aces
10
5
Double Faults
1
79% ( 44 of 56)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 43 of 60)
47% ( 22 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 21 of 40)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
36% ( 37 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 36 of 100)
102
Total Points Won
101
W
2-6 7-6(8) 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
David Goffin
Player
Calvin Hemery
77% ( 60 of 78)
1st Serve %
70% ( 52 of 74)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
60% ( 36 of 60)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 33 of 52)
61% ( 11 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 8 of 22)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
40% ( 31 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 33 of 74)
80
Total Points Won
72
W
7-6(7) 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Harold Mayot
Player
David Goffin
67% ( 43 of 64)
1st Serve %
66% ( 38 of 58)
6
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
70% ( 30 of 43)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 12 of 20)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
33% ( 21 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 21 of 58)
64
Total Points Won
58
L
7-6(5) 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
David Goffin
Player
Shintaro Mochizuki
62% ( 44 of 71)
1st Serve %
48% ( 29 of 61)
4
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
68% ( 30 of 44)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 24 of 29)
63% ( 17 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 13 of 32)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
34% ( 24 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 24 of 61)
71
Total Points Won
61
W
7-6(4) 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Terence Atmane
Player
David Goffin
62% ( 48 of 78)
1st Serve %
55% ( 42 of 76)
8
Aces
2
8
Double Faults
4
77% ( 37 of 48)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 28 of 42)
37% ( 11 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 17 of 34)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
38% ( 30 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 31 of 76)
79
Total Points Won
75
L
6-3 3-6 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
David Goffin
Player
Seong Chan Hong
67% ( 37 of 55)
1st Serve %
62% ( 29 of 47)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
73% ( 27 of 37)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 19 of 29)
61% ( 11 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 5 of 18)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 17 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 23 of 47)
61
Total Points Won
41
W
6-2 6-4 H2H

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
76% ( 35 of 46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
58
Total Points Won
34
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90% ( 28 of 31)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
80% ( 12 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
13% ( 6 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 21 of 54)
61
Total Points Won
39
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66% ( 63 of 95)
1st Serve %
64% ( 65 of 102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
63% ( 20 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 32 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 102)
107
Total Points Won
90
L
6-4 6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jack Draper
66% ( 78 of 119)
1st Serve %
58% ( 67 of 115)
6
Aces
13
3
Double Faults
3
73% ( 57 of 78)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 42 of 67)
51% ( 21 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 27 of 48)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
34% ( 41 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 46 of 115)
124
Total Points Won
110
W
7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1 H2H
Robin
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
62% ( 62 of 100)
1st Serve %
61% ( 56 of 92)
3
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
63% ( 39 of 62)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 34 of 56)
50% ( 19 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
42% ( 42 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 42 of 92)
100
Total Points Won
92
L
3-6 6-1 7-5 H2H
Robin
cross
Cameron Norrie
Player
Rafael Nadal
65% ( 57 of 88)
1st Serve %
58% ( 55 of 95)
6
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
74% ( 42 of 57)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 40 of 55)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 21 of 40)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
32% ( 28 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 34 of 95)
94
Total Points Won
89
L
3-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
Robin
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve %
70% ( 46 of 66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93% ( 38 of 41)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 33 of 46)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
18% ( 11 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 23 of 66)
73
Total Points Won
54
W
7-5 7-5 H2H

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