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Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Shapovalov vs Carreno-Busta analysis and find out who is favored!
Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Shapovalov has won 47.23% of points on his second serve, while Carreno-Busta has won 0%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Shapovalov, in recent form, has won 46.76% of his opponent's second serve points, while Carreno-Busta has won 0%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.25% and 0% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Shapovalov has saved 65.06% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Carreno-Busta has saved 0% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Shapovalov has won 42.86% of matches played (W/L 12/ 16), with Carreno-Busta winning 33.33% (W/L 1/ 2) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Shapovalov has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 72/ 43), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 21/ 21). Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 339/ 168), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13).
- Player level: In the last year, Shapovalov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 28.57% of matches (W/L 4/ 10), where as Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 33.33% of matches (W/L 1/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Shapovalov winning 2 times. They have played 19 sets in total, with Shapovalov winning 7 and Carreno-Busta winning 12. The last match between Shapovalov and Carreno-Busta was at the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris, 02-11-2022, Second, I.hard with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:6:34.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Shapovalov and Carreno-Busta have played a deciding set 2 times, with Shapovalov winning 0 times and Carreno-Busta 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 7 tiebreaks against each other with Shapovalov winning 1, and Carreno-Busta 6.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Shapovalov has played against opponents with an average rank of 115.32 while Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 332.67.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Shapovalov has won 25% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Carreno-Busta has won 100% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Shapovalov has converted 32.73% of breakpoint opportunities, and Carreno-Busta has converted 0% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Shapovalov 2 - 5 Carreno-Busta
121
Rank
10
High
25
Age
L
Plays
2
Total5
1
Hard3
1
Clay0
0
Indoor2
0
Grass0
605
Rank
10
High
32
Age
R
Plays
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
Form
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
59% (283-193)
Career Total W/L
64% (560-315)
38% (6-10)
YTD W/L
0% (0-0)
$7,812,745
Career Prize Money
$9,946,935
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
Shapovalov VS Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| stats | Denis Shapovalov | Pablo Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Sets Won | 7 | 12 |
| Games Won | 101 | 100 |
| Aces (Total) | 79 | 15 |
| DFs (Total) | 30 | 11 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:6:34 | 2:6:34 |
| 1st Serve % | 59% (377/638) | 68% (405/594) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 77% (292/377) | 72% (290/405) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 51% (132/261) | 59% (111/189) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 33% (18/54) | 28% (15/54) |
| Return Points W% | 32% (193/594) | 34% (214/638) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 40% (2/5) | 60% (3/5) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 14% (1/7) | 86% (6/7) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| 1st set W, W | 67% (3/2) | 100% (4/4) |
| 1st set W, L | 33% (3/1) | 0% (4/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (4/0) | 33% (3/1) |
Shapovalov VS Carreno-Busta H2h Matches played
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-6(2) 2-6 6-4 |
Stats 
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Denis Shapovalov
59%
(
48 of
81)
1st Serve %
50%
(
51 of
103)
3
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
9
75%
(
36 of
48)
1st Serve Won
86%
(
44 of
51)
70%
(
23 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
25 of
52)
22%
(
2 of
9)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
27%
(
22 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
34 of
103)
93
Total Points Won
91
|
||||
| 6-4 6-3 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
63%
(
49 of
78)
1st Serve %
66%
(
33 of
50)
7
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
0
69%
(
34 of
49)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
21 of
33)
55%
(
16 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
8 of
17)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
11%
(
1 of
9)
36%
(
28 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
21 of
50)
71
Total Points Won
57
|
||||
| 3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4) 0-6 6-3 |
Stats
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Denis Shapovalov
71%
(
102 of
144)
1st Serve %
62%
(
104 of
169)
5
Aces
26
1
Double Faults
11
68%
(
69 of
102)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
82 of
104)
55%
(
23 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
26 of
65)
24%
(
5 of
21)
Break Points Won
50%
(
8 of
16)
36%
(
52 of
144)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
61 of
169)
153
Total Points Won
160
|
||||
| 6-3 7-5 |
Stats
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Denis Shapovalov
85%
(
45 of
53)
1st Serve %
47%
(
27 of
58)
1
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
3
87%
(
39 of
45)
1st Serve Won
78%
(
21 of
27)
63%
(
5 of
8)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
17 of
31)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
17%
(
9 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
20 of
58)
64
Total Points Won
47
|
||||
| 6-3 6-4 |
Stats
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Denis Shapovalov
67%
(
37 of
55)
1st Serve %
71%
(
29 of
41)
2
Aces
12
1
Double Faults
0
78%
(
29 of
37)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
21 of
29)
72%
(
13 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
83%
(
10 of
12)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
24%
(
13 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
24%
(
10 of
41)
52
Total Points Won
44
|
||||
| 6-3 7-6(5) |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
66%
(
46 of
70)
1st Serve %
73%
(
57 of
78)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
70%
(
32 of
46)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
39 of
57)
75%
(
18 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
9 of
21)
8%
(
1 of
12)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
29%
(
20 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
30 of
78)
80
Total Points Won
68
|
||||
| 7-6(2) 7-6(4) 7-6(3) |
Stats
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Denis Shapovalov
62%
(
83 of
133)
1st Serve %
60%
(
71 of
119)
1
Aces
8
4
Double Faults
4
69%
(
57 of
83)
1st Serve Won
82%
(
58 of
71)
60%
(
30 of
50)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
20 of
48)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
23%
(
3 of
13)
35%
(
46 of
133)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
41 of
119)
128
Total Points Won
124
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Denis Shapovalov | Pablo Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 38% (6/10) | 0% (0/0) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 42% (16/22) | 0% (0/0) |
| Games Win/Loss | 51% (191/186) | 0% (0/0) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 38% (3/5) | 0% (0/0) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/0) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 50% (3/3) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.86 | 0 |
| Aces Total | 161 | 0 |
| DFs per game | 0.5 | 0 |
| DFs Total | 94 | 0 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:44:5 | 1st Match |
| Avg Opp Rank | 112 | 0 |
| 1st Serve % | 58% (668/1155) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st Serve W% | 78% (521/668) | 0% (0/0) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 47% (230/487) | 0% (0/0) |
| BPs Won% Total | 33% (36/110) | 0% (0/0) |
| Return Pts W% | 36% (451/1255) | 0% (0/0) |
| Slam W/L | 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Masters W/L | 60% (3/2) | 0% (0/0) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 30% (3/7) | 0% (0/0) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 40% (6/15) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/6) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set W% | 20% (1/5) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set W, W | 75% (8/6) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set W, L | 25% (8/2) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (8/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Denis Shapovalov Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Corentin Moutet
Player
Denis Shapovalov
67%
(
30 of
45)
1st Serve %
49%
(
31 of
63)
0
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
6
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
21 of
31)
60%
(
9 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
10 of
32)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
27%
(
12 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
32 of
63)
65
Total Points Won
43
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Marcos Giron
Player
Denis Shapovalov
64%
(
36 of
56)
1st Serve %
50%
(
28 of
56)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
8
78%
(
28 of
36)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
21 of
28)
65%
(
13 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
12 of
28)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
27%
(
15 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
23 of
56)
64
Total Points Won
48
|
6-2 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Denis Shapovalov
60%
(
44 of
73)
1st Serve %
59%
(
35 of
59)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
73%
(
32 of
44)
1st Serve Won
80%
(
28 of
35)
62%
(
18 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
12 of
24)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
32%
(
23 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
32%
(
19 of
59)
69
Total Points Won
63
|
6-3 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
60%
(
28 of
47)
1st Serve %
65%
(
64 of
99)
3
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
2
89%
(
25 of
28)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
39 of
64)
63%
(
12 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
15 of
35)
17%
(
3 of
18)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
21%
(
10 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
45 of
99)
82
Total Points Won
64
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Luciano Darderi
68%
(
61 of
90)
1st Serve %
58%
(
78 of
135)
16
Aces
5
8
Double Faults
4
77%
(
47 of
61)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
53 of
78)
52%
(
15 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
25 of
57)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
31%
(
28 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
57 of
135)
119
Total Points Won
106
|
6-3 6-7(3) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Denis Shapovalov
61%
(
58 of
95)
1st Serve %
57%
(
55 of
97)
2
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
12
64%
(
37 of
58)
1st Serve Won
76%
(
42 of
55)
57%
(
21 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
17 of
42)
31%
(
4 of
13)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
39%
(
37 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
38 of
97)
96
Total Points Won
96
|
6-4 2-6 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Botic Van De Zandschulp
57%
(
29 of
51)
1st Serve %
56%
(
32 of
57)
8
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
6
79%
(
23 of
29)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
21 of
32)
59%
(
13 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
7 of
25)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
29%
(
15 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
29 of
57)
65
Total Points Won
43
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Andy Murray
Player
Denis Shapovalov
69%
(
67 of
97)
1st Serve %
56%
(
57 of
102)
3
Aces
15
1
Double Faults
10
75%
(
50 of
67)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
44 of
57)
53%
(
16 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
21 of
45)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
32%
(
31 of
97)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
37 of
102)
103
Total Points Won
96
|
4-6 7-6(5) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Gael Monfils
Player
Denis Shapovalov
66%
(
53 of
80)
1st Serve %
58%
(
46 of
79)
4
Aces
14
0
Double Faults
2
77%
(
41 of
53)
1st Serve Won
83%
(
38 of
46)
74%
(
20 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
18 of
33)
0%
(
0 of
1)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
24%
(
19 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
29%
(
23 of
79)
84
Total Points Won
75
|
7-6(4) 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Hugo Gaston
72%
(
34 of
47)
1st Serve %
65%
(
37 of
57)
11
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
82%
(
28 of
34)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
21 of
37)
54%
(
7 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
8 of
20)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
26%
(
12 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
28 of
57)
63
Total Points Won
41
|
6-4 6-0 | H2H | ||
view more
Pablo Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Mattia Bellucci
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
64%
(
45 of
70)
1st Serve %
75%
(
47 of
63)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
76%
(
34 of
45)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
30 of
47)
72%
(
18 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
63%
(
10 of
16)
50%
(
1 of
2)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
26%
(
18 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
23 of
63)
75
Total Points Won
58
|
6-3 7-6(0) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Arthur Cazaux
70%
(
74 of
105)
1st Serve %
60%
(
44 of
73)
2
Aces
12
5
Double Faults
1
68%
(
50 of
74)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
34 of
44)
32%
(
10 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
43%
(
45 of
105)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
27 of
73)
87
Total Points Won
91
|
2-6 6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Pedro Martinez Portero
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
69%
(
64 of
93)
1st Serve %
70%
(
43 of
61)
3
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
1
75%
(
48 of
64)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
31 of
43)
48%
(
14 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
13)
33%
(
31 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
21 of
61)
83
Total Points Won
71
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Richard Gasquet
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
58%
(
49 of
84)
1st Serve %
62%
(
62 of
100)
13
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
5
73%
(
36 of
49)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
43 of
62)
49%
(
17 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
18 of
38)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
37%
(
31 of
84)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
39 of
100)
92
Total Points Won
92
|
2-6 7-6(2) 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Benjamin Bonzi
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
66%
(
117 of
176)
1st Serve %
65%
(
122 of
187)
15
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
2
76%
(
89 of
117)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
87 of
122)
56%
(
33 of
59)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
34 of
65)
19%
(
4 of
21)
Break Points Won
17%
(
3 of
18)
31%
(
54 of
176)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
66 of
187)
188
Total Points Won
175
|
4-6 4-6 7-6(5) 6-1 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Pedro Cachin
63%
(
59 of
93)
1st Serve %
61%
(
59 of
97)
15
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
1
90%
(
53 of
59)
1st Serve Won
81%
(
48 of
59)
65%
(
22 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
18 of
38)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
19%
(
18 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
32%
(
31 of
97)
106
Total Points Won
84
|
7-6(4) 6-1 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Soon-Woo Kwon
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
65%
(
57 of
88)
1st Serve %
61%
(
65 of
107)
11
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
6
77%
(
44 of
57)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
44 of
65)
52%
(
16 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
22 of
42)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
32%
(
28 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
41 of
107)
101
Total Points Won
94
|
3-6 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| Rubber 2 | 5-7 6-3 7-6(5) | H2H | |||
| R3 |
Stats
Tommy Paul
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
67%
(
38 of
57)
1st Serve %
81%
(
52 of
64)
4
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
0
76%
(
29 of
38)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
34 of
52)
68%
(
13 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
25%
(
3 of
12)
25%
(
3 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
26%
(
15 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
27 of
64)
69
Total Points Won
52
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Denis Shapovalov
59%
(
48 of
81)
1st Serve %
50%
(
51 of
103)
3
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
9
75%
(
36 of
48)
1st Serve Won
86%
(
44 of
51)
70%
(
23 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
25 of
52)
22%
(
2 of
9)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
27%
(
22 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
34 of
103)
93
Total Points Won
91
|
7-6(2) 2-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
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