Elena Rybakina vs Heather Watson Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 12 Jun at 03:50 PM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

E. Rybakina vs H. Watson

Elena Rybakina
Elena Rybakina

Flag KAZ KAZ

w
w
l
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
Heather Watson
Heather Watson

Flag GBR GBR

w
w
l
l
w
l
l
l
l
l

2

Win

2

Played

0

Win

26
Age
33
1.84m
Height
1.70m
10
C. Rank
203
3
Best Rank
38
0
Total Title
0
0
YTD Titles
0
$15.8M
Career Money
$2.7M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-to-head: Rybakina 2 - 0 Watson

They have played 5 sets in total, with Elena Rybakina winning 4 and Heather Watson winning 1. The last match between Elena Rybakina and Heather Watson was at the LTA London Championships - London, 12-06-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Elena Rybakina getting the victory 6-4 6-2.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Rybakina2
Watson0
Last H2H Matches:

(R2LTA London Championships - London(06-12-25)

Grass
KAZ Flag
Elena Rybakina
6
6
GBR Flag
Heather Watson
4
2

(SFHobart International - Hobart(01-17-20)

Hard
KAZ Flag
Elena Rybakina
6
4
6
GBR Flag
Heather Watson
3
6
4

E. Rybakina vs H. Watson H2H Profile

Stats
$15,766,766Career Prize Money$2,704,519
70.06% (379-162)Career Total W/L54.43% (436-365)
1Grass0
1Hard0
13Titles12
2Total H2H Matches0
71.88% (46-18)YTD Win/Loss25.00% (1-3)
1YTD Titles0

E. Rybakina vs H. Watson Match Preview:

  • When comparing second serve points won in recent form, Rybakina leads slightly with 42.79% compared to Watson's 40.64%. Does this give Rybakina a serving advantage?
  • In terms of return games, Watson outperforms Rybakina by winning 51.84% of opponent's second serve points, whereas Rybakina wins 47.98%.
  • For first serve returns, Watson again holds the edge, winning 29.99% compared to Rybakina's 26.95%.
  • Under pressure, Rybakina has shown better resilience, saving 54.66% of breakpoints, surpassing Watson's 47.79%.
  • Over the past year, Rybakina holds a superior win percentage of 70.59%, while Watson's stands at 61.22%. How significant is this in predicting the match outcome?
  • Surface specializations reveal Watson prefers Indoor Hard courts with a 63% win rate, while Rybakina excels on Grass, boasting a 76% win rate.
  • The level of competition faced by Rybakina is higher, with an opponent average rank of 75.29 compared to Watson's 193.96.
  • In deciding sets, Watson has performed better recently, winning 67% compared to Rybakina's 50%.
  • Direct head-to-head encounters give Rybakina the advantage, having won their sole match, beating Watson two sets to one.
  • Watson leads in breakpoint conversion with 34.81%, whereas Rybakina follows closely at 32.12%.
  • Editorial Prediction (June 12, 2025, UTC):

    As we approach this match-up, recent statistics present a mixed picture of strengths and weaknesses for both players.

    Rybakina holds a slight edge in second serve performance and shows greater poise under pressure by saving a higher percentage of breakpoints. This ability can be crucial in pivotal moments of the match. Additionally, Rybakina has faced tougher competitors on the tour, which may sharpen her competitive edge.

    Conversely, Watson excels in return games, especially in converting points when facing second serves, a critical area that could dictate the match's flow. Her strong performance in deciding sets further boosts her chances if the match goes the distance.

    Their previous encounter saw Rybakina triumph in a hard-fought three-set match, highlighting her ability to edge out Watson in direct competition.

    Given these considerations, Rybakina is slightly favored to win the upcoming tennis match.

Elena Rybakina vs Heather Watson Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

E. Rybakina vs H. Watson H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
2H2H Matches Won0
4Sets Won1
28Games Won19
19Aces (Total)6
7Total Double Faults7
1:49:30Average Match Time1:49:30
60% (96/161)1st Serve %59% (94/159)
74% (71/96)1st Serve Win %64% (60/94)
52% (34/65)2nd Serve Win %49% (32/65)
47% (8/17)Break Pts Won %21% (3/14)
42% (67/159)Return Points Win %35% (56/161)
100% (2/2)Best‑of‑3 Win %0% (0/2)
100% (1/1)Deciding Set Win %0% (0/1)
100% (2/2)1st Set Won, Won Match0% (0/0)
0% (0/2)1st Set Won, Lost Match0% (0/0)
0% (0/0)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/2)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Rybakina 50%, Watson 44%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Rybakina 55%, Watson 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Rybakina 64%, Watson 55%.

E. Rybakina Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardChina Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025

R3

GERE. Lys
L
6-3 1-6 6-4

R2

USAC. McNally
W
7-5 4-6 6-3
I.hardBillie Jean King Cup, Finals - 15-09-2025

Rubber 2

USAJ. Pegula
W
6-4 6-1
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

R4

CZEM. Vondrousova
L
6-4 5-7 6-2

R3

GBRE. Raducanu
W
6-1 6-2

H. Watson Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

Q1

GEOE. Gorgodze
L
3-6 6-3 6-4
HardCincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025

Q1

RUSA. Zakharova
L
6-2 6-3
HardEupago Porto Open - Porto - 14-07-2025

R1

PORA. Voloshchuk
L
6-4 ret.
GrassWimbledon - London - 30-06-2025

R1

DENC. Tauson
L
2-6 6-4 6-3
GrassRothesay International - Eastbourne - 23-06-2025

Q3

RUSK. Rakhimova
L
6-4 6-1
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E. Rybakina vs H. Watson Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
70.06% (379/162)YTD Win/Loss54.43% (436/365)
66.21% (829/423)Sets Win/Loss53.35% (996/871)
56.22% (6629/5163)Games Win/Loss51.98% (9088/8395)
68.32% (179/83)Hard Win/Loss53.77% (228/196)
70.80% (97/40)Clay Win/Loss49.15% (58/60)
72.22% (65/25)Indoor Hard W/L64.12% (84/47)
73.08% (38/14)Grass Win/Loss51.56% (66/62)
0.49Aces Per Game0.28
2795Aces Total2428
0.27Double Faults Per Game0.27
1534Total Double Faults2324
1:30:40Average Match Time1:26:19
298.91Average Opponent Rank433.7
59% (21300/36139)1st Serve %60% (30138/50443)
70% (14848/21251)1st Serve Win %65% (19664/30138)
49% (7279/14851)2nd Serve Win %45% (9127/20294)
45% (1939/4294)Break Points Won % (Total)45% (2686/5914)
44% (16033/36408)Return Points Win %44% (22126/50162)
73.12% (68/25)Slam W/L42.99% (46/61)
68.50% (87/40)Masters W/L44.96% (58/71)
83.33% (10/2)Cups W/L65.71% (23/12)
68.97% (120/54)Main Tour W/L51.91% (163/151)
67.05% (59/29)Challenger W/L66.67% (138/69)
74.47% (35/12)Futures W/L88.89% (8/1)
70% (370/529)Best of 3 Sets Win %54% (431/792)
100% (1/1)Best of 5 Sets Win %100% (1/1)
55% (91/164)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)50% (104/207)
56% (101/181)Deciding Set Win %53% (144/272)
90% (361/326)1st Set Won, Won Match85% (420/358)
9% (361/34)1st Set Won, Lost Match15% (420/61)
28% (180/51)1st Set Lost, Won Match20% (381/77)

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